NYSE$FLO
Flowers Foods · Q4 2024 earnings
Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations
Briefing
Flowers Foods' Q4 2024 results were reported, featuring a decrease in net sales but increases in net income and adjusted EBITDA.
Flowers Foods reported a decrease in net sales by 1.6% to $1.111 billion in Q4 2024, but net income increased by 20.9% to $43.1 million and adjusted EBITDA increased by 6.3% to $102.4 million. The company's performance was driven by positive pricing/mix offsetting volume declines, moderating ingredient costs, optimization of the non-retail business, and cost savings initiatives.
- Net sales decreased 1.6% to $1.111 billion due to volume declines offsetting positive pricing/mix.
- Net income increased 20.9% to $43.1 million, representing 3.9% of sales.
- Adjusted EBITDA increased 6.3% to $102.4 million, representing 9.2% of net sales.
- Diluted EPS increased $0.03 to $0.20, and adjusted diluted EPS increased $0.02 to $0.22.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Flowers Foods · Revenue · Quarterly
$1.11B
Revenue by segment
Flowers Foods · $1.57B total across 2 segments · Q1 2026
- Branded Retail$1.05B—66.5%
- Other$526M—33.5%
Forward guidance
For the 53-week Fiscal 2025, the company expects net sales of approximately $5.403 billion to $5.487 billion, adjusted EBITDA in the range of approximately $560 million to $591 million, and adjusted diluted EPS in the range of approximately $1.11 to $1.24.
Tailwinds
- Net sales of approximately $5.403 billion to $5.487 billion, representing 5.9% to 7.5% growth compared to the prior year.
- Excluding the Simple Mills acquisition, net sales of approximately $5.180 billion to $5.257 billion, representing 1.5% to 3.0% growth compared to the prior year.
- Adjusted EBITDA in the range of approximately $560 million to $591 million.
- Excluding the Simple Mills acquisition, adjusted EBITDA in the range of approximately $526 million to $554 million.
- Adjusted diluted EPS in the range of approximately $1.11 to $1.24.
Headwinds
- The partial-year benefit of the Simple Mills acquisition is expected to be ($0.07) to ($0.04) dilutive to adjusted EPS.
- The outlook for the back half incorporates the lapping of benefits, commodity cost headwinds, and continued challenging category trends.
- First-half results are expected to benefit from the carryover of new business wins and savings and pricing initiatives, as well as moderating commodity costs.
- Depreciation and amortization in the range of $175 million to $185 million.
- Net interest expense of approximately $60 million to $65 million.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024
-1.7%
Avg return
Earnings day
-0.8%
Avg return
5 days after
-1.7%
Avg return
30 days after
40%
26 / 65 earnings
Positive
+10.8%
Q4 2014
Best reaction
-17.5%
Q4 2015
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -0.5% | +11.7% | +11.3% | |
| Q4 2025 | -8.7% | -12.9% | -22.6% | |
| Q3 2025 | +1.9% | -1.2% | -7.5% | |
| Q2 2025 | -5.3% | -5.2% | -17.1% | |
| Q1 2025 | +1.5% | -3.3% | -6.4% | |
| Q4 2024 | -1.3% | -4.8% | +0.3% | |
| Q3 2024 | -2.1% | -1.8% | -0.4% | |
| Q2 2024 | +1.5% | +1.8% | +2.3% | |
| Q1 2024 | -4.2% | -4.9% | -12.5% | |
| Q4 2023 | -4.2% | -4.3% | -0.9% | |
| Q3 2023 | -6.9% | -4.7% | -2.0% | |
| Q2 2023 | +3.9% | +0.5% | -7.2% | |
| Q1 2023 | -9.2% | -9.1% | -12.9% | |
| Q4 2022 | +0.2% | +0.4% | -0.9% | |
| Q3 2022 | -5.4% | -0.6% | +1.6% | |
| Q2 2022 | -0.2% | +1.6% | -3.2% | |
| Q1 2022 | +4.5% | +5.0% | -2.8% | |
| Q4 2021 | -1.2% | -0.5% | -13.9% | |
| Q3 2021 | +2.3% | +5.3% | +1.7% | |
| Q2 2021 | +5.7% | +9.3% | +2.3% | |
| Q1 2021 | -2.1% | -2.3% | -3.8% | |
| Q4 2020 | -0.1% | -1.5% | +3.0% | |
| Q3 2020 | -2.4% | -6.9% | -7.2% | |
| Q2 2020 | +2.3% | +4.4% | +3.4% | |
| Q1 2020 | +1.6% | +3.3% | -1.0% | |
| Q4 2019 | +0.4% | +2.8% | +7.8% | |
| Q3 2019 | -1.1% | +0.0% | +3.6% | |
| Q2 2019 | -4.7% | -7.0% | -5.5% | |
| Q1 2019 | +7.1% | +7.8% | +9.6% | |
| Q4 2018 | +1.5% | +0.6% | +1.6% | |
| Q3 2018 | -1.1% | +5.5% | +0.8% | |
| Q2 2018 | -6.0% | -6.1% | -1.5% | |
| Q1 2018 | -10.2% | -10.9% | -5.6% | |
| Q4 2017 | +5.6% | +7.9% | +13.4% | |
| Q3 2017 | +2.6% | +5.6% | +13.2% | |
| Q2 2017 | +0.0% | +3.5% | +2.0% | |
| Q1 2017 | -6.6% | -5.0% | -9.9% | |
| Q4 2016 | -8.3% | -5.5% | -5.5% | |
| Q3 2016 | -0.5% | +3.5% | +23.3% | |
| Q2 2016 | -15.8% | -14.0% | -17.7% | |
| Q1 2016 | +1.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | -17.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -12.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +6.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -2.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +10.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | -2.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -3.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +3.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -4.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -8.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -3.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -2.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +1.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -1.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | -4.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +6.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +1.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +0.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -11.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | +0.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +0.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +0.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | -0.1% | — | — |
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