NYSE$TOL

Toll Brothers Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Toll Brothers reported a strong first quarter with increased revenues and earnings.

Toll Brothers announced its FY 2024 first quarter results, featuring a 10% increase in home sales revenues to $1.93 billion and a 32% rise in earnings per share to $2.25. The company signed 2,042 net contracts for $2.06 billion, marking a substantial increase in demand, and anticipates continued strength in the new home market.

  • Net income reached $239.6 million, with earnings per share at $2.25, surpassing the previous year's figures.
  • Home sales revenues increased by 10% to $1.93 billion, driven by the delivery of 1,927 homes.
  • Net signed contract value rose by 42% to $2.06 billion, indicating strong demand.
  • Adjusted home sales gross margin improved to 28.9%, reflecting greater operating efficiency.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.95B

Previous: $1.78B+9.4%
EPS

$2.25

Previous: $1.70+32.4%
Avg delivered price

$1M

No prior period
Net signed contracts value

$2.06B

Previous: $1.45B+42.1%
Net signed contracts units

2.0K

Previous: 1.5K+39.8%
Backlog value

$7.08B

Previous: $8.58B-17.5%
Backlog units

6.7K

Previous: 7.7K-13.4%
Avg backlog price

$1.06M

Previous: $1.11M-4.7%
Deliveries

1.9K

Previous: 1.8K+5.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$13.6M

Previous: -$19.7M+31.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$321M

Previous: -$378M+15.1%
Net Income

$240M

Previous: $192M+25.1%
Operating Income

$308M

Previous: $225M+36.9%
Gross Profit

$538M

Previous: $437M+23.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$755M

Previous: $792M-4.7%
Total Assets

$12.5B

Previous: $12B+4.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$18.3M

Previous: $14.4M+26.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Toll Brothers · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.95B

Q1 2024+9.4%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Toll Brothers · $2.95B total across 5 segments · Q4 2023

  • Mountain
    $780M-19.7%
  • Pacific
    $710M-29.6%
  • South
    $660M+10.5%
  • North
    $412M-33.3%
  • Mid-Atlantic
    $388M+1.1%

Forward guidance

Toll Brothers raised its full year guidance across all key metrics, expecting to earn between $13.25 and $13.75 per diluted share in fiscal 2024. For the second quarter, the company anticipates delivering 2,400 to 2,500 units at an average price of $1,000,000 to $1,010,000, with an adjusted home sales gross margin of 27.6%.

Tailwinds

  • The company expects to deliver 10,000 to 10,500 units in fiscal year 2024.
  • The average delivered price per home is projected to be between $940,000 and $960,000 for the full year.
  • Adjusted home sales gross margin is anticipated to be 28.0% for fiscal year 2024.
  • The period-end community count is expected to reach 410.
  • Other income, income from unconsolidated entities, and gross margin from land sales and other is projected at $260 million for the full year.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 68 earnings

Positive

+10.5%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-19.5%

Q1 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+9.9%+8.3%+25.5%
Q1 2026-2.5%-3.3%-19.4%
Q4 2025-2.4%+2.2%-0.5%
Q3 2025-0.7%+4.9%+5.7%
Q2 2025-0.4%-0.2%+3.6%
Q1 2025-5.9%-9.4%-13.0%
Q4 2024-5.5%-13.1%-17.6%
Q3 2024+5.5%+11.3%+14.6%
Q2 2024-9.0%-6.2%-11.7%
Q1 2024+5.3%+8.9%+23.8%
Q4 2023+1.9%+6.5%+13.2%
Q3 2023+5.1%+3.1%-1.9%
Q2 2023+0.6%+5.2%+17.2%
Q1 2023+0.5%+2.0%+1.9%
Q4 2022+5.6%+4.0%+11.3%
Q3 2022+1.5%+1.3%-7.6%
Q2 2022+2.9%+9.4%-4.9%
Q1 2022-9.4%-0.8%-8.4%
Q4 2021+2.3%+5.3%-3.2%
Q3 2021+7.2%+8.5%+0.9%
Q2 2021+6.3%+7.7%-6.1%
Q1 2021+4.3%-0.4%+4.8%
Q4 2020-5.4%-7.3%-11.6%
Q3 2020-1.3%-6.0%+3.9%
Q2 2020+7.0%+6.7%-2.7%
Q1 2020-19.5%-21.2%-52.9%
Q4 2019-3.6%-2.8%+1.1%
Q3 2019-3.2%-4.0%+7.5%
Q2 2019-2.4%-3.2%-0.2%
Q1 2019-2.6%-5.0%-2.4%
Q4 2018-1.0%-1.2%-1.0%
Q3 2018+10.5%+6.6%+3.3%
Q2 2018-8.5%-6.6%-14.3%
Q1 2018-7.8%-7.6%-9.0%
Q4 2017-7.9%-5.5%-1.0%
Q3 2017-2.0%-1.3%+4.1%
Q2 2017-0.2%-1.7%+2.3%
Q1 2017+6.2%+7.5%+12.1%
Q4 2016+7.0%+5.6%+4.6%
Q3 2016+5.8%+4.8%-0.4%
Q2 2016+7.3%+7.6%+1.8%
Q1 2016+3.1%
Q4 2015-9.8%
Q3 2015-5.5%
Q2 2015-1.4%
Q1 2015+3.8%
Q4 2014-7.6%
Q3 2014-5.4%
Q2 2014+2.1%
Q1 2014+1.5%
Q4 2013-2.4%
Q3 2013+2.6%
Q2 2013+4.4%
Q1 2013-6.6%
Q4 2012-5.6%
Q3 2012+2.5%
Q2 2012+2.1%
Q1 2012+1.3%
Q4 2011-2.7%
Q3 2011+0.2%
Q2 2011-2.0%
Q1 2010+2.8%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q2 2010-0.2%
Q4 2008-0.2%
Q3 2010+1.6%
Q3 2009+1.6%
Q4 2009+1.6%

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