NYSE$FLO

Flowers Foods · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Flowers Foods reported a record quarter in terms of sales and earnings, driven by increased retail demand amidst the COVID-19 pandemic.

Flowers Foods reported a 6.8% increase in sales to $1.349 billion for the first quarter of 2020. Diluted EPS resulted in a loss of $0.03, while adjusted diluted EPS increased to $0.41. The company's retail business benefited from increased demand, while the foodservice sector was pressured by restaurant sales slowdown.

  • Sales increased by 6.8% to $1.349 billion, including a COVID-19 impact of 6.5% to 7.5%.
  • Diluted EPS decreased to a loss of $0.03, impacted by a $0.41 per share charge related to pension plan termination.
  • Adjusted diluted EPS increased by $0.09 to $0.41, with a $0.09 to $0.10 increase attributable to COVID-19.
  • Branded retail sales increased by 17.7%, while non-retail and other sales decreased by 15.0%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.35B

Previous: $1.26B+6.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.41

Previous: $0.32+28.1%
Sales Volume Change

0.6%

No prior period
Sales Pricing/Mix Change

6.2%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$21.7M

Previous: -$20.8M-4.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$27.5M

Previous: $45.1M-160.9%
Net Income

-$5.77M

Previous: $65.9M-108.8%
Operating Income

$112M

Previous: $90.6M+23.5%
Gross Profit

$679M

Previous: -$864K+78638.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$253M

Previous: $11.6M+2081.3%
Total Assets

$3.41B

Previous: $3.24B+5.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.89M

Previous: $3.18M+22.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Flowers Foods · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.35B

Q1 2020+6.8%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Flowers Foods · $891M total across 1 segment · Q1 2020

  • Branded Retail
    $891M+17.7%

Forward guidance

For the 53-week Fiscal 2020, the Company Expects: Sales in the range of approximately $4.206 billion to $4.289 billion, representing growth of approximately 2.0% to 4.0%. Diluted EPS in the range of approximately $0.57 to $0.65, including a $0.41 per share charge related to the termination of a defined benefit pension plan. Adjusted diluted EPS in the range of approximately $1.00 to $1.08, adjusted for items affecting comparability, representing growth of approximately 4.2% to 12.5%.

Tailwinds

  • Sales in the range of approximately $4.206 billion to $4.289 billion, representing growth of approximately 2.0% to 4.0%.
  • Adjusted diluted EPS in the range of approximately $1.00 to $1.08, adjusted for items affecting comparability, representing growth of approximately 4.2% to 12.5%.
  • Portfolio and supply chain optimization benefit of $10 million to $20 million
  • Depreciation and amortization in the range of $140 million to $145 million
  • Net interest expense in the range of $8 million to $10 million

Headwinds

  • Diluted EPS in the range of approximately $0.57 to $0.65, including a $0.41 per share charge related to the termination of a defined benefit pension plan.
  • Other pension expense of approximately $2 million
  • An effective tax rate of approximately 24%
  • Weighted average diluted share count for the year of approximately 212.5 million shares
  • Capital expenditures for the year in the range of $95 million to $105 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

-1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

26 / 65 earnings

Positive

+10.8%

Q4 2014

Best reaction

-17.5%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.5%+11.7%+11.3%
Q4 2025-8.7%-12.9%-22.6%
Q3 2025+1.9%-1.2%-7.5%
Q2 2025-5.3%-5.2%-17.1%
Q1 2025+1.5%-3.3%-6.4%
Q4 2024-1.3%-4.8%+0.3%
Q3 2024-2.1%-1.8%-0.4%
Q2 2024+1.5%+1.8%+2.3%
Q1 2024-4.2%-4.9%-12.5%
Q4 2023-4.2%-4.3%-0.9%
Q3 2023-6.9%-4.7%-2.0%
Q2 2023+3.9%+0.5%-7.2%
Q1 2023-9.2%-9.1%-12.9%
Q4 2022+0.2%+0.4%-0.9%
Q3 2022-5.4%-0.6%+1.6%
Q2 2022-0.2%+1.6%-3.2%
Q1 2022+4.5%+5.0%-2.8%
Q4 2021-1.2%-0.5%-13.9%
Q3 2021+2.3%+5.3%+1.7%
Q2 2021+5.7%+9.3%+2.3%
Q1 2021-2.1%-2.3%-3.8%
Q4 2020-0.1%-1.5%+3.0%
Q3 2020-2.4%-6.9%-7.2%
Q2 2020+2.3%+4.4%+3.4%
Q1 2020+1.6%+3.3%-1.0%
Q4 2019+0.4%+2.8%+7.8%
Q3 2019-1.1%+0.0%+3.6%
Q2 2019-4.7%-7.0%-5.5%
Q1 2019+7.1%+7.8%+9.6%
Q4 2018+1.5%+0.6%+1.6%
Q3 2018-1.1%+5.5%+0.8%
Q2 2018-6.0%-6.1%-1.5%
Q1 2018-10.2%-10.9%-5.6%
Q4 2017+5.6%+7.9%+13.4%
Q3 2017+2.6%+5.6%+13.2%
Q2 2017+0.0%+3.5%+2.0%
Q1 2017-6.6%-5.0%-9.9%
Q4 2016-8.3%-5.5%-5.5%
Q3 2016-0.5%+3.5%+23.3%
Q2 2016-15.8%-14.0%-17.7%
Q1 2016+1.5%
Q4 2015-17.5%
Q3 2015-12.8%
Q2 2015+6.4%
Q1 2015-2.7%
Q4 2014+10.8%
Q3 2014-2.2%
Q2 2014-3.6%
Q1 2014+3.0%
Q4 2013-4.5%
Q3 2013-8.9%
Q2 2013-3.1%
Q1 2013-2.0%
Q4 2012+1.1%
Q3 2012-1.5%
Q2 2012-4.0%
Q1 2012+6.7%
Q4 2009+1.5%
Q3 2011+0.7%
Q2 2011-11.7%
Q1 2011-0.4%
Q3 2010+0.7%
Q2 2010+0.2%
Q4 2010+0.2%
Q1 2010-0.1%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro