NYSE$FLO

Flowers Foods · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Flowers Foods reported third quarter results with sales and earnings generated above year-ago results.

Flowers Foods reported a 3.9% increase in sales, reaching $1.028 billion, and a net income of $38.9 million. The company raised its 2021 sales and earnings guidance due to strong year-to-date performance.

  • Sales increased 3.9% to $1.028 billion.
  • Net income decreased 12.4% to $38.9 million.
  • Adjusted diluted EPS increased to $0.30.
  • The company is raising its 2021 sales and earnings guidance.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.03B

Previous: $990M+3.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.30

Previous: $0.29+3.4%
Sales Volume Change

-2.5%

Previous: -5.7%+56.1%
Sales Pricing/Mix Change

6.4%

Previous: 8.1%-21.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$86.7M

Previous: -$68.3M-27.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$47.9M

Previous: -$23.9M-100.1%
Net Income

$38.9M

Previous: $44.3M-12.4%
Operating Income

$52.1M

Previous: $53M-1.6%
Gross Profit

$513M

Previous: $492M+4.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$308M

Previous: $326M-5.6%
Total Assets

$3.32B

Previous: $3.39B-1.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Flowers Foods · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.03B

Q3 2021+3.9%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Flowers Foods · $689M total across 1 segment · Q3 2021

  • Branded Retail
    $689M+4.9%

Forward guidance

For the 52-week Fiscal 2021, the company expects sales in the range of approximately $4.300 billion to $4.344 billion and Diluted EPS in the range of approximately $1.22 to $1.26.

Tailwinds

  • Sales in the range of approximately $4.300 billion to $4.344 billion.
  • The new sales guidance represents an increase over prior guidance of approximately $4.256 billion to $4.300 billion.
  • Diluted EPS in the range of approximately $1.22 to $1.26.
  • EPS guidance includes a $0.01 impact in the fourth quarter for appreciation bonuses to be paid to frontline workers.
  • Depreciation and amortization in the range of $135 million to $140 million

Headwinds

  • Sales represent a decrease of approximately 1.0% to 2.0% compared to the prior year period.
  • This change includes a 1.8% reduction in sales due to one fewer week in fiscal 2021.
  • The effect of one fewer week in fiscal 2021 impacts EPS by approximately $0.02.
  • Net interest expense of approximately $8 million
  • An effective tax rate of approximately 24.5%

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

26 / 65 earnings

Positive

+10.8%

Q4 2014

Best reaction

-17.5%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.5%+11.7%+11.3%
Q4 2025-8.7%-12.9%-22.6%
Q3 2025+1.9%-1.2%-7.5%
Q2 2025-5.3%-5.2%-17.1%
Q1 2025+1.5%-3.3%-6.4%
Q4 2024-1.3%-4.8%+0.3%
Q3 2024-2.1%-1.8%-0.4%
Q2 2024+1.5%+1.8%+2.3%
Q1 2024-4.2%-4.9%-12.5%
Q4 2023-4.2%-4.3%-0.9%
Q3 2023-6.9%-4.7%-2.0%
Q2 2023+3.9%+0.5%-7.2%
Q1 2023-9.2%-9.1%-12.9%
Q4 2022+0.2%+0.4%-0.9%
Q3 2022-5.4%-0.6%+1.6%
Q2 2022-0.2%+1.6%-3.2%
Q1 2022+4.5%+5.0%-2.8%
Q4 2021-1.2%-0.5%-13.9%
Q3 2021+2.3%+5.3%+1.7%
Q2 2021+5.7%+9.3%+2.3%
Q1 2021-2.1%-2.3%-3.8%
Q4 2020-0.1%-1.5%+3.0%
Q3 2020-2.4%-6.9%-7.2%
Q2 2020+2.3%+4.4%+3.4%
Q1 2020+1.6%+3.3%-1.0%
Q4 2019+0.4%+2.8%+7.8%
Q3 2019-1.1%+0.0%+3.6%
Q2 2019-4.7%-7.0%-5.5%
Q1 2019+7.1%+7.8%+9.6%
Q4 2018+1.5%+0.6%+1.6%
Q3 2018-1.1%+5.5%+0.8%
Q2 2018-6.0%-6.1%-1.5%
Q1 2018-10.2%-10.9%-5.6%
Q4 2017+5.6%+7.9%+13.4%
Q3 2017+2.6%+5.6%+13.2%
Q2 2017+0.0%+3.5%+2.0%
Q1 2017-6.6%-5.0%-9.9%
Q4 2016-8.3%-5.5%-5.5%
Q3 2016-0.5%+3.5%+23.3%
Q2 2016-15.8%-14.0%-17.7%
Q1 2016+1.5%
Q4 2015-17.5%
Q3 2015-12.8%
Q2 2015+6.4%
Q1 2015-2.7%
Q4 2014+10.8%
Q3 2014-2.2%
Q2 2014-3.6%
Q1 2014+3.0%
Q4 2013-4.5%
Q3 2013-8.9%
Q2 2013-3.1%
Q1 2013-2.0%
Q4 2012+1.1%
Q3 2012-1.5%
Q2 2012-4.0%
Q1 2012+6.7%
Q4 2009+1.5%
Q3 2011+0.7%
Q2 2011-11.7%
Q1 2011-0.4%
Q3 2010+0.7%
Q2 2010+0.2%
Q4 2010+0.2%
Q1 2010-0.1%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro