NYSE$FLO

Flowers Foods · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Flowers Foods' first quarter results highlighted the increasing effectiveness of their portfolio strategy and investments in marketing and innovation.

Flowers Foods reported a 2.8% increase in sales, reaching a first-quarter record of $1.577 billion. Net income increased by 3.3% to $73.0 million, primarily due to moderating input costs and price increases.

  • Sales increased 2.8% to a first-quarter record of $1.577 billion.
  • Net income increased 3.3% to $73.0 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 5.5% to $159.4 million, representing 10.1% of sales.
  • Diluted EPS increased $0.01 to $0.34.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.58B

Previous: $1.53B+2.8%
EPS

$0.34

Previous: $0.38-10.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$33.3M

Previous: -$34M+1.8%
Free Cash Flow

$39.7M

Previous: $36.8M+8.1%
Net Income

$73M

Previous: $70.7M+3.3%
Operating Income

$102M

Previous: $93.8M+8.3%
Gross Profit

$780M

Previous: $734M+6.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$15.8M

Previous: $27.7M-42.9%
Total Assets

$3.43B

Previous: $3.48B-1.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$11.1M

Previous: $9.84M+13.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Flowers Foods · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.58B

Q1 2024+2.8%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Flowers Foods · $1.57B total across 2 segments · Q1 2026

  • Branded Retail
    $1.05B
  • Other
    $526M

Forward guidance

Flowers Foods maintains its 2024 outlook, which anticipates continued volume improvement while acknowledging the ongoing economic uncertainty. Full-year results are expected to benefit from an expansion of savings initiatives and new business wins.

Tailwinds

  • Sales in the range of approximately $5.091 billion to $5.172 billion, representing 0.0% to 1.6% growth compared to the prior year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA in the range of approximately $524 million to $553 million.
  • Adjusted diluted EPS in the range of approximately $1.20 to $1.30.
  • Depreciation and amortization in the range of $160 million to $165 million.
  • Net interest expense of approximately $22 million to $26 million.

Headwinds

  • Ongoing economic uncertainty.
  • Potential impact on consumer behavior.
  • Potential impact on the promotional environment.
  • Effective tax rate of approximately 25%.
  • Capital expenditures in the range of $145 million to $155 million, with $3 million to $6 million related to the ERP upgrade.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

-1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

26 / 65 earnings

Positive

+10.8%

Q4 2014

Best reaction

-17.5%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.5%+11.7%+11.3%
Q4 2025-8.7%-12.9%-22.6%
Q3 2025+1.9%-1.2%-7.5%
Q2 2025-5.3%-5.2%-17.1%
Q1 2025+1.5%-3.3%-6.4%
Q4 2024-1.3%-4.8%+0.3%
Q3 2024-2.1%-1.8%-0.4%
Q2 2024+1.5%+1.8%+2.3%
Q1 2024-4.2%-4.9%-12.5%
Q4 2023-4.2%-4.3%-0.9%
Q3 2023-6.9%-4.7%-2.0%
Q2 2023+3.9%+0.5%-7.2%
Q1 2023-9.2%-9.1%-12.9%
Q4 2022+0.2%+0.4%-0.9%
Q3 2022-5.4%-0.6%+1.6%
Q2 2022-0.2%+1.6%-3.2%
Q1 2022+4.5%+5.0%-2.8%
Q4 2021-1.2%-0.5%-13.9%
Q3 2021+2.3%+5.3%+1.7%
Q2 2021+5.7%+9.3%+2.3%
Q1 2021-2.1%-2.3%-3.8%
Q4 2020-0.1%-1.5%+3.0%
Q3 2020-2.4%-6.9%-7.2%
Q2 2020+2.3%+4.4%+3.4%
Q1 2020+1.6%+3.3%-1.0%
Q4 2019+0.4%+2.8%+7.8%
Q3 2019-1.1%+0.0%+3.6%
Q2 2019-4.7%-7.0%-5.5%
Q1 2019+7.1%+7.8%+9.6%
Q4 2018+1.5%+0.6%+1.6%
Q3 2018-1.1%+5.5%+0.8%
Q2 2018-6.0%-6.1%-1.5%
Q1 2018-10.2%-10.9%-5.6%
Q4 2017+5.6%+7.9%+13.4%
Q3 2017+2.6%+5.6%+13.2%
Q2 2017+0.0%+3.5%+2.0%
Q1 2017-6.6%-5.0%-9.9%
Q4 2016-8.3%-5.5%-5.5%
Q3 2016-0.5%+3.5%+23.3%
Q2 2016-15.8%-14.0%-17.7%
Q1 2016+1.5%
Q4 2015-17.5%
Q3 2015-12.8%
Q2 2015+6.4%
Q1 2015-2.7%
Q4 2014+10.8%
Q3 2014-2.2%
Q2 2014-3.6%
Q1 2014+3.0%
Q4 2013-4.5%
Q3 2013-8.9%
Q2 2013-3.1%
Q1 2013-2.0%
Q4 2012+1.1%
Q3 2012-1.5%
Q2 2012-4.0%
Q1 2012+6.7%
Q4 2009+1.5%
Q3 2011+0.7%
Q2 2011-11.7%
Q1 2011-0.4%
Q3 2010+0.7%
Q2 2010+0.2%
Q4 2010+0.2%
Q1 2010-0.1%

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