NYSE$STZ

Constellation Brands Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Constellation Brands delivered strong enterprise results and raised operating and free cash flow guidance for fiscal 2024.

Constellation Brands reported a net sales increase of 1% and a comparable EPS of $3.19, driven by the strong performance of its Beer Business, particularly the Modelo brand family. The company has raised its fiscal year 2024 operating cash flow target to $2.6 - $2.8 billion and free cash flow projection to $1.4 - $1.5 billion.

  • Generated reported EPS of $2.76 and comparable EPS of $3.19; excluding Canopy EIE, achieved comparable EPS of $3.24.
  • Beer Business achieved strong high single-digit depletion growth and solid net sales growth primarily driven by continued momentum of the Modelo brand family.
  • Wine and Spirits Business updates fiscal 2024 outlook to organic net sales decline of 7 - 9% and operating income decline of 6 - 8%; company separately announced Wine and Spirits Business leadership transition.
  • Raised fiscal 2024 operating cash flow target to $2.6 - $2.8 billion and free cash flow projection to $1.4 - $1.5 billion from $2.4 - $2.6 billion and $1.2 - $1.3 billion, respectively.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.47B

Previous: $2.44B+1.4%
EPS

$2.76

Previous: $2.83-2.5%
Wine and Spirits Shipments

6.1M

Previous: 6.9M-11.6%
Beer Shipments

101.1M

Previous: 97.8M+3.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$912M

Previous: -$249M-266.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$403M

Previous: $219M-284.0%
Net Income

$509M

Previous: $468M+8.9%
Operating Income

$797M

Previous: $747M+6.7%
Gross Profit

$1.27B

Previous: $1.23B+3.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$78.7M

Previous: $185M-57.5%
Total Assets

$25.1B

Previous: $24.5B+2.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Constellation Brands · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.47B

Q3 2024+1.4%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Constellation Brands · $2.43B total across 2 segments · Q1 2027

  • Beer
    $2.28B
  • Wine and Spirits
    $149M

Forward guidance

Constellation Brands provided guidance for fiscal year 2024, including net sales growth and operating income growth for the Beer Business, and organic net sales decline and operating income decline for the Wine and Spirits Business. The company also provided guidance for corporate expense, interest expense, tax rate, weighted average diluted shares outstanding, operating cash flow, capital expenditures, and free cash flow.

Tailwinds

  • Beer: net sales growth of 8 - 9%
  • Beer: operating income growth of 7 - 8%
  • Operating cash flow: $2.6 - $2.8 billion
  • Free cash flow: $1.4 - $1.5 billion
  • Tax rate: comparable excluding Canopy equity earnings impact approximately 19%

Headwinds

  • Wine and Spirits: organic net sales decline of 7 - 9%
  • Wine and Spirits: operating income decline of 6 - 8%, excluding $38.5 million of net sales and $19.5 million of gross profit less marketing that are no longer part of results
  • Corporate expense: $260 - $270 million
  • Interest expense: $450 million
  • Capital expenditures: $1.2 - $1.3 billion, including approximately $1 billion targeted for Mexico beer operations activities

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.0%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

36 / 65 earnings

Positive

+10.8%

Q3 2014

Best reaction

-16.8%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2027
Q4 2026-0.1%+9.5%-1.6%
Q3 2026+2.5%+5.7%+11.1%
Q2 2026+1.1%+1.9%-7.8%
Q1 2026+1.3%+1.2%+1.3%
Q4 2025+0.7%+0.3%+3.6%
Q3 2025-16.8%-14.9%-22.7%
Q2 2025-0.8%-4.3%-9.8%
Q1 2025-2.3%+1.1%-4.3%
Q4 2024+2.0%-1.7%-0.4%
Q3 2024+2.5%+5.0%+3.8%
Q2 2024-2.8%-5.3%-2.7%
Q1 2024-0.3%+0.3%+10.4%
Q4 2023+2.9%+2.9%+2.4%
Q3 2023-8.3%-5.3%+1.4%
Q2 2023-2.1%-6.8%+3.1%
Q1 2023-5.1%-4.1%+0.3%
Q4 2022+5.3%+7.5%+7.4%
Q3 2022-3.9%-3.0%-6.8%
Q2 2022-0.7%+3.1%+3.0%
Q1 2022+2.0%+0.9%-2.1%
Q4 2021-5.1%-4.2%+2.0%
Q3 2021+5.5%+4.6%+5.1%
Q2 2021-1.6%-2.1%-11.9%
Q1 2021+6.7%+6.7%+3.8%
Q4 2020-3.4%+9.3%+18.0%
Q3 2020-0.1%-1.1%+4.9%
Q2 2020-6.3%-8.4%-7.6%
Q1 2020+4.2%+6.2%+8.3%
Q4 2019+7.6%+6.2%+17.6%
Q3 2019-7.2%-6.7%+1.7%
Q2 2019+5.9%+7.4%-4.5%
Q1 2019-7.1%-7.5%-7.9%
Q4 2018+3.5%+2.1%+6.2%
Q3 2018-4.0%-2.8%-4.4%
Q2 2018+4.4%+3.4%+7.3%
Q1 2018+5.5%+4.4%+5.9%
Q4 2017+5.6%+5.5%+10.6%
Q3 2017-5.4%-5.5%-5.6%
Q2 2017+3.1%+3.2%-3.8%
Q1 2017+2.6%+4.1%+3.3%
Q4 2016+4.0%
Q3 2016+2.7%
Q2 2016+4.1%
Q1 2016+0.9%
Q4 2015+2.1%
Q3 2015+4.2%
Q2 2015+1.9%
Q1 2015+3.1%
Q4 2014-1.7%
Q3 2014+10.8%
Q2 2014+6.4%
Q1 2014-5.1%
Q4 2013+1.6%
Q3 2013-1.1%
Q2 2013+1.2%
Q1 2013-0.4%
Q4 2012-0.3%
Q3 2012+5.3%
Q2 2012-2.7%
Q1 2012-3.4%
Q4 2011+0.8%
Q3 2010-1.3%
Q2 2010-0.2%
Q1 2010+1.8%
Q4 2009+0.4%

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