NYSE$TOL
Toll Brothers Inc · Q3 2024 earnings
Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Toll Brothers reported strong third quarter results, driven by record home sales revenue and margin outperformance.
Toll Brothers reported strong third quarter results with a 2% increase in home sales revenues to $2.72 billion and a net income of $374.6 million. The company raised its full year guidance across key home building metrics and expects to earn between $14.50 and $14.75 per diluted share.
- Home sales revenues increased by 2% to $2.72 billion, with 2,814 homes delivered, up 11%.
- Net signed contract value rose by 11% to $2.41 billion, with 2,490 homes contracted, also up 11%.
- Adjusted home sales gross margin was 28.8%, exceeding guidance due to favorable mix and greater efficiencies.
- The company repurchased $246 million of common stock, bringing year-to-date repurchases to $427 million.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Toll Brothers · Revenue · Quarterly
$2.73B
Revenue by segment
Toll Brothers · $2.95B total across 5 segments · Q4 2023
- Mountain$780M-19.7%26.4%
- Pacific$710M-29.6%24.1%
- South$660M+10.5%22.4%
- North$412M-33.3%14.0%
- Mid-Atlantic$388M+1.1%13.2%
Forward guidance
Toll Brothers anticipates delivering 3,275 - 3,375 units at an average price of $940,000 - $950,000 in the fourth quarter. They expect an adjusted home sales gross margin of 27.5% and SG&A as a percentage of home sales revenues of 8.6%. For the full fiscal year 2024, deliveries are projected to be 10,650 - 10,750 units at an average price of $975,000, with an adjusted home sales gross margin of 28.3% and SG&A at 9.4%.
Tailwinds
- Deliveries are expected to be between 3,275 and 3,375 units in Q4.
- The average delivered price per home is projected to be $940,000 - $950,000 in Q4.
- Adjusted home sales gross margin is anticipated to be 27.5% in Q4.
- Full year deliveries are expected to be between 10,650 and 10,750 units.
- The full year average delivered price per home is projected to be $975,000.
Headwinds
- SG&A, as a percentage of home sales revenues, is expected to be 8.6% in Q4.
- Other Income, Income from Unconsolidated Entities, and Gross Margin from Land Sales and Other is projected at $47 million for Q4.
- The tax rate is expected to be 26.0% for Q4.
- SG&A, as a percentage of home sales revenues, is expected to be 9.4% for the full year.
- The tax rate is expected to be 25.4% for the full year.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024
-0.2%
Avg return
Earnings day
+0.5%
Avg return
5 days after
-0.6%
Avg return
30 days after
51%
35 / 68 earnings
Positive
+10.5%
Q3 2018
Best reaction
-19.5%
Q1 2020
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | +9.9% | +8.3% | +25.5% | |
| Q1 2026 | -2.5% | -3.3% | -19.4% | |
| Q4 2025 | -2.4% | +2.2% | -0.5% | |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7% | +4.9% | +5.7% | |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4% | -0.2% | +3.6% | |
| Q1 2025 | -5.9% | -9.4% | -13.0% | |
| Q4 2024 | -5.5% | -13.1% | -17.6% | |
| Q3 2024 | +5.5% | +11.3% | +14.6% | |
| Q2 2024 | -9.0% | -6.2% | -11.7% | |
| Q1 2024 | +5.3% | +8.9% | +23.8% | |
| Q4 2023 | +1.9% | +6.5% | +13.2% | |
| Q3 2023 | +5.1% | +3.1% | -1.9% | |
| Q2 2023 | +0.6% | +5.2% | +17.2% | |
| Q1 2023 | +0.5% | +2.0% | +1.9% | |
| Q4 2022 | +5.6% | +4.0% | +11.3% | |
| Q3 2022 | +1.5% | +1.3% | -7.6% | |
| Q2 2022 | +2.9% | +9.4% | -4.9% | |
| Q1 2022 | -9.4% | -0.8% | -8.4% | |
| Q4 2021 | +2.3% | +5.3% | -3.2% | |
| Q3 2021 | +7.2% | +8.5% | +0.9% | |
| Q2 2021 | +6.3% | +7.7% | -6.1% | |
| Q1 2021 | +4.3% | -0.4% | +4.8% | |
| Q4 2020 | -5.4% | -7.3% | -11.6% | |
| Q3 2020 | -1.3% | -6.0% | +3.9% | |
| Q2 2020 | +7.0% | +6.7% | -2.7% | |
| Q1 2020 | -19.5% | -21.2% | -52.9% | |
| Q4 2019 | -3.6% | -2.8% | +1.1% | |
| Q3 2019 | -3.2% | -4.0% | +7.5% | |
| Q2 2019 | -2.4% | -3.2% | -0.2% | |
| Q1 2019 | -2.6% | -5.0% | -2.4% | |
| Q4 2018 | -1.0% | -1.2% | -1.0% | |
| Q3 2018 | +10.5% | +6.6% | +3.3% | |
| Q2 2018 | -8.5% | -6.6% | -14.3% | |
| Q1 2018 | -7.8% | -7.6% | -9.0% | |
| Q4 2017 | -7.9% | -5.5% | -1.0% | |
| Q3 2017 | -2.0% | -1.3% | +4.1% | |
| Q2 2017 | -0.2% | -1.7% | +2.3% | |
| Q1 2017 | +6.2% | +7.5% | +12.1% | |
| Q4 2016 | +7.0% | +5.6% | +4.6% | |
| Q3 2016 | +5.8% | +4.8% | -0.4% | |
| Q2 2016 | +7.3% | +7.6% | +1.8% | |
| Q1 2016 | +3.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | -9.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -5.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | -1.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +3.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -7.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | -5.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +2.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +1.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -2.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +2.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +4.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -6.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -5.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +2.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +2.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +1.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -2.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +0.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -2.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +2.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | -0.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | -0.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +1.6% | — | — |
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