NYSE$FLO
Flowers Foods · Q1 2023 earnings
Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Flowers Foods' first quarter 2023 results reflected the competitive strength of its brands amidst a challenging environment.
Flowers Foods reported a 6.9% increase in sales, reaching a quarter-record of $1.534 billion, driven by price increases to offset inflationary pressures; however, net income decreased by 17.4% to $70.7 million, and diluted EPS decreased to $0.33.
- Sales increased 6.9% to a quarter-record $1.534 billion.
- Net income decreased 17.4% to $70.7 million.
- Diluted EPS decreased $0.07 to $0.33.
- The company is adjusting its outlook for fiscal 2023 to account for the slow start to the year and lower-than-expected branded retail sales due to softer category demand.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Flowers Foods · Revenue · Quarterly
$1.53B
Revenue by segment
Flowers Foods · $979M total across 1 segment · Q1 2023
- Branded Retail$979M+2.5%100.0%
Forward guidance
For the 52-week Fiscal 2023, the Company Expects: Sales in the range of approximately $5.086 billion to $5.141 billion, representing an increase of approximately 5.8% to 7.0% compared to the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA in the range of approximately $494 million to $528 million. Adjusted EPS in the range of approximately $1.15 to $1.25.
Tailwinds
- Sales in the range of approximately $5.086 billion to $5.141 billion, representing an increase of approximately 5.8% to 7.0% compared to the prior year period.
- Adjusted EBITDA in the range of approximately $494 million to $528 million.
- Adjusted EPS in the range of approximately $1.15 to $1.25.
- Depreciation and amortization in the range of $160 million to $165 million
- Net interest expense of approximately $9 million to $13 million
Headwinds
- An effective tax rate of approximately 25%
- Weighted average diluted share count for the year of approximately 213 million shares
- Capital expenditures in the range of $140 million to $150 million, with $30 million to $40 million related to the ERP upgrade
- We are adjusting our outlook for fiscal 2023 to account for the slow start to the year and lower-than-expected branded retail sales due to softer category demand.
- Adapting our business to make it even more resilient in the rapidly evolving consumer environment.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023
-1.7%
Avg return
Earnings day
-0.8%
Avg return
5 days after
-1.7%
Avg return
30 days after
40%
26 / 65 earnings
Positive
+10.8%
Q4 2014
Best reaction
-17.5%
Q4 2015
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -0.5% | +11.7% | +11.3% | |
| Q4 2025 | -8.7% | -12.9% | -22.6% | |
| Q3 2025 | +1.9% | -1.2% | -7.5% | |
| Q2 2025 | -5.3% | -5.2% | -17.1% | |
| Q1 2025 | +1.5% | -3.3% | -6.4% | |
| Q4 2024 | -1.3% | -4.8% | +0.3% | |
| Q3 2024 | -2.1% | -1.8% | -0.4% | |
| Q2 2024 | +1.5% | +1.8% | +2.3% | |
| Q1 2024 | -4.2% | -4.9% | -12.5% | |
| Q4 2023 | -4.2% | -4.3% | -0.9% | |
| Q3 2023 | -6.9% | -4.7% | -2.0% | |
| Q2 2023 | +3.9% | +0.5% | -7.2% | |
| Q1 2023 | -9.2% | -9.1% | -12.9% | |
| Q4 2022 | +0.2% | +0.4% | -0.9% | |
| Q3 2022 | -5.4% | -0.6% | +1.6% | |
| Q2 2022 | -0.2% | +1.6% | -3.2% | |
| Q1 2022 | +4.5% | +5.0% | -2.8% | |
| Q4 2021 | -1.2% | -0.5% | -13.9% | |
| Q3 2021 | +2.3% | +5.3% | +1.7% | |
| Q2 2021 | +5.7% | +9.3% | +2.3% | |
| Q1 2021 | -2.1% | -2.3% | -3.8% | |
| Q4 2020 | -0.1% | -1.5% | +3.0% | |
| Q3 2020 | -2.4% | -6.9% | -7.2% | |
| Q2 2020 | +2.3% | +4.4% | +3.4% | |
| Q1 2020 | +1.6% | +3.3% | -1.0% | |
| Q4 2019 | +0.4% | +2.8% | +7.8% | |
| Q3 2019 | -1.1% | +0.0% | +3.6% | |
| Q2 2019 | -4.7% | -7.0% | -5.5% | |
| Q1 2019 | +7.1% | +7.8% | +9.6% | |
| Q4 2018 | +1.5% | +0.6% | +1.6% | |
| Q3 2018 | -1.1% | +5.5% | +0.8% | |
| Q2 2018 | -6.0% | -6.1% | -1.5% | |
| Q1 2018 | -10.2% | -10.9% | -5.6% | |
| Q4 2017 | +5.6% | +7.9% | +13.4% | |
| Q3 2017 | +2.6% | +5.6% | +13.2% | |
| Q2 2017 | +0.0% | +3.5% | +2.0% | |
| Q1 2017 | -6.6% | -5.0% | -9.9% | |
| Q4 2016 | -8.3% | -5.5% | -5.5% | |
| Q3 2016 | -0.5% | +3.5% | +23.3% | |
| Q2 2016 | -15.8% | -14.0% | -17.7% | |
| Q1 2016 | +1.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | -17.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -12.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +6.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -2.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +10.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | -2.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -3.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +3.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -4.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -8.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -3.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -2.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +1.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -1.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | -4.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +6.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +1.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +0.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -11.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | +0.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +0.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +0.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | -0.1% | — | — |
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