NYSE$FLO

Flowers Foods · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Flowers Foods' Q2 2024 performance was marked by a slight decrease in sales, offset by growth in net income and adjusted EBITDA.

Flowers Foods reported a slight decrease in sales by 0.2% to $1.225 billion, but net income increased by 5.0% to $67.0 million and adjusted EBITDA increased by 7.8% to $143.5 million. The company maintains its 2024 financial outlook, expecting benefits from new business wins and additional cost savings.

  • Sales decreased slightly by 0.2% to $1.225 billion due to volume declines offset by positive pricing/mix.
  • Net income increased by 5.0% to $67.0 million, driven by growth in operating income.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by 7.8% to $143.5 million, representing 11.7% of sales.
  • Diluted EPS increased to $0.32, and adjusted diluted EPS increased to $0.36.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.22B

Previous: $1.23B-0.2%
EPS

$0.32

Previous: $0.33-3.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$61.3M

Previous: -$68.4M+10.4%
Free Cash Flow

$5.72M

Previous: -$4.63M+223.6%
Net Income

$67M

Previous: $63.8M+5.0%
Operating Income

$95.2M

Previous: $88.6M+7.5%
Gross Profit

$612M

Previous: $602M+1.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$6.87M

Previous: $11.7M-41.4%
Total Assets

$3.43B

Previous: $3.51B-2.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.81M

Previous: $5.66M+2.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Flowers Foods · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.22B

Q2 2024-0.2%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Flowers Foods · $1.57B total across 2 segments · Q1 2026

  • Branded Retail
    $1.05B
  • Other
    $526M

Forward guidance

Flowers Foods maintains its 2024 financial outlook, anticipating sales between approximately $5.091 billion and $5.172 billion, adjusted EBITDA in the range of approximately $524 million to $553 million, and adjusted diluted EPS in the range of approximately $1.20 to $1.30.

Tailwinds

  • Continued strong operational performance
  • Benefits from new business wins
  • Additional cost savings
  • Depreciation and amortization in the range of $155 million to $160 million
  • Net interest expense of approximately $20 million to $24 million

Headwinds

  • Potential impact on consumer and promotional behavior from an uncertain economic environment
  • Effective tax rate of approximately 25%
  • Weighted average diluted share count for the year of approximately 212.5 million shares
  • Capital expenditures in the range of $145 million to $155 million
  • 3 million to $6 million related to the ERP upgrade.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

-1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

26 / 65 earnings

Positive

+10.8%

Q4 2014

Best reaction

-17.5%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.5%+11.7%+11.3%
Q4 2025-8.7%-12.9%-22.6%
Q3 2025+1.9%-1.2%-7.5%
Q2 2025-5.3%-5.2%-17.1%
Q1 2025+1.5%-3.3%-6.4%
Q4 2024-1.3%-4.8%+0.3%
Q3 2024-2.1%-1.8%-0.4%
Q2 2024+1.5%+1.8%+2.3%
Q1 2024-4.2%-4.9%-12.5%
Q4 2023-4.2%-4.3%-0.9%
Q3 2023-6.9%-4.7%-2.0%
Q2 2023+3.9%+0.5%-7.2%
Q1 2023-9.2%-9.1%-12.9%
Q4 2022+0.2%+0.4%-0.9%
Q3 2022-5.4%-0.6%+1.6%
Q2 2022-0.2%+1.6%-3.2%
Q1 2022+4.5%+5.0%-2.8%
Q4 2021-1.2%-0.5%-13.9%
Q3 2021+2.3%+5.3%+1.7%
Q2 2021+5.7%+9.3%+2.3%
Q1 2021-2.1%-2.3%-3.8%
Q4 2020-0.1%-1.5%+3.0%
Q3 2020-2.4%-6.9%-7.2%
Q2 2020+2.3%+4.4%+3.4%
Q1 2020+1.6%+3.3%-1.0%
Q4 2019+0.4%+2.8%+7.8%
Q3 2019-1.1%+0.0%+3.6%
Q2 2019-4.7%-7.0%-5.5%
Q1 2019+7.1%+7.8%+9.6%
Q4 2018+1.5%+0.6%+1.6%
Q3 2018-1.1%+5.5%+0.8%
Q2 2018-6.0%-6.1%-1.5%
Q1 2018-10.2%-10.9%-5.6%
Q4 2017+5.6%+7.9%+13.4%
Q3 2017+2.6%+5.6%+13.2%
Q2 2017+0.0%+3.5%+2.0%
Q1 2017-6.6%-5.0%-9.9%
Q4 2016-8.3%-5.5%-5.5%
Q3 2016-0.5%+3.5%+23.3%
Q2 2016-15.8%-14.0%-17.7%
Q1 2016+1.5%
Q4 2015-17.5%
Q3 2015-12.8%
Q2 2015+6.4%
Q1 2015-2.7%
Q4 2014+10.8%
Q3 2014-2.2%
Q2 2014-3.6%
Q1 2014+3.0%
Q4 2013-4.5%
Q3 2013-8.9%
Q2 2013-3.1%
Q1 2013-2.0%
Q4 2012+1.1%
Q3 2012-1.5%
Q2 2012-4.0%
Q1 2012+6.7%
Q4 2009+1.5%
Q3 2011+0.7%
Q2 2011-11.7%
Q1 2011-0.4%
Q3 2010+0.7%
Q2 2010+0.2%
Q4 2010+0.2%
Q1 2010-0.1%

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