NYSE$GBX

The Greenbrier Companies Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Greenbrier's Q4 2022 performance demonstrated the value of its diverse business activities, with strong operating performance amid economic volatility.

Greenbrier reported Q4 2022 results with earnings of $0.60 per diluted share on revenue of $950 million. The company generated nearly $180 million in operating cash flow and maintained a strong lease fleet utilization of 98%. They also issued fiscal 2023 guidance.

  • New railcar orders for 4,800 units valued at $620 million and deliveries of 5,800 units.
  • Diversified new railcar backlog as of August 31, 2022 was 29,500 units with an estimated value of $3.5 billion.
  • Ended the quarter with liquidity of $690 million, including $543 million in cash and $147 million of available borrowing capacity.
  • Net earnings attributable to Greenbrier for the quarter were $20 million, or $0.60 per diluted share, on revenue of $950 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$951M

Previous: $599M+58.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.60

Previous: $0.98-38.8%
Lease fleet utilization

98.0%

No prior period
Net Income

$20M

Previous: $31.8M-37.1%
Operating Income

$61.4M

Previous: $43.1M+42.5%
Gross Profit

$127M

Previous: $98.1M+29.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$543M

Previous: $647M-16.0%
Total Assets

$3.85B

Previous: $3.39B+13.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.6M

Previous: $2.24M+105.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Greenbrier · Revenue · Quarterly

$951M

Q4 2022+58.7%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 14 quarters(71%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Greenbrier expects deliveries of 22,000 – 24,000 units, revenue at $3.2 – $3.6 billion, and capital expenditures at approximately $240 million in Leasing & Management Services, $80 million in Manufacturing and $10 million in Maintenance Services for fiscal year 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Deliveries of 22,000 – 24,000 units including approximately 1,000 units in Greenbrier-Maxion (Brazil)
  • Revenue at $3.2 – $3.6 billion
  • Capital expenditures at approximately $240 million in Leasing & Management Services
  • Capital expenditures at approximately $80 million in Manufacturing
  • Capital expenditures at approximately $10 million in Maintenance Services

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

28 / 65 earnings

Positive

+32.7%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-21.3%

Q1 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026-1.2%-0.5%
Q1 2026-9.9%-8.8%+2.4%
Q4 2025-7.5%-7.6%-1.7%
Q3 2025-2.5%-5.6%-10.1%
Q2 2025-11.4%-8.9%-0.1%
Q1 2025+4.2%+6.7%+7.7%
Q4 2024+15.0%+19.1%+27.6%
Q3 2024-6.2%-6.4%-8.2%
Q2 2024+3.1%+1.9%-0.3%
Q1 2024+9.4%+6.6%+5.8%
Q4 2023-20.2%-16.9%-8.3%
Q3 2023+32.7%+32.7%+38.0%
Q2 2023+9.6%-2.7%-12.3%
Q1 2023-21.3%-18.0%-9.3%
Q4 2022+24.0%+32.6%+37.7%
Q3 2022-12.4%-10.0%-4.3%
Q2 2022-7.2%-4.5%-9.9%
Q1 2022-12.5%-14.0%-15.1%
Q4 2021-12.0%-12.1%-10.9%
Q3 2021+8.9%+8.2%+8.8%
Q2 2021-6.0%-5.0%+0.1%
Q1 2021-0.3%-0.6%+12.0%
Q4 2020-12.8%-18.4%-1.7%
Q3 2020+17.7%+20.2%+27.3%
Q2 2020+29.8%+29.5%+13.0%
Q1 2020-10.6%-12.2%-15.8%
Q4 2019-5.4%-7.0%-10.4%
Q3 2019-8.4%-6.3%-8.3%
Q2 2019-2.4%-0.5%+8.6%
Q1 2019-7.2%-6.4%-4.1%
Q4 2018-12.0%-11.8%-17.4%
Q3 2018+15.4%+13.5%+20.6%
Q2 2018-7.3%-9.4%-8.1%
Q1 2018-4.6%-7.0%-7.1%
Q4 2017+0.4%+2.4%-7.0%
Q3 2017-7.5%-6.7%-10.6%
Q2 2017+12.9%+11.2%+0.5%
Q1 2017+17.8%+21.2%+13.9%
Q4 2016-10.4%-14.7%+6.8%
Q3 2016-1.8%+6.3%+15.5%
Q2 2016+10.8%
Q1 2016-13.7%
Q4 2015+12.8%
Q3 2015+3.7%
Q2 2015+5.2%
Q1 2015+10.9%
Q4 2014-1.1%
Q3 2014+16.6%
Q2 2014-3.8%
Q1 2014+7.1%
Q4 2013+19.2%
Q3 2013-8.6%
Q2 2013-3.8%
Q1 2013-0.7%
Q4 2012-20.2%
Q4 2010-20.2%
Q3 2011-2.8%
Q3 2012+9.5%
Q2 2011-13.8%
Q2 2012-13.8%
Q1 2011+7.7%
Q1 2012+7.7%
Q4 2011+7.7%
Q3 2010+17.5%
Q2 2010+12.7%

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