NYSE$BTU

Peabody Energy Corporation · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Peabody Energy's Q4 2023 earnings were reported, with net income attributable to common stockholders at $192.0 million and Adjusted EBITDA at $345.1 million.

Peabody Energy reported a net income of $192.0 million for Q4 2023, a decrease compared to the prior year's $632.0 million. The company's Adjusted EBITDA was $345.1 million, also lower than the $500.5 million reported in Q4 2022. Full-year revenue reached $4,946.7 million. The company repurchased over 11 percent of shares outstanding in 2023 and commenced new longwall production at Shoal Creek ahead of schedule.

  • Reported full year Adjusted EBITDA of $1,364 million and operating cash flow from continuing operations of $1,116 million.
  • Cash and Cash Equivalents were $969 million at the end of the year.
  • PRB shipped 23.6 million tons in the quarter, the highest quarterly volume since 2019.
  • Announced 2023 total shareholder returns of $471 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.24B

Previous: $1.63B-24.0%
EPS (adj)

$1.33

Previous: $3.89-65.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$150M

Previous: $222M-167.7%
Free Cash Flow

$275M

Previous: $580M-52.6%
Net Income

$199M

Previous: $646M-69.2%
Operating Income

$251M

Previous: $582M-57.0%
Gross Profit

$276M

Previous: $698M-60.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.8M

Previous: $1.8M+0.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Peabody Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.24B

Q4 2023-24%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Peabody Energy · $1.08B total across 5 segments · Q3 2023

  • Powder River Basin
    $313M+7.7%
  • Seaborne Thermal
    $297M-15.8%
  • Seaborne Metallurgical
    $247M-20.5%
  • Other U.S. Thermal
    $228M-12.7%
  • Corporate and Other
    -$6.7M-105.3%

Forward guidance

Peabody provided guidance for the first quarter of 2024, including expected volumes and costs for its Seaborne Thermal, Seaborne Metallurgical, and U.S. Thermal segments.

Tailwinds

  • Seaborne Thermal volumes are expected to be 3.9 million tons, including 2.5 million export tons.
  • 0.3 million Seaborne Thermal export tons are priced at $181 per ton.
  • PRB volume is expected to be approximately 21 million tons.
  • Other U.S. Thermal volume is expected to be approximately 3.6 million tons.
  • Seaborne metallurgical sales are anticipated to price at 65-70% of the premium hard-coking coal index price

Headwinds

  • 1.1 million tons of Newcastle Seaborne Thermal product and 1.1 million tons of high ash product are unpriced.
  • Seaborne Thermal costs are anticipated to be $48-$53 per ton.
  • Seaborne Metallurgical volumes are expected to be 1.4 million tons.
  • Seaborne Metallurgical costs are anticipated to be $130-$140 per ton.
  • PRB average price of $13.55 per ton and costs of approximately $11.75-$12.50 per ton.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

14 / 36 earnings

Positive

+25.2%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-29.0%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.8%-11.0%+17.7%
Q4 2025-2.2%+2.7%-8.3%
Q3 2025-4.7%+8.9%+0.9%
Q1 2025+9.2%+5.6%-2.6%
Q4 2024-9.1%-3.8%-30.6%
Q3 2024+7.2%+10.2%-3.4%
Q2 2024-0.8%-3.7%+5.4%
Q1 2024+2.8%+2.3%+15.6%
Q4 2023-2.5%-4.4%+4.7%
Q3 2023+0.6%-4.4%-2.8%
Q2 2023-3.7%-0.7%-4.5%
Q1 2023+2.6%-0.3%-20.3%
Q4 2022+12.1%+7.3%-11.2%
Q3 2022+16.2%+27.5%+36.0%
Q2 2022-8.0%-14.7%+21.8%
Q1 2022-14.6%-18.8%-5.2%
Q4 2021+25.2%+26.6%+69.4%
Q3 2021-8.9%-11.8%-19.5%
Q2 2021+8.7%+5.8%+44.8%
Q1 2021-13.8%-3.3%+54.5%
Q4 2020-17.9%-14.3%-7.6%
Q3 2020-29.0%-10.3%+26.5%
Q2 2020-14.3%-10.5%-14.3%
Q1 2020+13.0%+8.0%+5.0%
Q4 2019+20.8%+12.1%-37.2%
Q3 2019-26.2%-36.3%-39.5%
Q2 2019-15.9%-18.4%-16.7%
Q1 2019-4.1%+1.5%-18.2%
Q4 2018-13.8%-17.3%-14.5%
Q3 2018+4.6%+1.7%-8.1%
Q2 2018-0.5%+1.1%-2.9%
Q1 2018-3.1%-3.0%+9.1%
Q4 2017-7.2%-4.4%-5.0%
Q3 2017+3.0%+1.9%+8.9%
Q2 2017+7.7%+0.6%+3.4%
Q1 2017-4.4%-0.4%-6.7%
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2007
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2009
Q1 2010
Q4 2008
Q4 2009
Q3 2009
Q3 2008
Q2 2008
Q2 2009

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