NYSE$TOL

Toll Brothers Inc · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Toll Brothers reported solid first quarter results with increased net income, EPS, and home sales revenues, driven by strong demand and market conditions.

Toll Brothers reported a strong first quarter in fiscal year 2022, with net income and earnings per share increasing significantly. Home sales revenues also saw a rise, driven by strong market demand and limited housing supply. The company reaffirmed its full-year projections, expecting continued growth and profitability.

  • Net income and EPS increased by 57% and 63%, respectively, compared to the first quarter of FY 2021.
  • Home sales revenues rose by 20% year-over-year, with a 9% increase in delivered homes.
  • Net signed contract value increased by 19% to $3.0 billion, and contracted homes were up by 2%.
  • Backlog value reached a record $10.8 billion, a 45% increase from the previous year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.79B

Previous: $1.56B+14.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.24

Previous: $0.76+63.2%
Net signed contracts value

$2.99B

Previous: $2.51B+19.1%
Net signed contracts units

2.9K

Previous: 2.9K+1.9%
Backlog value

$10.8B

Previous: $7.47B+44.6%
Backlog units

11.3K

Previous: 8.9K+27.2%
Avg backlog price

$956K

No prior period
Deliveries

1.9K

Previous: 1.8K+8.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$18.5M

Previous: $14.5M-227.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$299M

Previous: $40.8M-832.8%
Net Income

$152M

Previous: $96.5M+57.4%
Operating Income

$175M

Previous: $119M+47.0%
Gross Profit

$402M

Previous: $330M+21.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$671M

Previous: $950M-29.3%
Total Assets

$11.3B

Previous: $10.9B+3.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$13.6M

Previous: $12.8M+6.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Toll Brothers · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.79B

Q1 2022+14.6%vs Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Toll Brothers · $1.65B total across 5 segments · Q1 2022

  • Mountain
    $462M+22.3%
  • Pacific
    $385M+16.2%
  • North
    $315M+0.9%
  • South
    $244M+12.3%
  • Mid-Atlantic
    $243M+48.1%

Forward guidance

Toll Brothers reaffirms its full year projections, including 20% growth in home sales revenues, an adjusted gross margin of approximately 27.5%, and a return on beginning equity of approximately 23%.

Tailwinds

  • Reaffirming all full year projections.
  • Expecting 20% growth in home sales revenues.
  • Anticipating an adjusted gross margin of approximately 27.5%.
  • Projecting a return on beginning equity of approximately 23%.
  • Continue to expect to grow our community count by 10% by fiscal year end from the 340 communities we were operating at the end of FY 2021.

Headwinds

  • Ongoing supply chain disruptions remain a challenge.
  • Labor shortages remain a challenge.
  • Municipal delays remain a challenge.
  • First quarter issues were exacerbated as the Omicron wave peaked in January.
  • Fewer deliveries than expected due to Omicron wave.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 68 earnings

Positive

+10.5%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-19.5%

Q1 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+9.9%
Q1 2026-2.5%-3.3%-19.4%
Q4 2025-2.4%+2.2%-0.5%
Q3 2025-0.7%+4.9%+5.7%
Q2 2025-0.4%-0.2%+3.6%
Q1 2025-5.9%-9.4%-13.0%
Q4 2024-5.5%-13.1%-17.6%
Q3 2024+5.5%+11.3%+14.6%
Q2 2024-9.0%-6.2%-11.7%
Q1 2024+5.3%+8.9%+23.8%
Q4 2023+1.9%+6.5%+13.2%
Q3 2023+5.1%+3.1%-1.9%
Q2 2023+0.6%+5.2%+17.2%
Q1 2023+0.5%+2.0%+1.9%
Q4 2022+5.6%+4.0%+11.3%
Q3 2022+1.5%+1.3%-7.6%
Q2 2022+2.9%+9.4%-4.9%
Q1 2022-9.4%-0.8%-8.4%
Q4 2021+2.3%+5.3%-3.2%
Q3 2021+7.2%+8.5%+0.9%
Q2 2021+6.3%+7.7%-6.1%
Q1 2021+4.3%-0.4%+4.8%
Q4 2020-5.4%-7.3%-11.6%
Q3 2020-1.3%-6.0%+3.9%
Q2 2020+7.0%+6.7%-2.7%
Q1 2020-19.5%-21.2%-52.9%
Q4 2019-3.6%-2.8%+1.1%
Q3 2019-3.2%-4.0%+7.5%
Q2 2019-2.4%-3.2%-0.2%
Q1 2019-2.6%-5.0%-2.4%
Q4 2018-1.0%-1.2%-1.0%
Q3 2018+10.5%+6.6%+3.3%
Q2 2018-8.5%-6.6%-14.3%
Q1 2018-7.8%-7.6%-9.0%
Q4 2017-7.9%-5.5%-1.0%
Q3 2017-2.0%-1.3%+4.1%
Q2 2017-0.2%-1.7%+2.3%
Q1 2017+6.2%+7.5%+12.1%
Q4 2016+7.0%+5.6%+4.6%
Q3 2016+5.8%+4.8%-0.4%
Q2 2016+7.3%+7.6%+1.8%
Q1 2016+3.1%
Q4 2015-9.8%
Q3 2015-5.5%
Q2 2015-1.4%
Q1 2015+3.8%
Q4 2014-7.6%
Q3 2014-5.4%
Q2 2014+2.1%
Q1 2014+1.5%
Q4 2013-2.4%
Q3 2013+2.6%
Q2 2013+4.4%
Q1 2013-6.6%
Q4 2012-5.6%
Q3 2012+2.5%
Q2 2012+2.1%
Q1 2012+1.3%
Q4 2011-2.7%
Q3 2011+0.2%
Q2 2011-2.0%
Q1 2010+2.8%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q2 2010-0.2%
Q4 2008-0.2%
Q3 2010+1.6%
Q3 2009+1.6%
Q4 2009+1.6%

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