NASDAQ$GO

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Grocery Outlet's financial performance in Q2 2024 showed an increase in net sales and comparable store sales, but a decrease in net income.

Grocery Outlet reported an 11.7% increase in net sales, reaching $1.13 billion, and a 2.9% increase in comparable store sales driven by transaction growth. However, net income decreased by 42.8% to $14.0 million, or $0.14 per share.

  • Net sales increased by 11.7% to $1.13 billion.
  • Comparable store sales increased by 2.9%, driven by a 5.1% increase in transactions.
  • The company opened 11 new stores and closed one, ending the quarter with 524 stores.
  • Net income decreased 42.8% to $14.0 million, or $0.14 per share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.13B

Previous: $1.01B+11.7%
EPS

$0.14

Previous: $0.32-56.3%
Gross Margin

30.9%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$67.9M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$85.1M

Previous: -$66M-28.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$71.1M

Previous: -$41.6M-71.2%
Net Income

$14M

Previous: $24.5M-42.8%
Operating Income

$26.1M

Previous: $36.5M-28.4%
Gross Profit

$349M

Previous: $327M+6.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$67.1M

Previous: $87.6M-23.4%
Total Assets

$3.08B

Previous: $2.82B+9.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$7M

Previous: $11.3M-38.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Grocery Outlet · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.13B

Q2 2024+11.7%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company is updating key guidance figures for fiscal 2024.

Tailwinds

  • New store openings, net: 62 to 64
  • Net sales: $4.30 billion to $4.35 billion
  • Comparable store sales increase: ~3.5%
  • Gross margin: ~30.5%
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $252 million to $260 million

Headwinds

  • Adjusted earnings per share – diluted: $0.89 to $0.95
  • Capital expenditures (net of tenant improvement allowances): ~$200 million
  • New store openings, net
  • Adjusted EBITDA
  • Adjusted earnings per share – diluted

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

-1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.3%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

17 / 32 earnings

Positive

+13.4%

Q3 2021

Best reaction

-30.2%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.5%-4.7%
Q4 2025-28.1%-28.1%-17.9%
Q3 2025-8.1%-18.2%-20.0%
Q1 2025-6.3%-13.2%-16.2%
Q4 2024-30.2%-28.0%-15.8%
Q3 2024+11.8%+23.5%+30.3%
Q2 2024+7.4%+7.2%-7.0%
Q1 2024-19.1%-19.1%-17.2%
Q4 2023+0.6%+1.5%+10.7%
Q3 2023-4.0%-2.9%+4.5%
Q2 2023+4.2%+3.4%-8.9%
Q1 2023+4.4%+0.8%-6.0%
Q4 2022-4.4%-0.2%+2.1%
Q3 2022-5.6%-8.9%-12.8%
Q2 2022-7.2%-10.7%-16.7%
Q1 2022+10.5%+14.5%+14.6%
Q4 2021-2.1%+5.4%+17.9%
Q3 2021+13.4%+21.1%+19.9%
Q2 2021-12.4%-15.4%-20.9%
Q1 2021-19.9%-15.8%-17.7%
Q3 2020-2.4%-6.8%-8.6%
Q2 2020-5.2%-4.8%-12.5%
Q1 2019+0.6%+2.3%-9.6%
Q1 2020+2.1%+2.2%-7.5%
Q4 2018+6.7%+1.8%+5.1%
Q4 2017+6.7%+1.8%+5.1%
Q4 2019+6.3%+7.4%+7.7%
Q3 2018+1.9%+1.8%-1.7%
Q3 2019+4.8%+1.4%+2.7%
Q1 2018+5.2%+24.2%-1.8%
Q2 2019+5.2%+24.2%-1.8%
Q2 2018+5.2%+24.2%-1.8%

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