NYSE$BTU

Peabody Energy Corporation · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Peabody Energy reported first quarter earnings, which included revenue of $846.2 million and a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $129.7 million.

Peabody Energy reported a challenging first quarter in 2020, with revenues declining to $846.2 million compared to $1.25 billion in the prior year. The company experienced a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $129.7 million, with a diluted loss per share of $1.31. Peabody is focused on cost reduction and safeguarding financial flexibility amid the COVID-19 pandemic.

  • Revenues totaled $846.2 million compared to $1.25 billion in the prior year, impacted by lower volumes and pricing.
  • Net loss attributable to common stockholders was $129.7 million, with a diluted loss per share of $1.31.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $36.8 million, reflecting lower realized pricing and higher seaborne metallurgical costs.
  • Company is implementing cost reduction activities and focusing on cash generation at lower pricing levels.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$846M

Previous: $1.25B-32.3%
EPS (adj)

-$1.31

Previous: $1.15-213.9%
Seaborne Thermal Revenue/Ton

$44.10

No prior period
Seaborne Metallurgical Revenue/Ton

$95.65

No prior period
PRB Revenue/Ton

$11.36

No prior period
Other U.S. Thermal Revenue/Ton

$39.25

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$130M

Previous: $124M-204.4%
Net Income

-$130M

Previous: $124M-204.4%
Operating Income

-$93.5M

Previous: $185M-150.7%
Gross Profit

$66.7M

Previous: $302M-77.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$683M

Previous: $798M-14.5%
Total Assets

$6.23B

Previous: $7.29B-14.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.2M

Previous: $11.6M-81.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Peabody Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$846M

Q1 2020-32.3%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Peabody Energy · $846M total across 5 segments · Q1 2020

  • Powder River Basin
    $267M—
  • Seaborne Thermal
    $201M—
  • Seaborne Metallurgical
    $193M—
  • Other U.S. Thermal
    $192M—
  • Corporate and Other
    -$7M—

Forward guidance

Peabody has decided to suspend full-year 2020 guidance due to uncertainties with respect to COVID-19, including the duration, severity, scope, and necessary government actions to limit the spread.

Tailwinds

  • Company is proceeding with the main line conveyor system upgrade at Shoal Creek.
  • Mining has recently resumed at Metropolitan following a longwall move in the first quarter.
  • Peabody currently has 3.2 million short tons of export thermal coal priced for the remainder of the year.
  • Based on actions to date, 2020 SG&A has been reduced to approximately $120 million.
  • Capital expenditures have been reduced to approximately $235 million and are focused on sustaining and compliance activities.

Headwinds

  • Uncertainties with respect to COVID-19, including the duration, severity, scope, and necessary government actions to limit the spread.
  • Deliveries will be dependent on general economic conditions, weather, natural gas prices and other factors.
  • Company is proceeding with the main line conveyor system upgrade at Shoal Creek.
  • Coppabella is currently mining through a lower-ratio pit, which is anticipated to mitigate increased costs associated with a major dragline repair slated for the second quarter.
  • ARO cash spend has also been reduced to approximately $60 million for 2020.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

14 / 36 earnings

Positive

+25.2%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-29.0%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2025———
Q1 2026-1.8%-11.0%+17.7%
Q4 2025-2.2%+2.7%-8.3%
Q3 2025-4.7%+8.9%+0.9%
Q1 2025+9.2%+5.6%-2.6%
Q4 2024-9.1%-3.8%-30.6%
Q3 2024+7.2%+10.2%-3.4%
Q2 2024-0.8%-3.7%+5.4%
Q1 2024+2.8%+2.3%+15.6%
Q4 2023-2.5%-4.4%+4.7%
Q3 2023+0.6%-4.4%-2.8%
Q2 2023-3.7%-0.7%-4.5%
Q1 2023+2.6%-0.3%-20.3%
Q4 2022+12.1%+7.3%-11.2%
Q3 2022+16.2%+27.5%+36.0%
Q2 2022-8.0%-14.7%+21.8%
Q1 2022-14.6%-18.8%-5.2%
Q4 2021+25.2%+26.6%+69.4%
Q3 2021-8.9%-11.8%-19.5%
Q2 2021+8.7%+5.8%+44.8%
Q1 2021-13.8%-3.3%+54.5%
Q4 2020-17.9%-14.3%-7.6%
Q3 2020-29.0%-10.3%+26.5%
Q2 2020-14.3%-10.5%-14.3%
Q1 2020+13.0%+8.0%+5.0%
Q4 2019+20.8%+12.1%-37.2%
Q3 2019-26.2%-36.3%-39.5%
Q2 2019-15.9%-18.4%-16.7%
Q1 2019-4.1%+1.5%-18.2%
Q4 2018-13.8%-17.3%-14.5%
Q3 2018+4.6%+1.7%-8.1%
Q2 2018-0.5%+1.1%-2.9%
Q1 2018-3.1%-3.0%+9.1%
Q4 2017-7.2%-4.4%-5.0%
Q3 2017+3.0%+1.9%+8.9%
Q2 2017+7.7%+0.6%+3.4%
Q1 2017-4.4%-0.4%-6.7%
Q4 2016———
Q3 2016———
Q2 2016———
Q1 2016———
Q4 2015———
Q3 2015———
Q2 2015———
Q1 2015———
Q4 2014———
Q3 2014———
Q2 2014———
Q1 2014———
Q4 2013———
Q3 2013———
Q2 2013———
Q1 2013———
Q4 2012———
Q3 2012———
Q2 2012———
Q1 2012———
Q4 2011———
Q3 2011———
Q2 2011———
Q1 2011———
Q4 2007———
Q3 2010———
Q2 2010———
Q1 2009———
Q1 2010———
Q4 2008———
Q4 2009———
Q3 2009———
Q3 2008———
Q2 2008———
Q2 2009———

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