NYSE$BTU

Peabody Energy Corporation · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Peabody Energy reported second quarter results with increased revenues and improved Adjusted EBITDA.

Peabody Energy's second quarter 2021 results showed revenues of $723.4 million and a net loss of $23.0 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $122.1 million. The company focused on expanding margins through operational improvements, cost controls, and debt reduction.

  • Revenues increased to $723.4 million due to higher volumes and improved seaborne thermal pricing.
  • Net loss from continuing operations was $23.0 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA totaled $122.1 million, driven by higher seaborne thermal pricing and U.S. thermal volumes.
  • The company retired approximately $84 million of debt and reached agreements to retire an additional $50 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$723M

Previous: $627M+15.4%
EPS (adj)

-$0.38

Previous: -$1.32+71.2%
Seaborne Thermal Revenue/Ton

$46.92

Previous: $35.10+33.7%
Seaborne Metallurgical Revenue/Ton

$85.48

Previous: $86.80-1.5%
PRB Revenue/Ton

$11.06

Previous: $11.45-3.4%
Other U.S. Thermal Revenue/Ton

$40.70

Previous: $39.81+2.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$28.6M

Previous: -$1.54B+98.1%
Net Income

-$28.6M

Previous: -$1.54B+98.1%
Operating Income

-$4.2M

Previous: -$1.51B+99.7%
Gross Profit

$112M

Previous: $70.4M+59.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$548M

Previous: $849M-35.4%
Total Assets

$4.45B

Previous: $4.95B-10.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.1M

Previous: $3.9M-46.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Peabody Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$723M

Q2 2021+15.4%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Peabody Energy · $723M total across 5 segments · Q2 2021

  • Powder River Basin
    $249M+20.8%
  • Seaborne Thermal
    $194M+19.8%
  • Other U.S. Thermal
    $162M+6.6%
  • Seaborne Metallurgical
    $121M+32.1%
  • Corporate and Other
    -$2.4M-115.7%

Forward guidance

Peabody anticipates coal deliveries will remain largely dependent on general economic conditions, weather, natural gas prices, utility inventory levels and rail performance.

Tailwinds

  • Essentially all projected volumes priced and committed for US Thermal Operations.
  • Higher seaborne thermal volumes are expected in the second half as Wilpinjong and the Wambo JV complete development projects and reach projected production run rates.
  • The CMJV is anticipated to continue to recognize cost and productivity improvements with full year sales volumes at the high end of guidance.
  • Metropolitan is expected to ship approximately 0.8 million tons in the second half of 2021 as the longwall reaches planned production levels.
  • The Shoal Creek prep plant upgrade project remains on schedule with completion expected in mid Q3.

Headwinds

  • Coal deliveries will remain largely dependent on general economic conditions, weather, natural gas prices, utility inventory levels and rail performance.
  • Costs per ton for Seaborne Thermal Operations are expected to be $33.75 due to product mix, higher expected royalties, exchange rates and fuel prices.
  • Second half Wilpinjong revenue and costs per ton are anticipated to be higher than first half 2021 as estimated export shipments are anticipated to be a higher proportion of total volumes.
  • Negotiations remain ongoing with respect to the expired Shoal Creek labor contract.
  • Interest expense is now expected to be approximately $190 million, including $40 million of non-cash expense.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

14 / 36 earnings

Positive

+25.2%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-29.0%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2025———
Q1 2026-1.8%-11.0%+17.7%
Q4 2025-2.2%+2.7%-8.3%
Q3 2025-4.7%+8.9%+0.9%
Q1 2025+9.2%+5.6%-2.6%
Q4 2024-9.1%-3.8%-30.6%
Q3 2024+7.2%+10.2%-3.4%
Q2 2024-0.8%-3.7%+5.4%
Q1 2024+2.8%+2.3%+15.6%
Q4 2023-2.5%-4.4%+4.7%
Q3 2023+0.6%-4.4%-2.8%
Q2 2023-3.7%-0.7%-4.5%
Q1 2023+2.6%-0.3%-20.3%
Q4 2022+12.1%+7.3%-11.2%
Q3 2022+16.2%+27.5%+36.0%
Q2 2022-8.0%-14.7%+21.8%
Q1 2022-14.6%-18.8%-5.2%
Q4 2021+25.2%+26.6%+69.4%
Q3 2021-8.9%-11.8%-19.5%
Q2 2021+8.7%+5.8%+44.8%
Q1 2021-13.8%-3.3%+54.5%
Q4 2020-17.9%-14.3%-7.6%
Q3 2020-29.0%-10.3%+26.5%
Q2 2020-14.3%-10.5%-14.3%
Q1 2020+13.0%+8.0%+5.0%
Q4 2019+20.8%+12.1%-37.2%
Q3 2019-26.2%-36.3%-39.5%
Q2 2019-15.9%-18.4%-16.7%
Q1 2019-4.1%+1.5%-18.2%
Q4 2018-13.8%-17.3%-14.5%
Q3 2018+4.6%+1.7%-8.1%
Q2 2018-0.5%+1.1%-2.9%
Q1 2018-3.1%-3.0%+9.1%
Q4 2017-7.2%-4.4%-5.0%
Q3 2017+3.0%+1.9%+8.9%
Q2 2017+7.7%+0.6%+3.4%
Q1 2017-4.4%-0.4%-6.7%
Q4 2016———
Q3 2016———
Q2 2016———
Q1 2016———
Q4 2015———
Q3 2015———
Q2 2015———
Q1 2015———
Q4 2014———
Q3 2014———
Q2 2014———
Q1 2014———
Q4 2013———
Q3 2013———
Q2 2013———
Q1 2013———
Q4 2012———
Q3 2012———
Q2 2012———
Q1 2012———
Q4 2011———
Q3 2011———
Q2 2011———
Q1 2011———
Q4 2007———
Q3 2010———
Q2 2010———
Q1 2009———
Q1 2010———
Q4 2008———
Q4 2009———
Q3 2009———
Q3 2008———
Q2 2008———
Q2 2009———

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