NYSE$BTU

Peabody Energy Corporation · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Peabody Energy reported Q3 2021 results with revenues of $679.0 million and a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $44.2 million.

Peabody Energy's Q3 2021 results showed revenues of $679.0 million, which were impacted by $238 million of unrealized mark-to-market losses. The company reported a net loss of $44.2 million, but Adjusted EBITDA reached $289.1 million. They retired $93 million of senior secured debt during the quarter and an additional $30 million after the quarter ended.

  • Revenues totaled $679.0 million, net of $238 million of unrealized mark-to-market losses.
  • Net loss attributable to common stockholders was $44.2 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA totaled $289.1 million.
  • The company retired $93 million of senior secured debt during the quarter and an additional $30 million after September 30, 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$679M

Previous: $671M+1.2%
EPS (adj)

-$0.38

Previous: -$0.69+44.9%
Seaborne Thermal Revenue/Ton

$58.53

Previous: $35.28+65.9%
Seaborne Metallurgical Revenue/Ton

$119.98

Previous: $71.88+66.9%
PRB Revenue/Ton

$10.88

Previous: $11.26-3.4%
Other U.S. Thermal Revenue/Ton

$40.99

Previous: $37.20+10.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$44.2M

Previous: -$67.2M+34.2%
Net Income

-$44.2M

Previous: -$67.2M+34.2%
Operating Income

-$43.8M

Previous: -$15.8M-177.2%
Gross Profit

$29.6M

Previous: $120M-75.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$587M

Previous: $815M-27.9%
Total Assets

$4.44B

Previous: $4.86B-8.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.7M

Previous: $3.8M-55.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Peabody Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$679M

Q3 2021+1.2%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Peabody Energy · $679M total across 5 segments · Q3 2021

  • Seaborne Thermal
    $261M+59.9%
  • Powder River Basin
    $247M-6.7%
  • Other U.S. Thermal
    $185M+2.7%
  • Seaborne Metallurgical
    $180M+127.8%
  • Corporate and Other
    -$193M-1152.6%

Forward guidance

Peabody provided an outlook for the remainder of 2021, including expectations for US Thermal Operations, Seaborne Thermal Operations, and Seaborne Met Operations.

Tailwinds

  • US Thermal Operations: 2021 projected volumes are fully priced and committed.
  • Seaborne Thermal Operations: Higher export thermal volumes expected in the fourth quarter compared to previous quarters.
  • Wilpinjong fourth quarter volumes are anticipated to include ~2 million tons of export shipments and ~2 million tons of domestic shipments.
  • Seaborne Met Operations: The CMJV and Metropolitan are expected to continue recognizing cost and productivity improvements.
  • Shoal Creek is anticipated to begin production in the second half of the fourth quarter, with ramp up through the first quarter of 2022.

Headwinds

  • US Thermal Operations: Coal deliveries will remain largely dependent on general economic conditions, weather, natural gas prices, utility inventory levels, availability of labor and rail performance.
  • Seaborne Thermal Operations: Realized seaborne thermal export pricing varies based on sales timing and product quality as well as optimization strategies.
  • Seaborne Thermal Operations: Wambo unpriced products are expected to price with reference to Globalcoal “NEWC” levels.
  • Seaborne Thermal Operations: Wilpinjong, with a higher ash content is anticipated to price at a 5-20% discount to API 5 price levels.
  • Seaborne Met Operations: Does not include guidance for Shoal Creek until production start-up.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

14 / 36 earnings

Positive

+25.2%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-29.0%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.8%-11.0%+17.7%
Q4 2025-2.2%+2.7%-8.3%
Q3 2025-4.7%+8.9%+0.9%
Q1 2025+9.2%+5.6%-2.6%
Q4 2024-9.1%-3.8%-30.6%
Q3 2024+7.2%+10.2%-3.4%
Q2 2024-0.8%-3.7%+5.4%
Q1 2024+2.8%+2.3%+15.6%
Q4 2023-2.5%-4.4%+4.7%
Q3 2023+0.6%-4.4%-2.8%
Q2 2023-3.7%-0.7%-4.5%
Q1 2023+2.6%-0.3%-20.3%
Q4 2022+12.1%+7.3%-11.2%
Q3 2022+16.2%+27.5%+36.0%
Q2 2022-8.0%-14.7%+21.8%
Q1 2022-14.6%-18.8%-5.2%
Q4 2021+25.2%+26.6%+69.4%
Q3 2021-8.9%-11.8%-19.5%
Q2 2021+8.7%+5.8%+44.8%
Q1 2021-13.8%-3.3%+54.5%
Q4 2020-17.9%-14.3%-7.6%
Q3 2020-29.0%-10.3%+26.5%
Q2 2020-14.3%-10.5%-14.3%
Q1 2020+13.0%+8.0%+5.0%
Q4 2019+20.8%+12.1%-37.2%
Q3 2019-26.2%-36.3%-39.5%
Q2 2019-15.9%-18.4%-16.7%
Q1 2019-4.1%+1.5%-18.2%
Q4 2018-13.8%-17.3%-14.5%
Q3 2018+4.6%+1.7%-8.1%
Q2 2018-0.5%+1.1%-2.9%
Q1 2018-3.1%-3.0%+9.1%
Q4 2017-7.2%-4.4%-5.0%
Q3 2017+3.0%+1.9%+8.9%
Q2 2017+7.7%+0.6%+3.4%
Q1 2017-4.4%-0.4%-6.7%
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2007
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2009
Q1 2010
Q4 2008
Q4 2009
Q3 2009
Q3 2008
Q2 2008
Q2 2009

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