NYSE$TOL

Toll Brothers Inc · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Toll Brothers reported increased home sales revenues and net signed contract value, but a decrease in backlog value. Record second quarter earnings were achieved, driven by strong home building results and a significant land sale gain.

Toll Brothers reported strong second quarter results for fiscal year 2024, with a 6% increase in home sales revenues to $2.65 billion and a 29% increase in net signed contract value to $2.94 billion. Net income was $481.6 million, or $4.55 per diluted share, which included a $124.1 million gain from the sale of land. The company is increasing its full year revenue and earnings guidance.

  • Home sales revenues increased by 6% to $2.65 billion with 2,641 homes delivered, also up 6%.
  • Net signed contract value increased by 29% to $2.94 billion, with contracted homes up 30% to 3,041 units.
  • Backlog value decreased by 12% to $7.38 billion, with homes in backlog down 6% to 7,093 units.
  • Net income was $481.6 million, or $4.55 per diluted share, including a $124.1 million gain from a land sale.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.84B

Previous: $2.51B+13.2%
EPS

$4.55

Previous: $2.85+59.6%
Avg Contract Price

$967K

No prior period
Avg delivered price

$1M

Previous: $999K+0.3%
Net signed contracts value

$2.94B

Previous: $2.28B+29.0%
Net signed contracts units

3.0K

Previous: 2.3K+30.3%
Backlog value

$7.38B

Previous: $8.38B-12.0%
Backlog units

7.1K

Previous: 7.6K-6.4%
Avg backlog price

$1.04M

Previous: $1.11M-5.9%
Deliveries

2.6K

Previous: 2.5K+6.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$29.7M

Previous: -$39.5M+24.9%
Free Cash Flow

$122M

Previous: $106M+15.4%
Net Income

$482M

Previous: $320M+50.4%
Operating Income

$624M

Previous: $426M+46.5%
Gross Profit

$861M

Previous: $653M+31.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.03B

Previous: $762M+35.2%
Total Assets

$13.3B

Previous: $12B+10.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.89M

Previous: $2.64M+47.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Toll Brothers · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.84B

Q2 2024+13.2%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Toll Brothers · $2.95B total across 5 segments · Q4 2023

  • Mountain
    $780M-19.7%
  • Pacific
    $710M-29.6%
  • South
    $660M+10.5%
  • North
    $412M-33.3%
  • Mid-Atlantic
    $388M+1.1%

Forward guidance

Toll Brothers provided financial guidance for the third quarter and full fiscal year 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Deliveries are expected to be between 2,750 and 2,850 units for Q3 and 10,400 to 10,800 units for the full year.
  • The average delivered price per home is projected to be $950,000 - $960,000 for Q3 and $960,000 - $970,000 for the full year.
  • Adjusted home sales gross margin is expected to be 27.7% for Q3 and 28.0% for the full year.
  • Other income, income from unconsolidated entities, and gross margin from land sales and other is expected to be $260 million for the full year.
  • The tax rate is projected to be 26.0% for Q3 and 25.5% for the full year.

Headwinds

  • SG&A, as a percentage of home sales revenues, is expected to be 9.2% for Q3 and 9.6% for the full year.
  • Period-end community count is expected to be 400 for Q3 and 410 for the full year.
  • Other income, income from unconsolidated entities, and gross margin from land sales and other is expected to be $0 for Q3.
  • No specific negative guidance was provided for deliveries.
  • No specific negative guidance was provided for average delivered price per home.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 68 earnings

Positive

+10.5%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-19.5%

Q1 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+9.9%+8.3%+25.5%
Q1 2026-2.5%-3.3%-19.4%
Q4 2025-2.4%+2.2%-0.5%
Q3 2025-0.7%+4.9%+5.7%
Q2 2025-0.4%-0.2%+3.6%
Q1 2025-5.9%-9.4%-13.0%
Q4 2024-5.5%-13.1%-17.6%
Q3 2024+5.5%+11.3%+14.6%
Q2 2024-9.0%-6.2%-11.7%
Q1 2024+5.3%+8.9%+23.8%
Q4 2023+1.9%+6.5%+13.2%
Q3 2023+5.1%+3.1%-1.9%
Q2 2023+0.6%+5.2%+17.2%
Q1 2023+0.5%+2.0%+1.9%
Q4 2022+5.6%+4.0%+11.3%
Q3 2022+1.5%+1.3%-7.6%
Q2 2022+2.9%+9.4%-4.9%
Q1 2022-9.4%-0.8%-8.4%
Q4 2021+2.3%+5.3%-3.2%
Q3 2021+7.2%+8.5%+0.9%
Q2 2021+6.3%+7.7%-6.1%
Q1 2021+4.3%-0.4%+4.8%
Q4 2020-5.4%-7.3%-11.6%
Q3 2020-1.3%-6.0%+3.9%
Q2 2020+7.0%+6.7%-2.7%
Q1 2020-19.5%-21.2%-52.9%
Q4 2019-3.6%-2.8%+1.1%
Q3 2019-3.2%-4.0%+7.5%
Q2 2019-2.4%-3.2%-0.2%
Q1 2019-2.6%-5.0%-2.4%
Q4 2018-1.0%-1.2%-1.0%
Q3 2018+10.5%+6.6%+3.3%
Q2 2018-8.5%-6.6%-14.3%
Q1 2018-7.8%-7.6%-9.0%
Q4 2017-7.9%-5.5%-1.0%
Q3 2017-2.0%-1.3%+4.1%
Q2 2017-0.2%-1.7%+2.3%
Q1 2017+6.2%+7.5%+12.1%
Q4 2016+7.0%+5.6%+4.6%
Q3 2016+5.8%+4.8%-0.4%
Q2 2016+7.3%+7.6%+1.8%
Q1 2016+3.1%
Q4 2015-9.8%
Q3 2015-5.5%
Q2 2015-1.4%
Q1 2015+3.8%
Q4 2014-7.6%
Q3 2014-5.4%
Q2 2014+2.1%
Q1 2014+1.5%
Q4 2013-2.4%
Q3 2013+2.6%
Q2 2013+4.4%
Q1 2013-6.6%
Q4 2012-5.6%
Q3 2012+2.5%
Q2 2012+2.1%
Q1 2012+1.3%
Q4 2011-2.7%
Q3 2011+0.2%
Q2 2011-2.0%
Q1 2010+2.8%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q2 2010-0.2%
Q4 2008-0.2%
Q3 2010+1.6%
Q3 2009+1.6%
Q4 2009+1.6%

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