NYSE$TOL

Toll Brothers Inc · Q2 2022 earnings

Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Toll Brothers' financial performance improved in Q2 2022 with record home building revenue and EPS growth.

Toll Brothers reported record second-quarter results, with significant growth in revenue, earnings per share, and backlog value. The company delivered 2,407 new homes, generating $2.2 billion in home building revenue. Despite moderating demand, the company maintains a positive outlook, driven by strong backlog and fundamental housing demand drivers.

  • Net income and earnings per share increased to $220.6 million and $1.85 per share diluted, respectively.
  • Home sales revenues rose to $2.2 billion, with 2,407 homes delivered.
  • Net signed contract value reached $3.1 billion, while backlog value hit a record $11.7 billion.
  • Adjusted home sales gross margin improved to 26.1%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.28B

Previous: $1.93B+18.0%
EPS (adj)

$1.85

Previous: $1.01+83.2%
Net signed contracts value

$3.09B

Previous: $3.05B+1.3%
Net signed contracts units

2.9K

Previous: 3.5K-17.6%
Backlog value

$11.7B

Previous: $8.69B+34.8%
Backlog units

11.8K

Previous: 10.1K+16.5%
Avg backlog price

$995K

Previous: $860K+15.6%
Deliveries

2.4K

Previous: 2.3K+6.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$39.1M

Previous: -$29.6M-32.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$244M

Previous: -$473M+48.4%
Net Income

$221M

Previous: $128M+72.5%
Operating Income

$282M

Previous: $184M+52.8%
Gross Profit

$525M

Previous: $404M+30.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$535M

Previous: $715M-25.2%
Total Assets

$11.5B

Previous: $11B+5.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.41M

Previous: $3.45M-1.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Toll Brothers · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.28B

Q2 2022+18%vs Q2 2021
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Toll Brothers · $2.17B total across 5 segments · Q2 2022

  • Mountain
    $654M+51.3%
  • Pacific
    $542M+18.1%
  • North
    $381M-2.5%
  • South
    $326M+16.5%
  • Mid-Atlantic
    $268M+22.9%

Forward guidance

The company provided guidance for the third quarter and full fiscal year 2022, including projected deliveries, average delivered price per home, adjusted home sales gross margin, and SG&A as a percentage of home sales revenues.

Tailwinds

  • Deliveries of 2,750 units for Q3, and 11,000-11,500 units for FY 2022.
  • Average delivered price per home of $895,000 - $915,000 for Q3, and $890,000 - $910,000 for FY 2022.
  • Adjusted home sales gross margin of 27.0% for Q3 and 27.5% for FY 2022.
  • SG&A as a percentage of home sales revenues of 10.5% for Q3 and 10.4% for FY 2022.
  • Other income, income from unconsolidated entities, and gross margin from land sales and other of $110 million for FY 2022.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022

Historical avgQ2 2022

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 68 earnings

Positive

+10.5%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-19.5%

Q1 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+9.9%+8.3%+25.5%
Q1 2026-2.5%-3.3%-19.4%
Q4 2025-2.4%+2.2%-0.5%
Q3 2025-0.7%+4.9%+5.7%
Q2 2025-0.4%-0.2%+3.6%
Q1 2025-5.9%-9.4%-13.0%
Q4 2024-5.5%-13.1%-17.6%
Q3 2024+5.5%+11.3%+14.6%
Q2 2024-9.0%-6.2%-11.7%
Q1 2024+5.3%+8.9%+23.8%
Q4 2023+1.9%+6.5%+13.2%
Q3 2023+5.1%+3.1%-1.9%
Q2 2023+0.6%+5.2%+17.2%
Q1 2023+0.5%+2.0%+1.9%
Q4 2022+5.6%+4.0%+11.3%
Q3 2022+1.5%+1.3%-7.6%
Q2 2022+2.9%+9.4%-4.9%
Q1 2022-9.4%-0.8%-8.4%
Q4 2021+2.3%+5.3%-3.2%
Q3 2021+7.2%+8.5%+0.9%
Q2 2021+6.3%+7.7%-6.1%
Q1 2021+4.3%-0.4%+4.8%
Q4 2020-5.4%-7.3%-11.6%
Q3 2020-1.3%-6.0%+3.9%
Q2 2020+7.0%+6.7%-2.7%
Q1 2020-19.5%-21.2%-52.9%
Q4 2019-3.6%-2.8%+1.1%
Q3 2019-3.2%-4.0%+7.5%
Q2 2019-2.4%-3.2%-0.2%
Q1 2019-2.6%-5.0%-2.4%
Q4 2018-1.0%-1.2%-1.0%
Q3 2018+10.5%+6.6%+3.3%
Q2 2018-8.5%-6.6%-14.3%
Q1 2018-7.8%-7.6%-9.0%
Q4 2017-7.9%-5.5%-1.0%
Q3 2017-2.0%-1.3%+4.1%
Q2 2017-0.2%-1.7%+2.3%
Q1 2017+6.2%+7.5%+12.1%
Q4 2016+7.0%+5.6%+4.6%
Q3 2016+5.8%+4.8%-0.4%
Q2 2016+7.3%+7.6%+1.8%
Q1 2016+3.1%
Q4 2015-9.8%
Q3 2015-5.5%
Q2 2015-1.4%
Q1 2015+3.8%
Q4 2014-7.6%
Q3 2014-5.4%
Q2 2014+2.1%
Q1 2014+1.5%
Q4 2013-2.4%
Q3 2013+2.6%
Q2 2013+4.4%
Q1 2013-6.6%
Q4 2012-5.6%
Q3 2012+2.5%
Q2 2012+2.1%
Q1 2012+1.3%
Q4 2011-2.7%
Q3 2011+0.2%
Q2 2011-2.0%
Q1 2010+2.8%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q2 2010-0.2%
Q4 2008-0.2%
Q3 2010+1.6%
Q3 2009+1.6%
Q4 2009+1.6%

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