NYSE$FLO

Flowers Foods · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Flowers Foods' Q3 2024 results reflected a decrease in net sales offset by an increase in net income and adjusted EBITDA.

Flowers Foods reported a slight decrease in net sales by 0.7% to $1.191 billion, driven by volume declines that were partially offset by positive pricing/mix. However, the company experienced a significant increase in net income to $65.0 million, primarily due to a decrease in legal settlements and related costs. Adjusted EBITDA also increased by 10.0% to $133.3 million, representing 11.2% of net sales.

  • Net sales decreased by 0.7% to $1.191 billion due to volume declines.
  • Net income increased significantly to $65.0 million due to lower legal costs.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by 10.0% to $133.3 million, representing 11.2% of net sales.
  • Diluted EPS increased to $0.31, and adjusted diluted EPS increased to $0.33.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.19B

Previous: $1.2B-0.7%
EPS

$0.31

Previous: $0.29+6.9%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

11.2%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$86.6M

Previous: -$97M+10.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$21.6M

Previous: -$144M+84.9%
Net Income

$65M

Previous: -$46.7M+239.1%
Operating Income

$90.2M

Previous: -$59.3M+251.9%
Gross Profit

$592M

Previous: $582M+1.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$15M

Previous: $14.6M+2.8%
Total Assets

$3.43B

Previous: $3.43B-0.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.38M

Previous: $5.88M+8.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Flowers Foods · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.19B

Q3 2024-0.7%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Flowers Foods · $1.57B total across 2 segments · Q1 2026

  • Branded Retail
    $1.05B
  • Other
    $526M

Forward guidance

Flowers Foods narrowed its 2024 financial outlook, expecting net sales between $5.116 billion and $5.147 billion, adjusted EBITDA between $530 million and $542 million, and adjusted diluted EPS between $1.24 and $1.28.

Tailwinds

  • Strong relative performance in the branded retail bread category.
  • Continued benefits from new business wins.
  • Efficiency initiatives are expected to contribute positively.
  • Depreciation and amortization in the range of $155 million to $160 million.
  • Capital expenditures in the range of $130 million to $140 million.

Headwinds

  • Headwinds from consumer and promotional behavior.
  • Net interest expense of approximately $20 million to $24 million.
  • An effective tax rate of approximately 25%.
  • Weighted average diluted share count for the year of approximately 212.5 million shares.
  • Unspecified amounts that would be required to be included in the GAAP measure without unreasonable efforts.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

26 / 65 earnings

Positive

+10.8%

Q4 2014

Best reaction

-17.5%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.5%+11.7%+11.3%
Q4 2025-8.7%-12.9%-22.6%
Q3 2025+1.9%-1.2%-7.5%
Q2 2025-5.3%-5.2%-17.1%
Q1 2025+1.5%-3.3%-6.4%
Q4 2024-1.3%-4.8%+0.3%
Q3 2024-2.1%-1.8%-0.4%
Q2 2024+1.5%+1.8%+2.3%
Q1 2024-4.2%-4.9%-12.5%
Q4 2023-4.2%-4.3%-0.9%
Q3 2023-6.9%-4.7%-2.0%
Q2 2023+3.9%+0.5%-7.2%
Q1 2023-9.2%-9.1%-12.9%
Q4 2022+0.2%+0.4%-0.9%
Q3 2022-5.4%-0.6%+1.6%
Q2 2022-0.2%+1.6%-3.2%
Q1 2022+4.5%+5.0%-2.8%
Q4 2021-1.2%-0.5%-13.9%
Q3 2021+2.3%+5.3%+1.7%
Q2 2021+5.7%+9.3%+2.3%
Q1 2021-2.1%-2.3%-3.8%
Q4 2020-0.1%-1.5%+3.0%
Q3 2020-2.4%-6.9%-7.2%
Q2 2020+2.3%+4.4%+3.4%
Q1 2020+1.6%+3.3%-1.0%
Q4 2019+0.4%+2.8%+7.8%
Q3 2019-1.1%+0.0%+3.6%
Q2 2019-4.7%-7.0%-5.5%
Q1 2019+7.1%+7.8%+9.6%
Q4 2018+1.5%+0.6%+1.6%
Q3 2018-1.1%+5.5%+0.8%
Q2 2018-6.0%-6.1%-1.5%
Q1 2018-10.2%-10.9%-5.6%
Q4 2017+5.6%+7.9%+13.4%
Q3 2017+2.6%+5.6%+13.2%
Q2 2017+0.0%+3.5%+2.0%
Q1 2017-6.6%-5.0%-9.9%
Q4 2016-8.3%-5.5%-5.5%
Q3 2016-0.5%+3.5%+23.3%
Q2 2016-15.8%-14.0%-17.7%
Q1 2016+1.5%
Q4 2015-17.5%
Q3 2015-12.8%
Q2 2015+6.4%
Q1 2015-2.7%
Q4 2014+10.8%
Q3 2014-2.2%
Q2 2014-3.6%
Q1 2014+3.0%
Q4 2013-4.5%
Q3 2013-8.9%
Q2 2013-3.1%
Q1 2013-2.0%
Q4 2012+1.1%
Q3 2012-1.5%
Q2 2012-4.0%
Q1 2012+6.7%
Q4 2009+1.5%
Q3 2011+0.7%
Q2 2011-11.7%
Q1 2011-0.4%
Q3 2010+0.7%
Q2 2010+0.2%
Q4 2010+0.2%
Q1 2010-0.1%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro