NYSE$BTU

Peabody Energy Corporation · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Peabody Energy reported mixed results for Q2 2023, with net income impacted by losses at NARM and Shoal Creek offset by strong seaborne portfolio performance.

Peabody Energy reported a net income of $179.2 million for Q2 2023, with Adjusted EBITDA of $358.2 million. The company returned $262 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends. Despite market volatility, the diverse operational platform allowed the company to successfully execute its plan, driven by a strong seaborne portfolio.

  • Net income attributable to common stockholders was $179.2 million, or $1.15 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter was $358.2 million.
  • Returned $262 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends.
  • Seaborne metallurgical volumes exceeded expectations by 18 percent, with 2.0 million tons shipped.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.27B

Previous: $1.32B-4.0%
EPS (adj)

$1.15

Previous: $2.55-54.9%
Seaborne Thermal Revenue/Ton

$100.59

Previous: $87.37+15.1%
Seaborne Metallurgical Revenue/Ton

$190.13

Previous: $330.56-42.5%
PRB Revenue/Ton

$13.71

Previous: $12.44+10.2%
Other U.S. Thermal Revenue/Ton

$53.63

Previous: $51.40+4.3%
Free Cash Flow

$179M

Previous: $410M-56.2%
Net Income

$179M

Previous: $410M-56.2%
Operating Income

$261M

Previous: $449M-42.0%
Gross Profit

$407M

Previous: $496M-18.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.08B

Previous: $1.12B-3.6%
Total Assets

$5.83B

Previous: $5.3B+10.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.7M

Previous: $3.4M-50.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Peabody Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.27B

Q2 2023-4%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Peabody Energy · $1.27B total across 5 segments · Q2 2023

  • Seaborne Thermal
    $400M+12.6%
  • Seaborne Metallurgical
    $373M-30.2%
  • Powder River Basin
    $260M+13.1%
  • Other U.S. Thermal
    $200M-11.1%
  • Corporate and Other
    $37.2M+273.8%

Forward guidance

Peabody Energy anticipates increased seaborne thermal volumes and provides cost and pricing expectations for Q3 2023 across its segments.

Tailwinds

  • Seaborne thermal volumes are expected to be 4.2 million tons, including 2.7 million export tons.
  • 0.3 million export tons are priced at $181 per ton.
  • PRB volume is expected to be approximately 21 million tons at an average price of $13.80 per ton and costs of approximately $11.75 per ton.
  • Other U.S. Thermal volume is expected to be approximately 4.2 million tons at an average price of $50.50 per ton.
  • Seaborne met volumes are expected to be 1.5 million tons.

Headwinds

  • Approximately 1.4 million tons of high ash product and 1.0 million tons of Newcastle product are unpriced for seaborne thermal.
  • Seaborne thermal costs are expected to be $45-$50 per ton.
  • The remaining unpriced seaborne met volumes are expected to achieve 70 to 80 percent of the premium hard coking coal price index.
  • Seaborne metallurgical costs are expected to be $115-$125 per ton.
  • Other U.S. Thermal costs are expected to be approximately $41 per ton.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

14 / 36 earnings

Positive

+25.2%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-29.0%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.8%-11.0%+17.7%
Q4 2025-2.2%+2.7%-8.3%
Q3 2025-4.7%+8.9%+0.9%
Q1 2025+9.2%+5.6%-2.6%
Q4 2024-9.1%-3.8%-30.6%
Q3 2024+7.2%+10.2%-3.4%
Q2 2024-0.8%-3.7%+5.4%
Q1 2024+2.8%+2.3%+15.6%
Q4 2023-2.5%-4.4%+4.7%
Q3 2023+0.6%-4.4%-2.8%
Q2 2023-3.7%-0.7%-4.5%
Q1 2023+2.6%-0.3%-20.3%
Q4 2022+12.1%+7.3%-11.2%
Q3 2022+16.2%+27.5%+36.0%
Q2 2022-8.0%-14.7%+21.8%
Q1 2022-14.6%-18.8%-5.2%
Q4 2021+25.2%+26.6%+69.4%
Q3 2021-8.9%-11.8%-19.5%
Q2 2021+8.7%+5.8%+44.8%
Q1 2021-13.8%-3.3%+54.5%
Q4 2020-17.9%-14.3%-7.6%
Q3 2020-29.0%-10.3%+26.5%
Q2 2020-14.3%-10.5%-14.3%
Q1 2020+13.0%+8.0%+5.0%
Q4 2019+20.8%+12.1%-37.2%
Q3 2019-26.2%-36.3%-39.5%
Q2 2019-15.9%-18.4%-16.7%
Q1 2019-4.1%+1.5%-18.2%
Q4 2018-13.8%-17.3%-14.5%
Q3 2018+4.6%+1.7%-8.1%
Q2 2018-0.5%+1.1%-2.9%
Q1 2018-3.1%-3.0%+9.1%
Q4 2017-7.2%-4.4%-5.0%
Q3 2017+3.0%+1.9%+8.9%
Q2 2017+7.7%+0.6%+3.4%
Q1 2017-4.4%-0.4%-6.7%
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2007
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2009
Q1 2010
Q4 2008
Q4 2009
Q3 2009
Q3 2008
Q2 2008
Q2 2009

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