NYSE$BTU

Peabody Energy Corporation · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Peabody Energy reported first quarter earnings, which included revenue of $846.2 million and a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $129.7 million.

Peabody Energy reported a challenging first quarter in 2020, with revenues declining to $846.2 million compared to $1.25 billion in the prior year. The company experienced a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $129.7 million, with a diluted loss per share of $1.31. Peabody is focused on cost reduction and safeguarding financial flexibility amid the COVID-19 pandemic.

  • Revenues totaled $846.2 million compared to $1.25 billion in the prior year, impacted by lower volumes and pricing.
  • Net loss attributable to common stockholders was $129.7 million, with a diluted loss per share of $1.31.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $36.8 million, reflecting lower realized pricing and higher seaborne metallurgical costs.
  • Company is implementing cost reduction activities and focusing on cash generation at lower pricing levels.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$846M

Previous: $1.25B-32.3%
EPS (adj)

-$1.31

Previous: $1.15-213.9%
Seaborne Thermal Revenue/Ton

$44.10

No prior period
Seaborne Metallurgical Revenue/Ton

$95.65

No prior period
PRB Revenue/Ton

$11.36

No prior period
Other U.S. Thermal Revenue/Ton

$39.25

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$130M

Previous: $124M-204.4%
Net Income

-$130M

Previous: $124M-204.4%
Operating Income

-$93.5M

Previous: $185M-150.7%
Gross Profit

$66.7M

Previous: $302M-77.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$683M

Previous: $798M-14.5%
Total Assets

$6.23B

Previous: $7.29B-14.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.2M

Previous: $11.6M-81.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Peabody Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$846M

Q1 2020-32.3%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Peabody Energy · $846M total across 5 segments · Q1 2020

  • Powder River Basin
    $267M
  • Seaborne Thermal
    $201M
  • Seaborne Metallurgical
    $193M
  • Other U.S. Thermal
    $192M
  • Corporate and Other
    -$7M

Forward guidance

Peabody has decided to suspend full-year 2020 guidance due to uncertainties with respect to COVID-19, including the duration, severity, scope, and necessary government actions to limit the spread.

Tailwinds

  • Company is proceeding with the main line conveyor system upgrade at Shoal Creek.
  • Mining has recently resumed at Metropolitan following a longwall move in the first quarter.
  • Peabody currently has 3.2 million short tons of export thermal coal priced for the remainder of the year.
  • Based on actions to date, 2020 SG&A has been reduced to approximately $120 million.
  • Capital expenditures have been reduced to approximately $235 million and are focused on sustaining and compliance activities.

Headwinds

  • Uncertainties with respect to COVID-19, including the duration, severity, scope, and necessary government actions to limit the spread.
  • Deliveries will be dependent on general economic conditions, weather, natural gas prices and other factors.
  • Company is proceeding with the main line conveyor system upgrade at Shoal Creek.
  • Coppabella is currently mining through a lower-ratio pit, which is anticipated to mitigate increased costs associated with a major dragline repair slated for the second quarter.
  • ARO cash spend has also been reduced to approximately $60 million for 2020.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

14 / 36 earnings

Positive

+25.2%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-29.0%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.8%-11.0%+17.7%
Q4 2025-2.2%+2.7%-8.3%
Q3 2025-4.7%+8.9%+0.9%
Q1 2025+9.2%+5.6%-2.6%
Q4 2024-9.1%-3.8%-30.6%
Q3 2024+7.2%+10.2%-3.4%
Q2 2024-0.8%-3.7%+5.4%
Q1 2024+2.8%+2.3%+15.6%
Q4 2023-2.5%-4.4%+4.7%
Q3 2023+0.6%-4.4%-2.8%
Q2 2023-3.7%-0.7%-4.5%
Q1 2023+2.6%-0.3%-20.3%
Q4 2022+12.1%+7.3%-11.2%
Q3 2022+16.2%+27.5%+36.0%
Q2 2022-8.0%-14.7%+21.8%
Q1 2022-14.6%-18.8%-5.2%
Q4 2021+25.2%+26.6%+69.4%
Q3 2021-8.9%-11.8%-19.5%
Q2 2021+8.7%+5.8%+44.8%
Q1 2021-13.8%-3.3%+54.5%
Q4 2020-17.9%-14.3%-7.6%
Q3 2020-29.0%-10.3%+26.5%
Q2 2020-14.3%-10.5%-14.3%
Q1 2020+13.0%+8.0%+5.0%
Q4 2019+20.8%+12.1%-37.2%
Q3 2019-26.2%-36.3%-39.5%
Q2 2019-15.9%-18.4%-16.7%
Q1 2019-4.1%+1.5%-18.2%
Q4 2018-13.8%-17.3%-14.5%
Q3 2018+4.6%+1.7%-8.1%
Q2 2018-0.5%+1.1%-2.9%
Q1 2018-3.1%-3.0%+9.1%
Q4 2017-7.2%-4.4%-5.0%
Q3 2017+3.0%+1.9%+8.9%
Q2 2017+7.7%+0.6%+3.4%
Q1 2017-4.4%-0.4%-6.7%
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2007
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2009
Q1 2010
Q4 2008
Q4 2009
Q3 2009
Q3 2008
Q2 2008
Q2 2009

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