NYSE$BTU

Peabody Energy Corporation · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Peabody Energy reported record earnings and retired all senior secured debt.

Peabody Energy reported a net income of $632.0 million for the fourth quarter of 2022, with record free cash flow of $580 million. The company retired all remaining senior secured debt and is actively addressing the requirements to implement a shareholder return program.

  • Retired all senior secured debt
  • Generated record Free Cash Flow of $580 million
  • Achieved Adjusted EBITDA of $501 million
  • Attained highest 2022 quarterly production rate in three out of four operating segments

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.63B

Previous: $1.26B+28.6%
EPS (adj)

$3.89

Previous: $3.90-0.3%
Seaborne Thermal Revenue/Ton

$93.79

Previous: $65.71+42.7%
Seaborne Metallurgical Revenue/Ton

$219.81

Previous: $211.19+4.1%
PRB Revenue/Ton

$13.88

Previous: $10.99+26.3%
Other U.S. Thermal Revenue/Ton

$52.35

Previous: $42.23+24.0%
Capital Expenditures

$222M

Previous: $183M+21.0%
Free Cash Flow

$580M

Previous: $427M+35.9%
Net Income

$646M

Previous: $512M+26.1%
Operating Income

$582M

Previous: $521M+11.8%
Gross Profit

$698M

Previous: $555M+25.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.31B

Previous: $954M+37.0%
Total Assets

$5.61B

Previous: $4.95B+13.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.8M

Previous: $4.4M-59.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Peabody Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.63B

Q4 2022+28.6%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Peabody Energy · $1.63B total across 5 segments · Q4 2022

  • Seaborne Metallurgical
    $451M+32.8%
  • Seaborne Thermal
    $386M+27.6%
  • Powder River Basin
    $294M+19.0%
  • Other U.S. Thermal
    $263M+36.1%
  • Corporate and Other
    $232M+27.4%

Forward guidance

Peabody provided the following outlook for Q1 2023:

Tailwinds

  • PRB volume is expected to be approximately 22 million tons at an average price of $13.80 per ton and cost of approximately $11.60 per ton.
  • Other U.S. Thermal volume is expected to be approximately 4.7 million tons at an average price of $52.50 per ton and cost of approximately $40 per ton.

Headwinds

  • Export volume is expected to be 1.8 million tons, less than ratable to full-year guidance, due to lower production as a result of a longwall move at Wambo Underground and recovery from heavy rains in the fourth quarter.
  • Costs are expected to be $60-$65 per ton for Seaborne Thermal.
  • Seaborne met volumes are expected to be 1.3-1.5 million tons, less than ratable to full-year guidance due to heavy rains in Queensland and geologic conditions at Shoal Creek.
  • Costs are expected to be $140-$150 per ton for Seaborne Metallurgical.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

14 / 36 earnings

Positive

+25.2%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-29.0%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.8%-11.0%+17.7%
Q4 2025-2.2%+2.7%-8.3%
Q3 2025-4.7%+8.9%+0.9%
Q1 2025+9.2%+5.6%-2.6%
Q4 2024-9.1%-3.8%-30.6%
Q3 2024+7.2%+10.2%-3.4%
Q2 2024-0.8%-3.7%+5.4%
Q1 2024+2.8%+2.3%+15.6%
Q4 2023-2.5%-4.4%+4.7%
Q3 2023+0.6%-4.4%-2.8%
Q2 2023-3.7%-0.7%-4.5%
Q1 2023+2.6%-0.3%-20.3%
Q4 2022+12.1%+7.3%-11.2%
Q3 2022+16.2%+27.5%+36.0%
Q2 2022-8.0%-14.7%+21.8%
Q1 2022-14.6%-18.8%-5.2%
Q4 2021+25.2%+26.6%+69.4%
Q3 2021-8.9%-11.8%-19.5%
Q2 2021+8.7%+5.8%+44.8%
Q1 2021-13.8%-3.3%+54.5%
Q4 2020-17.9%-14.3%-7.6%
Q3 2020-29.0%-10.3%+26.5%
Q2 2020-14.3%-10.5%-14.3%
Q1 2020+13.0%+8.0%+5.0%
Q4 2019+20.8%+12.1%-37.2%
Q3 2019-26.2%-36.3%-39.5%
Q2 2019-15.9%-18.4%-16.7%
Q1 2019-4.1%+1.5%-18.2%
Q4 2018-13.8%-17.3%-14.5%
Q3 2018+4.6%+1.7%-8.1%
Q2 2018-0.5%+1.1%-2.9%
Q1 2018-3.1%-3.0%+9.1%
Q4 2017-7.2%-4.4%-5.0%
Q3 2017+3.0%+1.9%+8.9%
Q2 2017+7.7%+0.6%+3.4%
Q1 2017-4.4%-0.4%-6.7%
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2007
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2009
Q1 2010
Q4 2008
Q4 2009
Q3 2009
Q3 2008
Q2 2008
Q2 2009

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