NYSE$BTU

Peabody Energy Corporation · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Peabody Energy's Q4 2023 earnings were reported, with net income attributable to common stockholders at $192.0 million and Adjusted EBITDA at $345.1 million.

Peabody Energy reported a net income of $192.0 million for Q4 2023, a decrease compared to the prior year's $632.0 million. The company's Adjusted EBITDA was $345.1 million, also lower than the $500.5 million reported in Q4 2022. Full-year revenue reached $4,946.7 million. The company repurchased over 11 percent of shares outstanding in 2023 and commenced new longwall production at Shoal Creek ahead of schedule.

  • Reported full year Adjusted EBITDA of $1,364 million and operating cash flow from continuing operations of $1,116 million.
  • Cash and Cash Equivalents were $969 million at the end of the year.
  • PRB shipped 23.6 million tons in the quarter, the highest quarterly volume since 2019.
  • Announced 2023 total shareholder returns of $471 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.24B

Previous: $1.63B-24.0%
EPS (adj)

$1.33

Previous: $3.89-65.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$150M

Previous: $222M-167.7%
Free Cash Flow

$275M

Previous: $580M-52.6%
Net Income

$199M

Previous: $646M-69.2%
Operating Income

$251M

Previous: $582M-57.0%
Gross Profit

$276M

Previous: $698M-60.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.8M

Previous: $1.8M+0.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Peabody Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.24B

Q4 2023-24%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Peabody Energy · $890M total across 5 segments · Q2 2025

  • Powder River Basin
    $276M—
  • Seaborne Metallurgical
    $252M—
  • Seaborne Thermal
    $195M—
  • Other U.S. Thermal
    $155M—
  • Corporate and Other
    $12M—

Forward guidance

Peabody provided guidance for the first quarter of 2024, including expected volumes and costs for its Seaborne Thermal, Seaborne Metallurgical, and U.S. Thermal segments.

Tailwinds

  • Seaborne Thermal volumes are expected to be 3.9 million tons, including 2.5 million export tons.
  • 0.3 million Seaborne Thermal export tons are priced at $181 per ton.
  • PRB volume is expected to be approximately 21 million tons.
  • Other U.S. Thermal volume is expected to be approximately 3.6 million tons.
  • Seaborne metallurgical sales are anticipated to price at 65-70% of the premium hard-coking coal index price

Headwinds

  • 1.1 million tons of Newcastle Seaborne Thermal product and 1.1 million tons of high ash product are unpriced.
  • Seaborne Thermal costs are anticipated to be $48-$53 per ton.
  • Seaborne Metallurgical volumes are expected to be 1.4 million tons.
  • Seaborne Metallurgical costs are anticipated to be $130-$140 per ton.
  • PRB average price of $13.55 per ton and costs of approximately $11.75-$12.50 per ton.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

14 / 36 earnings

Positive

+25.2%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-29.0%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2025———
Q1 2026-1.8%-11.0%+17.7%
Q4 2025-2.2%+2.7%-8.3%
Q3 2025-4.7%+8.9%+0.9%
Q1 2025+9.2%+5.6%-2.6%
Q4 2024-9.1%-3.8%-30.6%
Q3 2024+7.2%+10.2%-3.4%
Q2 2024-0.8%-3.7%+5.4%
Q1 2024+2.8%+2.3%+15.6%
Q4 2023-2.5%-4.4%+4.7%
Q3 2023+0.6%-4.4%-2.8%
Q2 2023-3.7%-0.7%-4.5%
Q1 2023+2.6%-0.3%-20.3%
Q4 2022+12.1%+7.3%-11.2%
Q3 2022+16.2%+27.5%+36.0%
Q2 2022-8.0%-14.7%+21.8%
Q1 2022-14.6%-18.8%-5.2%
Q4 2021+25.2%+26.6%+69.4%
Q3 2021-8.9%-11.8%-19.5%
Q2 2021+8.7%+5.8%+44.8%
Q1 2021-13.8%-3.3%+54.5%
Q4 2020-17.9%-14.3%-7.6%
Q3 2020-29.0%-10.3%+26.5%
Q2 2020-14.3%-10.5%-14.3%
Q1 2020+13.0%+8.0%+5.0%
Q4 2019+20.8%+12.1%-37.2%
Q3 2019-26.2%-36.3%-39.5%
Q2 2019-15.9%-18.4%-16.7%
Q1 2019-4.1%+1.5%-18.2%
Q4 2018-13.8%-17.3%-14.5%
Q3 2018+4.6%+1.7%-8.1%
Q2 2018-0.5%+1.1%-2.9%
Q1 2018-3.1%-3.0%+9.1%
Q4 2017-7.2%-4.4%-5.0%
Q3 2017+3.0%+1.9%+8.9%
Q2 2017+7.7%+0.6%+3.4%
Q1 2017-4.4%-0.4%-6.7%
Q4 2016———
Q3 2016———
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Q4 2014———
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Q4 2012———
Q3 2012———
Q2 2012———
Q1 2012———
Q4 2011———
Q3 2011———
Q2 2011———
Q1 2011———
Q4 2007———
Q3 2010———
Q2 2010———
Q1 2009———
Q1 2010———
Q4 2008———
Q4 2009———
Q3 2009———
Q3 2008———
Q2 2008———
Q2 2009———

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