NASDAQ$GO

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Grocery Outlet's financial results for Q2 2021, which ended on July 3, 2021, were announced, revealing a decrease in net sales and comparable store sales compared to the previous year.

Grocery Outlet's Q2 2021 results showed a decrease in net sales by 3.5% to $775.5 million and a decrease in comparable store sales by 10.0%. Net income also decreased by 33.0% to $19.6 million, or $0.20 per diluted share. The company opened 11 new stores, bringing the total to 400 stores.

  • Net sales decreased by 3.5% to $775.5 million.
  • Comparable store sales decreased by 10.0%.
  • Opened 11 new stores, ending the quarter with 400 stores.
  • Net income decreased 33.0% to $19.6 million, or $0.20 per diluted share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$776M

Previous: $803M-3.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.23

Previous: $0.42-45.2%
Comparable Store Sales

-10.0%

Previous: 16.7%-159.9%
Total Stores

400

Previous: 362+10.5%
New Store Openings

11

Previous: 7+57.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$64M

Previous: -$50M-28.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$44.3M

Previous: -$20.6M-114.9%
Net Income

$19.6M

Previous: $29.3M-33.0%
Operating Income

$23.7M

Previous: $32.4M-26.8%
Gross Profit

$238M

Previous: $254M-6.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$127M

Previous: $79.8M+58.7%
Total Assets

$2.57B

Previous: $2.32B+10.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Grocery Outlet · Revenue · Quarterly

$776M

Q2 2021-3.4%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 7 of 11 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company continues to expect to open between 36 and 38 stores in fiscal 2021 with one closure. Quarter-to-date comparable store sales for the third quarter of fiscal 2021 are negative 6%. Based on current trends, the Company expects comparable store sales for the full third quarter of fiscal 2021 to be in the negative mid-single digits. Capital expenditures, net of tenant improvement allowances, are estimated to be approximately $130.0 million for fiscal 2021.

Tailwinds

  • The Company continues to expect to open between 36 and 38 stores in fiscal 2021 with one closure.
  • Capital expenditures, net of tenant improvement allowances, are estimated to be approximately $130.0 million for fiscal 2021.

Headwinds

  • Quarter-to-date comparable store sales for the third quarter of fiscal 2021 are negative 6%.
  • Based on current trends, the Company expects comparable store sales for the full third quarter of fiscal 2021 to be in the negative mid-single digits.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

-1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

17 / 32 earnings

Positive

+13.4%

Q3 2021

Best reaction

-30.2%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.5%-4.7%+20.4%
Q4 2025-28.1%-28.1%-17.9%
Q3 2025-8.1%-18.2%-20.0%
Q1 2025-6.3%-13.2%-16.2%
Q4 2024-30.2%-28.0%-15.8%
Q3 2024+11.8%+23.5%+30.3%
Q2 2024+7.4%+7.2%-7.0%
Q1 2024-19.1%-19.1%-17.2%
Q4 2023+0.6%+1.5%+10.7%
Q3 2023-4.0%-2.9%+4.5%
Q2 2023+4.2%+3.4%-8.9%
Q1 2023+4.4%+0.8%-6.0%
Q4 2022-4.4%-0.2%+2.1%
Q3 2022-5.6%-8.9%-12.8%
Q2 2022-7.2%-10.7%-16.7%
Q1 2022+10.5%+14.5%+14.6%
Q4 2021-2.1%+5.4%+17.9%
Q3 2021+13.4%+21.1%+19.9%
Q2 2021-12.4%-15.4%-20.9%
Q1 2021-19.9%-15.8%-17.7%
Q3 2020-2.4%-6.8%-8.6%
Q2 2020-5.2%-4.8%-12.5%
Q1 2019+0.6%+2.3%-9.6%
Q1 2020+2.1%+2.2%-7.5%
Q4 2018+6.7%+1.8%+5.1%
Q4 2017+6.7%+1.8%+5.1%
Q4 2019+6.3%+7.4%+7.7%
Q3 2018+1.9%+1.8%-1.7%
Q3 2019+4.8%+1.4%+2.7%
Q2 2019+5.2%+24.2%-1.8%
Q2 2018+5.2%+24.2%-1.8%
Q1 2018+5.2%+24.2%-1.8%

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