NYSE$MSM

MSC Industrial Direct Co. Inc. · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

MSC's Q4 2020 earnings report showed a decrease in net sales and diluted EPS compared to the prior year quarter, reflecting a weak industrial demand environment impacted by COVID-19, while strategic initiatives like cost containment and structural cost actions were implemented.

MSC Industrial Supply Co. reported a decrease in net sales of 11.3% year-over-year, with net sales of $747.7 million. Diluted EPS was $0.94 compared to $1.20 in the prior year quarter. Despite the weak industrial demand environment, the company saw sequential improvement in sales of non-safety and non-janitorial products, and sales of safety and janitorial products continued to grow.

  • Net sales decreased by 11.3% year-over-year to $747.7 million.
  • Operating income was $72.9 million, or $84.1 million excluding restructuring costs.
  • Diluted EPS was $0.94, compared to $1.20 in the prior year quarter.
  • Average daily sales were $11.7 million due to weak industrial demand.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$748M

Previous: $843M-11.3%
EPS (adj)

$1.09

Previous: $1.30-16.2%
Capital Expenditures

$11.1M

Previous: $15.8M-30.0%
Free Cash Flow

$171M

Previous: $125M+36.1%
Net Income

$52.6M

Previous: $66.6M-21.0%
Operating Income

$72.9M

Previous: $90.5M-19.4%
Gross Profit

$311M

Previous: $354M-12.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$125M

Previous: $32.3M+287.8%
Total Assets

$2.38B

Previous: $2.31B+3.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.47M

Previous: $4.12M+8.6%

Revenue & EPS history

MSC · Revenue · Quarterly

$748M

Q4 2020-11.3%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

MSC is focused on reaccelerating market share capture and improving profitability through a program named Mission Critical, targeting above-market growth and ROIC in the high-teens by 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Repositioning MSC as a mission-critical partner.
  • Focus on reaccelerating market share capture.
  • Program named Mission Critical to improve profitability.
  • Targeting above-market growth of at least 400 basis points.
  • Aiming for ROIC in the high-teens by 2023.

Headwinds

  • Weak industrial demand environment.
  • COVID-19 uncertainty impacting manufacturing end markets.
  • Gross margin decline due to PPE mix headwinds.
  • Operating margin down 90 basis points versus the prior year.
  • Adjusted operating margin down 30 basis points versus the prior year.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.5%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

29 / 67 earnings

Positive

+8.1%

Q1 2017

Best reaction

-17.1%

Q3 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026
Q2 2026+0.8%+6.7%
Q1 2026-4.4%-1.6%+12.5%
Q4 2025+3.0%-3.1%+1.2%
Q3 2025-1.9%-3.0%-2.9%
Q2 2025-5.2%-11.5%-2.1%
Q1 2025+0.1%+3.4%+0.5%
Q4 2024-2.7%+2.0%+5.7%
Q3 2024+0.4%-1.1%+7.8%
Q2 2024-3.6%-4.9%-6.3%
Q1 2024-1.9%+0.4%+2.9%
Q4 2023-1.9%-1.7%+3.8%
Q3 2023-0.7%-0.2%+4.1%
Q2 2023+0.2%+0.1%+6.2%
Q1 2023-3.9%-1.9%+9.0%
Q4 2022+1.9%+3.5%+9.9%
Q3 2022+2.1%+1.5%+12.4%
Q2 2022+3.1%+2.0%+0.3%
Q1 2022-0.0%+0.6%-1.6%
Q4 2021-4.1%-4.1%-2.4%
Q3 2021-1.0%-0.4%-5.4%
Q2 2021-1.8%-2.5%+2.2%
Q1 2021+2.7%+0.5%+4.0%
Q4 2020+1.3%+5.1%+28.8%
Q3 2020-12.9%-12.0%-6.4%
Q2 2020+3.7%-1.7%+4.3%
Q1 2020-1.2%+0.9%-7.5%
Q4 2019+1.3%-0.2%-0.3%
Q3 2019-1.6%-0.2%-5.9%
Q2 2019-3.1%-2.0%-8.1%
Q1 2019+0.9%+1.9%+5.1%
Q4 2018+5.9%+9.6%+14.3%
Q3 2018-4.2%-3.7%+0.3%
Q2 2018-3.9%-3.1%+0.2%
Q1 2018-2.6%-3.0%-8.7%
Q4 2017+1.6%+3.1%+13.3%
Q3 2017-17.1%-14.6%-19.9%
Q2 2017-7.0%-8.5%-12.7%
Q1 2017+8.1%+7.2%+13.3%
Q4 2016-1.2%+1.0%+23.4%
Q3 2016+4.3%+2.6%+2.9%
Q2 2016-0.5%
Q1 2016+6.7%
Q4 2015+3.3%
Q3 2015+4.1%
Q2 2015-1.3%
Q1 2015-5.1%
Q4 2014-5.4%
Q3 2014-5.3%
Q2 2014+2.0%
Q1 2014+4.0%
Q4 2013-8.4%
Q3 2013-0.2%
Q2 2013-5.3%
Q1 2013-1.3%
Q4 2012+4.1%
Q3 2012+5.0%
Q2 2012-3.2%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q2 2011+4.2%
Q4 2009+4.2%
Q4 2011+4.2%
Q3 2010+1.8%
Q3 2011+1.8%
Q2 2010-4.2%
Q1 2010-7.0%
Q1 2011-7.0%
Q4 2010-7.0%

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