NASDAQ$GO

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Grocery Outlet announced financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2021.

Grocery Outlet's first quarter fiscal 2021 saw a slight decrease in net sales by 1.0% to $752.5 million, but a significant increase in net income by 49.4% to $18.9 million, or $0.19 per diluted share. The company opened 10 new stores, ending the quarter with 389 stores. Comparable store sales decreased by 8.2% compared to a 17.4% increase in the same period last year.

  • Net sales decreased by 1.0% to $752.5 million.
  • Comparable store sales decreased by 8.2% compared to a 17.4% increase in the same period last year.
  • The Company opened 10 new stores and closed one store, ending the quarter with 389 stores in six states.
  • Net income increased 49.4% to $18.9 million, or $0.19 per diluted share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$752M

Previous: $760M-1.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.23

Previous: $0.36-36.1%
Comparable Store Sales

-8.2%

Previous: 17.4%-147.1%
Total Stores

389

Previous: 355+9.6%
New Store Openings

10

Previous: 8+25.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$36.6M

Previous: -$28.2M-29.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$17.7M

Previous: -$15.5M-13.8%
Net Income

$18.9M

Previous: $12.6M+49.4%
Operating Income

$23.8M

Previous: $16.9M+41.3%
Gross Profit

$232M

Previous: $237M-2.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$95.3M

Previous: $161M-40.8%
Total Assets

$2.5B

Previous: $2.32B+7.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Grocery Outlet · Revenue · Quarterly

$752M

Q1 2021-1%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 6 of 10 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company continues to expect to open between 36 and 38 stores in fiscal 2021 with one closure. Quarter-to-date comparable store sales for the second quarter of fiscal 2021 are in the negative low double digits. Capital expenditures, net of tenant improvement allowances, are estimated to be approximately $130.0 million for fiscal 2021. The Company will report 52 weeks of operating results in fiscal 2021 compared to 53 weeks in fiscal 2020.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

17 / 32 earnings

Positive

+13.4%

Q3 2021

Best reaction

-30.2%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.5%-4.7%+20.4%
Q4 2025-28.1%-28.1%-17.9%
Q3 2025-8.1%-18.2%-20.0%
Q1 2025-6.3%-13.2%-16.2%
Q4 2024-30.2%-28.0%-15.8%
Q3 2024+11.8%+23.5%+30.3%
Q2 2024+7.4%+7.2%-7.0%
Q1 2024-19.1%-19.1%-17.2%
Q4 2023+0.6%+1.5%+10.7%
Q3 2023-4.0%-2.9%+4.5%
Q2 2023+4.2%+3.4%-8.9%
Q1 2023+4.4%+0.8%-6.0%
Q4 2022-4.4%-0.2%+2.1%
Q3 2022-5.6%-8.9%-12.8%
Q2 2022-7.2%-10.7%-16.7%
Q1 2022+10.5%+14.5%+14.6%
Q4 2021-2.1%+5.4%+17.9%
Q3 2021+13.4%+21.1%+19.9%
Q2 2021-12.4%-15.4%-20.9%
Q1 2021-19.9%-15.8%-17.7%
Q3 2020-2.4%-6.8%-8.6%
Q2 2020-5.2%-4.8%-12.5%
Q1 2019+0.6%+2.3%-9.6%
Q1 2020+2.1%+2.2%-7.5%
Q4 2018+6.7%+1.8%+5.1%
Q4 2017+6.7%+1.8%+5.1%
Q4 2019+6.3%+7.4%+7.7%
Q3 2018+1.9%+1.8%-1.7%
Q3 2019+4.8%+1.4%+2.7%
Q2 2019+5.2%+24.2%-1.8%
Q2 2018+5.2%+24.2%-1.8%
Q1 2018+5.2%+24.2%-1.8%

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