NASDAQ$GO

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced third quarter fiscal 2021 financial results.

Grocery Outlet announced its third quarter fiscal 2021 financial results, with net sales increasing by 0.6% to $768.9 million. The company opened 7 new stores, ending the quarter with 407 stores. Net income decreased 57.7% to $17.1 million, or $0.17 per diluted share.

  • Net sales increased by 0.6% to $768.9 million.
  • Comparable store sales decreased by 4.3% compared to a 9.1% increase in the same period last year.
  • The Company opened 7 new stores, ending the quarter with 407 stores in six states.
  • Net income decreased 57.7% to $17.1 million, or $0.17 per diluted share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$769M

Previous: $764M+0.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.24

Previous: $0.50-52.0%
Comparable Store Sales

-4.3%

Previous: 9.1%-147.3%
Total Stores

407

Previous: 372+9.4%
New Store Openings

7

Previous: 10-30.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$89.6M

Previous: -$85.8M-4.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$72.4M

Previous: -$45.4M-59.6%
Net Income

$17.1M

Previous: $40.5M-57.7%
Operating Income

$26.1M

Previous: $30.3M-13.8%
Gross Profit

$237M

Previous: $238M-0.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$156M

Previous: $59.1M+164.0%
Total Assets

$2.62B

Previous: $2.39B+9.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Grocery Outlet · Revenue · Quarterly

$769M

Q3 2021+0.7%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 8 of 12 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company expects to open eight stores during the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021 for a total of 36 new stores opened in fiscal 2021. Based on current trends, the Company expects comparable store sales for the full fourth quarter of fiscal 2021 to range between negative 3.5% to negative 2.5%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.3%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

17 / 32 earnings

Positive

+13.4%

Q3 2021

Best reaction

-30.2%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.5%-4.7%
Q4 2025-28.1%-28.1%-17.9%
Q3 2025-8.1%-18.2%-20.0%
Q1 2025-6.3%-13.2%-16.2%
Q4 2024-30.2%-28.0%-15.8%
Q3 2024+11.8%+23.5%+30.3%
Q2 2024+7.4%+7.2%-7.0%
Q1 2024-19.1%-19.1%-17.2%
Q4 2023+0.6%+1.5%+10.7%
Q3 2023-4.0%-2.9%+4.5%
Q2 2023+4.2%+3.4%-8.9%
Q1 2023+4.4%+0.8%-6.0%
Q4 2022-4.4%-0.2%+2.1%
Q3 2022-5.6%-8.9%-12.8%
Q2 2022-7.2%-10.7%-16.7%
Q1 2022+10.5%+14.5%+14.6%
Q4 2021-2.1%+5.4%+17.9%
Q3 2021+13.4%+21.1%+19.9%
Q2 2021-12.4%-15.4%-20.9%
Q1 2021-19.9%-15.8%-17.7%
Q3 2020-2.4%-6.8%-8.6%
Q2 2020-5.2%-4.8%-12.5%
Q1 2019+0.6%+2.3%-9.6%
Q1 2020+2.1%+2.2%-7.5%
Q4 2018+6.7%+1.8%+5.1%
Q4 2017+6.7%+1.8%+5.1%
Q4 2019+6.3%+7.4%+7.7%
Q3 2018+1.9%+1.8%-1.7%
Q3 2019+4.8%+1.4%+2.7%
Q1 2018+5.2%+24.2%-1.8%
Q2 2019+5.2%+24.2%-1.8%
Q2 2018+5.2%+24.2%-1.8%

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