NYSE$BTU

Peabody Energy Corporation · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Peabody Energy reported Q3 2021 results with revenues of $679.0 million and a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $44.2 million.

Peabody Energy's Q3 2021 results showed revenues of $679.0 million, which were impacted by $238 million of unrealized mark-to-market losses. The company reported a net loss of $44.2 million, but Adjusted EBITDA reached $289.1 million. They retired $93 million of senior secured debt during the quarter and an additional $30 million after the quarter ended.

  • Revenues totaled $679.0 million, net of $238 million of unrealized mark-to-market losses.
  • Net loss attributable to common stockholders was $44.2 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA totaled $289.1 million.
  • The company retired $93 million of senior secured debt during the quarter and an additional $30 million after September 30, 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$679M

Previous: $671M+1.2%
EPS (adj)

-$0.38

Previous: -$0.69+44.9%
Seaborne Thermal Revenue/Ton

$58.53

Previous: $35.28+65.9%
Seaborne Metallurgical Revenue/Ton

$119.98

Previous: $71.88+66.9%
PRB Revenue/Ton

$10.88

Previous: $11.26-3.4%
Other U.S. Thermal Revenue/Ton

$40.99

Previous: $37.20+10.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$44.2M

Previous: -$67.2M+34.2%
Net Income

-$44.2M

Previous: -$67.2M+34.2%
Operating Income

-$43.8M

Previous: -$15.8M-177.2%
Gross Profit

$29.6M

Previous: $120M-75.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$587M

Previous: $815M-27.9%
Total Assets

$4.44B

Previous: $4.86B-8.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.7M

Previous: $3.8M-55.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Peabody Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$679M

Q3 2021+1.2%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Peabody Energy · $679M total across 5 segments · Q3 2021

  • Seaborne Thermal
    $261M+59.9%
  • Powder River Basin
    $247M-6.7%
  • Other U.S. Thermal
    $185M+2.7%
  • Seaborne Metallurgical
    $180M+127.8%
  • Corporate and Other
    -$193M-1152.6%

Forward guidance

Peabody provided an outlook for the remainder of 2021, including expectations for US Thermal Operations, Seaborne Thermal Operations, and Seaborne Met Operations.

Tailwinds

  • US Thermal Operations: 2021 projected volumes are fully priced and committed.
  • Seaborne Thermal Operations: Higher export thermal volumes expected in the fourth quarter compared to previous quarters.
  • Wilpinjong fourth quarter volumes are anticipated to include ~2 million tons of export shipments and ~2 million tons of domestic shipments.
  • Seaborne Met Operations: The CMJV and Metropolitan are expected to continue recognizing cost and productivity improvements.
  • Shoal Creek is anticipated to begin production in the second half of the fourth quarter, with ramp up through the first quarter of 2022.

Headwinds

  • US Thermal Operations: Coal deliveries will remain largely dependent on general economic conditions, weather, natural gas prices, utility inventory levels, availability of labor and rail performance.
  • Seaborne Thermal Operations: Realized seaborne thermal export pricing varies based on sales timing and product quality as well as optimization strategies.
  • Seaborne Thermal Operations: Wambo unpriced products are expected to price with reference to Globalcoal “NEWC” levels.
  • Seaborne Thermal Operations: Wilpinjong, with a higher ash content is anticipated to price at a 5-20% discount to API 5 price levels.
  • Seaborne Met Operations: Does not include guidance for Shoal Creek until production start-up.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

14 / 36 earnings

Positive

+25.2%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-29.0%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2025———
Q1 2026-1.8%-11.0%+17.7%
Q4 2025-2.2%+2.7%-8.3%
Q3 2025-4.7%+8.9%+0.9%
Q1 2025+9.2%+5.6%-2.6%
Q4 2024-9.1%-3.8%-30.6%
Q3 2024+7.2%+10.2%-3.4%
Q2 2024-0.8%-3.7%+5.4%
Q1 2024+2.8%+2.3%+15.6%
Q4 2023-2.5%-4.4%+4.7%
Q3 2023+0.6%-4.4%-2.8%
Q2 2023-3.7%-0.7%-4.5%
Q1 2023+2.6%-0.3%-20.3%
Q4 2022+12.1%+7.3%-11.2%
Q3 2022+16.2%+27.5%+36.0%
Q2 2022-8.0%-14.7%+21.8%
Q1 2022-14.6%-18.8%-5.2%
Q4 2021+25.2%+26.6%+69.4%
Q3 2021-8.9%-11.8%-19.5%
Q2 2021+8.7%+5.8%+44.8%
Q1 2021-13.8%-3.3%+54.5%
Q4 2020-17.9%-14.3%-7.6%
Q3 2020-29.0%-10.3%+26.5%
Q2 2020-14.3%-10.5%-14.3%
Q1 2020+13.0%+8.0%+5.0%
Q4 2019+20.8%+12.1%-37.2%
Q3 2019-26.2%-36.3%-39.5%
Q2 2019-15.9%-18.4%-16.7%
Q1 2019-4.1%+1.5%-18.2%
Q4 2018-13.8%-17.3%-14.5%
Q3 2018+4.6%+1.7%-8.1%
Q2 2018-0.5%+1.1%-2.9%
Q1 2018-3.1%-3.0%+9.1%
Q4 2017-7.2%-4.4%-5.0%
Q3 2017+3.0%+1.9%+8.9%
Q2 2017+7.7%+0.6%+3.4%
Q1 2017-4.4%-0.4%-6.7%
Q4 2016———
Q3 2016———
Q2 2016———
Q1 2016———
Q4 2015———
Q3 2015———
Q2 2015———
Q1 2015———
Q4 2014———
Q3 2014———
Q2 2014———
Q1 2014———
Q4 2013———
Q3 2013———
Q2 2013———
Q1 2013———
Q4 2012———
Q3 2012———
Q2 2012———
Q1 2012———
Q4 2011———
Q3 2011———
Q2 2011———
Q1 2011———
Q4 2007———
Q3 2010———
Q2 2010———
Q1 2009———
Q1 2010———
Q4 2008———
Q4 2009———
Q3 2009———
Q3 2008———
Q2 2008———
Q2 2009———

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