NASDAQ$GO

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp · Q4 2025 earnings

Q4 2025 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

GO reported Q4 2025 net sales/revenue of $1.22B, a net loss of $218.2M, diluted EPS of $-2.22.

For Q4 2025, GO reported Revenue/net sales were $1.22B, net loss was $218.2M, diluted EPS was $-2.22. Management discusses segment performance, liquidity, and outlook in the earnings filing.

  • Revenue/net sales $1.22B for Q4 2025.
  • Net loss $218.2M.
  • Diluted EPS $-2.22.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.22B

Previous: $1.1B+10.9%
EPS (adj)

-$2.22

Previous: $0.15-1580.0%
Comparable Store Sales

-0.8%

No prior period
Total Stores

570

No prior period
New Store Openings

7

No prior period
Gross Margin

29.7%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$68M

No prior period
Transaction Count Increase

0.9%

No prior period
Avg Transaction Decrease

1.7%

No prior period
Net Income

-$218M

Previous: $2.31M-9541.8%
Operating Income

-$235M

Previous: $11.4M-2164.5%
Gross Profit

$361M

Previous: $324M+11.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Grocery Outlet · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.22B

Q4 2025+10.9%vs Q4 2024
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Management issued fiscal 2026 sales and EPS guidance ranges in the earnings release.

Tailwinds

  • Explicit adjusted EPS or comp sales targets for the coming year.
  • Store expansion, membership, or merchandising initiatives.
  • Balance sheet and cash flow support capital returns.

Headwinds

  • Consumer spending and promotional pressure.
  • Margin headwinds from mix, freight, or labor.
  • Macro uncertainty affecting traffic and ticket.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2025

Historical avgQ4 2025

-1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

17 / 32 earnings

Positive

+13.4%

Q3 2021

Best reaction

-30.2%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.5%-4.7%+20.4%
Q4 2025-28.1%-28.1%-17.9%
Q3 2025-8.1%-18.2%-20.0%
Q1 2025-6.3%-13.2%-16.2%
Q4 2024-30.2%-28.0%-15.8%
Q3 2024+11.8%+23.5%+30.3%
Q2 2024+7.4%+7.2%-7.0%
Q1 2024-19.1%-19.1%-17.2%
Q4 2023+0.6%+1.5%+10.7%
Q3 2023-4.0%-2.9%+4.5%
Q2 2023+4.2%+3.4%-8.9%
Q1 2023+4.4%+0.8%-6.0%
Q4 2022-4.4%-0.2%+2.1%
Q3 2022-5.6%-8.9%-12.8%
Q2 2022-7.2%-10.7%-16.7%
Q1 2022+10.5%+14.5%+14.6%
Q4 2021-2.1%+5.4%+17.9%
Q3 2021+13.4%+21.1%+19.9%
Q2 2021-12.4%-15.4%-20.9%
Q1 2021-19.9%-15.8%-17.7%
Q3 2020-2.4%-6.8%-8.6%
Q2 2020-5.2%-4.8%-12.5%
Q1 2019+0.6%+2.3%-9.6%
Q1 2020+2.1%+2.2%-7.5%
Q4 2018+6.7%+1.8%+5.1%
Q4 2017+6.7%+1.8%+5.1%
Q4 2019+6.3%+7.4%+7.7%
Q3 2018+1.9%+1.8%-1.7%
Q3 2019+4.8%+1.4%+2.7%
Q2 2019+5.2%+24.2%-1.8%
Q2 2018+5.2%+24.2%-1.8%
Q1 2018+5.2%+24.2%-1.8%

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