NYSE$BTU

Peabody Energy Corporation · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Peabody Energy reported second quarter results with increased revenues and improved Adjusted EBITDA.

Peabody Energy's second quarter 2021 results showed revenues of $723.4 million and a net loss of $23.0 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $122.1 million. The company focused on expanding margins through operational improvements, cost controls, and debt reduction.

  • Revenues increased to $723.4 million due to higher volumes and improved seaborne thermal pricing.
  • Net loss from continuing operations was $23.0 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA totaled $122.1 million, driven by higher seaborne thermal pricing and U.S. thermal volumes.
  • The company retired approximately $84 million of debt and reached agreements to retire an additional $50 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$723M

Previous: $627M+15.4%
EPS (adj)

-$0.38

Previous: -$1.32+71.2%
Seaborne Thermal Revenue/Ton

$46.92

Previous: $35.10+33.7%
Seaborne Metallurgical Revenue/Ton

$85.48

Previous: $86.80-1.5%
PRB Revenue/Ton

$11.06

Previous: $11.45-3.4%
Other U.S. Thermal Revenue/Ton

$40.70

Previous: $39.81+2.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$28.6M

Previous: -$1.54B+98.1%
Net Income

-$28.6M

Previous: -$1.54B+98.1%
Operating Income

-$4.2M

Previous: -$1.51B+99.7%
Gross Profit

$112M

Previous: $70.4M+59.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$548M

Previous: $849M-35.4%
Total Assets

$4.45B

Previous: $4.95B-10.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.1M

Previous: $3.9M-46.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Peabody Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$723M

Q2 2021+15.4%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Peabody Energy · $723M total across 5 segments · Q2 2021

  • Powder River Basin
    $249M+20.8%
  • Seaborne Thermal
    $194M+19.8%
  • Other U.S. Thermal
    $162M+6.6%
  • Seaborne Metallurgical
    $121M+32.1%
  • Corporate and Other
    -$2.4M-115.7%

Forward guidance

Peabody anticipates coal deliveries will remain largely dependent on general economic conditions, weather, natural gas prices, utility inventory levels and rail performance.

Tailwinds

  • Essentially all projected volumes priced and committed for US Thermal Operations.
  • Higher seaborne thermal volumes are expected in the second half as Wilpinjong and the Wambo JV complete development projects and reach projected production run rates.
  • The CMJV is anticipated to continue to recognize cost and productivity improvements with full year sales volumes at the high end of guidance.
  • Metropolitan is expected to ship approximately 0.8 million tons in the second half of 2021 as the longwall reaches planned production levels.
  • The Shoal Creek prep plant upgrade project remains on schedule with completion expected in mid Q3.

Headwinds

  • Coal deliveries will remain largely dependent on general economic conditions, weather, natural gas prices, utility inventory levels and rail performance.
  • Costs per ton for Seaborne Thermal Operations are expected to be $33.75 due to product mix, higher expected royalties, exchange rates and fuel prices.
  • Second half Wilpinjong revenue and costs per ton are anticipated to be higher than first half 2021 as estimated export shipments are anticipated to be a higher proportion of total volumes.
  • Negotiations remain ongoing with respect to the expired Shoal Creek labor contract.
  • Interest expense is now expected to be approximately $190 million, including $40 million of non-cash expense.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

14 / 36 earnings

Positive

+25.2%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-29.0%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.8%-11.0%+17.7%
Q4 2025-2.2%+2.7%-8.3%
Q3 2025-4.7%+8.9%+0.9%
Q1 2025+9.2%+5.6%-2.6%
Q4 2024-9.1%-3.8%-30.6%
Q3 2024+7.2%+10.2%-3.4%
Q2 2024-0.8%-3.7%+5.4%
Q1 2024+2.8%+2.3%+15.6%
Q4 2023-2.5%-4.4%+4.7%
Q3 2023+0.6%-4.4%-2.8%
Q2 2023-3.7%-0.7%-4.5%
Q1 2023+2.6%-0.3%-20.3%
Q4 2022+12.1%+7.3%-11.2%
Q3 2022+16.2%+27.5%+36.0%
Q2 2022-8.0%-14.7%+21.8%
Q1 2022-14.6%-18.8%-5.2%
Q4 2021+25.2%+26.6%+69.4%
Q3 2021-8.9%-11.8%-19.5%
Q2 2021+8.7%+5.8%+44.8%
Q1 2021-13.8%-3.3%+54.5%
Q4 2020-17.9%-14.3%-7.6%
Q3 2020-29.0%-10.3%+26.5%
Q2 2020-14.3%-10.5%-14.3%
Q1 2020+13.0%+8.0%+5.0%
Q4 2019+20.8%+12.1%-37.2%
Q3 2019-26.2%-36.3%-39.5%
Q2 2019-15.9%-18.4%-16.7%
Q1 2019-4.1%+1.5%-18.2%
Q4 2018-13.8%-17.3%-14.5%
Q3 2018+4.6%+1.7%-8.1%
Q2 2018-0.5%+1.1%-2.9%
Q1 2018-3.1%-3.0%+9.1%
Q4 2017-7.2%-4.4%-5.0%
Q3 2017+3.0%+1.9%+8.9%
Q2 2017+7.7%+0.6%+3.4%
Q1 2017-4.4%-0.4%-6.7%
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2007
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2009
Q1 2010
Q4 2008
Q4 2009
Q3 2009
Q3 2008
Q2 2008
Q2 2009

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