NYSE$FLO

Flowers Foods · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record sales and increased net income for Q4 2022.

Flowers Foods reported a 10.1% increase in sales, reaching a quarter-record of $1.083 billion, and a 23.6% increase in net income to $48.6 million for the fourth quarter of 2022. The company is investing in continued growth for this year and beyond.

  • Sales increased 10.1% to a quarter-record $1.083 billion.
  • Net income increased 23.6% to $48.6 million.
  • Diluted EPS increased $0.05 to $0.23.
  • Branded Retail sales increased 7.6% to $698.8 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.08B

Previous: $983M+10.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.23

Previous: $0.20+15.0%
Sales Volume Change

-6.6%

No prior period
Sales Pricing/Mix Change

16.7%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$40.7M

Previous: $97.9M-58.4%
Free Cash Flow

$28.7M

Previous: $357M-92.0%
Net Income

$48.6M

Previous: $55.8M-12.9%
Operating Income

$64.1M

Previous: $77.4M-17.2%
Gross Profit

$507M

Previous: $501M+1.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$165M

Previous: $307M-46.3%
Total Assets

$3.31B

Previous: $3.32B-0.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.7M

Previous: $12.9M-55.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Flowers Foods · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.08B

Q4 2022+10.1%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Flowers Foods · $699M total across 1 segment · Q4 2022

  • Branded Retail
    $699M+7.6%

Forward guidance

For the 52-week Fiscal 2023, the Company Expects: Sales in the range of approximately $5.176 billion to $5.242 billion, representing an increase of approximately 7.7% to 9.1% compared to the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA in the range of approximately $513 million to $543 million. Adjusted EPS in the range of approximately $1.20 to $1.30.

Tailwinds

  • Sales in the range of approximately $5.176 billion to $5.242 billion, representing an increase of approximately 7.7% to 9.1% compared to the prior year period.
  • Adjusted EBITDA in the range of approximately $513 million to $543 million.
  • Adjusted EPS in the range of approximately $1.20 to $1.30.
  • Depreciation and amortization in the range of $160 million to $165 million
  • Net interest expense of approximately $8 million to $12 million

Headwinds

  • An effective tax rate of approximately 25%
  • Weighted average diluted share count for the year of approximately 213 million shares
  • Capital expenditures in the range of $140 million to $150 million, with $20 million to $30 million related to the ERP upgrade
  • Unexpected changes in general economic and business conditions
  • The ultimate impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and future responses

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

26 / 65 earnings

Positive

+10.8%

Q4 2014

Best reaction

-17.5%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.5%
Q4 2025-8.7%-12.9%-22.6%
Q3 2025+1.9%-1.2%-7.5%
Q2 2025-5.3%-5.2%-17.1%
Q1 2025+1.5%-3.3%-6.4%
Q4 2024-1.3%-4.8%+0.3%
Q3 2024-2.1%-1.8%-0.4%
Q2 2024+1.5%+1.8%+2.3%
Q1 2024-4.2%-4.9%-12.5%
Q4 2023-4.2%-4.3%-0.9%
Q3 2023-6.9%-4.7%-2.0%
Q2 2023+3.9%+0.5%-7.2%
Q1 2023-9.2%-9.1%-12.9%
Q4 2022+0.2%+0.4%-0.9%
Q3 2022-5.4%-0.6%+1.6%
Q2 2022-0.2%+1.6%-3.2%
Q1 2022+4.5%+5.0%-2.8%
Q4 2021-1.2%-0.5%-13.9%
Q3 2021+2.3%+5.3%+1.7%
Q2 2021+5.7%+9.3%+2.3%
Q1 2021-2.1%-2.3%-3.8%
Q4 2020-0.1%-1.5%+3.0%
Q3 2020-2.4%-6.9%-7.2%
Q2 2020+2.3%+4.4%+3.4%
Q1 2020+1.6%+3.3%-1.0%
Q4 2019+0.4%+2.8%+7.8%
Q3 2019-1.1%+0.0%+3.6%
Q2 2019-4.7%-7.0%-5.5%
Q1 2019+7.1%+7.8%+9.6%
Q4 2018+1.5%+0.6%+1.6%
Q3 2018-1.1%+5.5%+0.8%
Q2 2018-6.0%-6.1%-1.5%
Q1 2018-10.2%-10.9%-5.6%
Q4 2017+5.6%+7.9%+13.4%
Q3 2017+2.6%+5.6%+13.2%
Q2 2017+0.0%+3.5%+2.0%
Q1 2017-6.6%-5.0%-9.9%
Q4 2016-8.3%-5.5%-5.5%
Q3 2016-0.5%+3.5%+23.3%
Q2 2016-15.8%-14.0%-17.7%
Q1 2016+1.5%
Q4 2015-17.5%
Q3 2015-12.8%
Q2 2015+6.4%
Q1 2015-2.7%
Q4 2014+10.8%
Q3 2014-2.2%
Q2 2014-3.6%
Q1 2014+3.0%
Q4 2013-4.5%
Q3 2013-8.9%
Q2 2013-3.1%
Q1 2013-2.0%
Q4 2012+1.1%
Q3 2012-1.5%
Q2 2012-4.0%
Q1 2012+6.7%
Q4 2009+1.5%
Q3 2011+0.7%
Q2 2011-11.7%
Q1 2011-0.4%
Q3 2010+0.7%
Q2 2010+0.2%
Q4 2010+0.2%
Q1 2010-0.1%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro