NYSE$STZ

Constellation Brands Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Constellation Brands' Q3 2023 earnings showcased strong business performance, driven by the beer business and growth in higher-end wine and craft spirits.

Constellation Brands reported a 5% increase in net sales, driven by the beer business which continued to outperform the market. The wine and spirits business also delivered strong relative performance. The company updated its fiscal 2023 comparable basis EPS outlook to $11.00 - $11.20 and increased its free cash flow projection to $1.5 - $1.6 billion.

  • Reported EPS was $2.52, and comparable EPS was $2.83 which includes Canopy equity losses of $0.18; excluding Canopy equity losses, comparable EPS reached $3.01.
  • The Beer Business experienced strong net sales and depletion increases, fueled by Modelo Especial and Modelo Chelada brands.
  • The Wine and Spirits Business showed strong performance in higher-end wine and craft spirits, outpacing corresponding segments of U.S. wine and spirits categories in dollar sales growth in IRI channels.
  • Operating cash flow was $2.3 billion, a decrease of 7%, while free cash flow was $1.6 billion, a decrease of 13%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.44B

Previous: $2.32B+5.0%
EPS (adj)

$2.83

Previous: $3.12-9.3%
Wine and Spirits Shipments

6.9M

Previous: 8.1M-14.8%
Beer Shipments

97.8M

Previous: 95.2M+2.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$249M

Previous: -$245M-1.4%
Free Cash Flow

$219M

Previous: $226M-2.9%
Net Income

$468M

Previous: $471M-0.7%
Operating Income

$747M

Previous: $840M-11.1%
Gross Profit

$1.23B

Previous: $1.23B+0.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$185M

Previous: $361M-48.8%
Total Assets

$24.5B

Previous: $25.5B-4.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Constellation Brands · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.44B

Q3 2023+5%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Constellation Brands · $2.44B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Beer
    $1.89B+7.9%
  • Wine and Spirits
    $545M-4.1%

Forward guidance

Constellation Brands provided guidance for fiscal year 2023, anticipating net sales growth and operating income growth for the Beer Business, while expecting a decline in organic net sales but growth in operating income for the Wine and Spirits Business.

Tailwinds

  • Beer: net sales growth 9 - 10%
  • Beer: operating income growth 4 - 5%
  • Wine and Spirits: operating income growth 3 - 5%
  • Operating cash flow: $2.6 - $2.8 billion
  • Free cash flow: $1.5 - $1.6 billion

Headwinds

  • Wine and Spirits: organic net sales decline 0 - 2%
  • Interest expense: approximately $390 - $400 million
  • Tax rate: reported approximately 74%
  • Capital expenditures: $1.1 - $1.2 billion, including approximately $1.0 billion targeted for Mexico beer operations expansion, optimization, and/or construction activities
  • Weighted average diluted shares outstanding: approximately 186.5 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.0%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

36 / 65 earnings

Positive

+10.8%

Q3 2014

Best reaction

-16.8%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2027
Q4 2026-0.1%+9.5%-1.6%
Q3 2026+2.5%+5.7%+11.1%
Q2 2026+1.1%+1.9%-7.8%
Q1 2026+1.3%+1.2%+1.3%
Q4 2025+0.7%+0.3%+3.6%
Q3 2025-16.8%-14.9%-22.7%
Q2 2025-0.8%-4.3%-9.8%
Q1 2025-2.3%+1.1%-4.3%
Q4 2024+2.0%-1.7%-0.4%
Q3 2024+2.5%+5.0%+3.8%
Q2 2024-2.8%-5.3%-2.7%
Q1 2024-0.3%+0.3%+10.4%
Q4 2023+2.9%+2.9%+2.4%
Q3 2023-8.3%-5.3%+1.4%
Q2 2023-2.1%-6.8%+3.1%
Q1 2023-5.1%-4.1%+0.3%
Q4 2022+5.3%+7.5%+7.4%
Q3 2022-3.9%-3.0%-6.8%
Q2 2022-0.7%+3.1%+3.0%
Q1 2022+2.0%+0.9%-2.1%
Q4 2021-5.1%-4.2%+2.0%
Q3 2021+5.5%+4.6%+5.1%
Q2 2021-1.6%-2.1%-11.9%
Q1 2021+6.7%+6.7%+3.8%
Q4 2020-3.4%+9.3%+18.0%
Q3 2020-0.1%-1.1%+4.9%
Q2 2020-6.3%-8.4%-7.6%
Q1 2020+4.2%+6.2%+8.3%
Q4 2019+7.6%+6.2%+17.6%
Q3 2019-7.2%-6.7%+1.7%
Q2 2019+5.9%+7.4%-4.5%
Q1 2019-7.1%-7.5%-7.9%
Q4 2018+3.5%+2.1%+6.2%
Q3 2018-4.0%-2.8%-4.4%
Q2 2018+4.4%+3.4%+7.3%
Q1 2018+5.5%+4.4%+5.9%
Q4 2017+5.6%+5.5%+10.6%
Q3 2017-5.4%-5.5%-5.6%
Q2 2017+3.1%+3.2%-3.8%
Q1 2017+2.6%+4.1%+3.3%
Q4 2016+4.0%
Q3 2016+2.7%
Q2 2016+4.1%
Q1 2016+0.9%
Q4 2015+2.1%
Q3 2015+4.2%
Q2 2015+1.9%
Q1 2015+3.1%
Q4 2014-1.7%
Q3 2014+10.8%
Q2 2014+6.4%
Q1 2014-5.1%
Q4 2013+1.6%
Q3 2013-1.1%
Q2 2013+1.2%
Q1 2013-0.4%
Q4 2012-0.3%
Q3 2012+5.3%
Q2 2012-2.7%
Q1 2012-3.4%
Q4 2011+0.8%
Q3 2010-1.3%
Q2 2010-0.2%
Q1 2010+1.8%
Q4 2009+0.4%

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