NYSE$GBX

The Greenbrier Companies Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Greenbrier's operating results were strong, with lease fleet utilization and manufacturing production remaining robust in North America, offset by inflation and the war in Ukraine.

Greenbrier reported net earnings of $3.1 million, or $0.09 per diluted share, on revenue of $794 million. The company's new railcar backlog reached its highest value in six years at $3.6 billion, and lease fleet utilization remained high at 98%.

  • New railcar orders totaled 5,000 units valued at $670 million, with deliveries of 5,200 units, resulting in a book-to-bill of nearly 1.0x.
  • The new railcar backlog as of May 31, 2022, was 30,900 units, valued at $3.6 billion.
  • Lease fleet utilization was maintained at 98%.
  • Quarter end liquidity of $535 million, including $450 million in cash.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$794M

Previous: $450M+76.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.09

Previous: $0.69-87.0%
New railcar orders

5.0K

No prior period
Railcar backlog value

$3.6B

No prior period
Lease fleet utilization

98.0%

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$3.1M

Previous: $19.7M-84.3%
Net Income

$3.1M

Previous: $19.7M-84.3%
Operating Income

$19.6M

Previous: $25.7M-23.8%
Gross Profit

$76.3M

Previous: $75.1M+1.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$450M

Previous: $628M-28.4%
Total Assets

$3.71B

Previous: $3.21B+15.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$5M

Previous: $3.52M+42.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Greenbrier · Revenue · Quarterly

$794M

Q3 2022+76.3%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Based on current business trends and production schedules for fiscal 2022, Greenbrier expects deliveries of 18,500 – 19,500 units, Selling & administrative expense to be $210 - $215 million and Capital expenditures will be approximately $310 million in Leasing & Management Services, $50 million in Manufacturing and $10 million in Maintenance Services.

Tailwinds

  • Deliveries of 18,500 – 19,500 units including approximately 1,500 units in Greenbrier-Maxion (Brazil).

Headwinds

  • Selling & administrative expense to be $210 - $215 million.
  • Capital expenditures will be approximately $310 million in Leasing & Management Services, $50 million in Manufacturing and $10 million in Maintenance Services.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

28 / 65 earnings

Positive

+32.7%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-21.3%

Q1 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026-1.2%-0.5%
Q1 2026-9.9%-8.8%+2.4%
Q4 2025-7.5%-7.6%-1.7%
Q3 2025-2.5%-5.6%-10.1%
Q2 2025-11.4%-8.9%-0.1%
Q1 2025+4.2%+6.7%+7.7%
Q4 2024+15.0%+19.1%+27.6%
Q3 2024-6.2%-6.4%-8.2%
Q2 2024+3.1%+1.9%-0.3%
Q1 2024+9.4%+6.6%+5.8%
Q4 2023-20.2%-16.9%-8.3%
Q3 2023+32.7%+32.7%+38.0%
Q2 2023+9.6%-2.7%-12.3%
Q1 2023-21.3%-18.0%-9.3%
Q4 2022+24.0%+32.6%+37.7%
Q3 2022-12.4%-10.0%-4.3%
Q2 2022-7.2%-4.5%-9.9%
Q1 2022-12.5%-14.0%-15.1%
Q4 2021-12.0%-12.1%-10.9%
Q3 2021+8.9%+8.2%+8.8%
Q2 2021-6.0%-5.0%+0.1%
Q1 2021-0.3%-0.6%+12.0%
Q4 2020-12.8%-18.4%-1.7%
Q3 2020+17.7%+20.2%+27.3%
Q2 2020+29.8%+29.5%+13.0%
Q1 2020-10.6%-12.2%-15.8%
Q4 2019-5.4%-7.0%-10.4%
Q3 2019-8.4%-6.3%-8.3%
Q2 2019-2.4%-0.5%+8.6%
Q1 2019-7.2%-6.4%-4.1%
Q4 2018-12.0%-11.8%-17.4%
Q3 2018+15.4%+13.5%+20.6%
Q2 2018-7.3%-9.4%-8.1%
Q1 2018-4.6%-7.0%-7.1%
Q4 2017+0.4%+2.4%-7.0%
Q3 2017-7.5%-6.7%-10.6%
Q2 2017+12.9%+11.2%+0.5%
Q1 2017+17.8%+21.2%+13.9%
Q4 2016-10.4%-14.7%+6.8%
Q3 2016-1.8%+6.3%+15.5%
Q2 2016+10.8%
Q1 2016-13.7%
Q4 2015+12.8%
Q3 2015+3.7%
Q2 2015+5.2%
Q1 2015+10.9%
Q4 2014-1.1%
Q3 2014+16.6%
Q2 2014-3.8%
Q1 2014+7.1%
Q4 2013+19.2%
Q3 2013-8.6%
Q2 2013-3.8%
Q1 2013-0.7%
Q4 2012-20.2%
Q4 2010-20.2%
Q3 2011-2.8%
Q3 2012+9.5%
Q2 2011-13.8%
Q2 2012-13.8%
Q1 2011+7.7%
Q1 2012+7.7%
Q4 2011+7.7%
Q3 2010+17.5%
Q2 2010+12.7%

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