NYSE$BTU

Peabody Energy Corporation · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Peabody Energy reported a net loss for the fourth quarter of 2019, with revenues impacted by lower seaborne metallurgical coal volumes and pricing, while also making operational improvements and reducing costs.

Peabody Energy's fourth quarter 2019 results showed revenues of $1.12 billion, a net loss of $290.2 million, and Adjusted EBITDA of $204.9 million. The company focused on operational improvements, cost reductions, and debt reduction, while progressing the regulatory process for a proposed joint venture.

  • Peabody achieved a 10% cost-per-ton improvement in three operating segments.
  • The company lowered capital expenditures and suspended dividends due to industry conditions.
  • Peabody emphasized debt reduction to maintain financial strength.
  • Progress continued on the regulatory process for the proposed PRB/Colorado joint venture.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.12B

Previous: $1.4B-20.0%
EPS (adj)

-$1.11

Previous: $0.94-218.1%
Seaborne Thermal Revenue/Ton

$45.97

Previous: $58.80-21.8%
Seaborne Metallurgical Revenue/Ton

$104.62

Previous: $131.89-20.7%
PRB Revenue/Ton

$11.81

Previous: $11.35+4.1%
Other U.S. Thermal Revenue/Ton

$20.00

Previous: $18.03+10.9%
Capital Expenditures

$285M

Previous: $301M-5.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$161M

Previous: -$72.1M-122.7%
Net Income

-$290M

Previous: $250M-216.1%
Operating Income

-$166M

Previous: $127M-230.5%
Gross Profit

$292M

Previous: $376M-22.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$732M

Previous: $1.02B-28.0%
Total Assets

$6.54B

Previous: $7.42B-11.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$8.1M

Previous: $9.3M-12.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Peabody Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.12B

Q4 2019-20%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Peabody Energy · $1.12B total across 5 segments · Q4 2019

  • Other U.S. Thermal
    $339M-2.1%
  • Powder River Basin
    $325M-4.4%
  • Seaborne Thermal
    $251M-22.8%
  • Seaborne Metallurgical
    $201M-32.6%
  • Corporate and Other
    $1.2M-98.6%

Forward guidance

Peabody anticipates a challenging start to 2020 due to macro industry conditions, but is targeting increased met coal volumes and reduced met costs, lower SG&A and lower North Goonyella holding costs to mitigate these challenges. The company's 2020 earnings profile is expected to be weighted to the second half of the year.

Tailwinds

  • Increased met coal volumes
  • Reduced met costs
  • Lower SG&A
  • Lower North Goonyella holding costs
  • Strong U.S. contracted position

Headwinds

  • Challenging macro industry conditions
  • Pricing declines in all segments
  • Lower U.S. thermal volumes
  • Loss of contributions from mine closures
  • Increases in the federal coal excise tax

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

14 / 36 earnings

Positive

+25.2%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-29.0%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.8%-11.0%+17.7%
Q4 2025-2.2%+2.7%-8.3%
Q3 2025-4.7%+8.9%+0.9%
Q1 2025+9.2%+5.6%-2.6%
Q4 2024-9.1%-3.8%-30.6%
Q3 2024+7.2%+10.2%-3.4%
Q2 2024-0.8%-3.7%+5.4%
Q1 2024+2.8%+2.3%+15.6%
Q4 2023-2.5%-4.4%+4.7%
Q3 2023+0.6%-4.4%-2.8%
Q2 2023-3.7%-0.7%-4.5%
Q1 2023+2.6%-0.3%-20.3%
Q4 2022+12.1%+7.3%-11.2%
Q3 2022+16.2%+27.5%+36.0%
Q2 2022-8.0%-14.7%+21.8%
Q1 2022-14.6%-18.8%-5.2%
Q4 2021+25.2%+26.6%+69.4%
Q3 2021-8.9%-11.8%-19.5%
Q2 2021+8.7%+5.8%+44.8%
Q1 2021-13.8%-3.3%+54.5%
Q4 2020-17.9%-14.3%-7.6%
Q3 2020-29.0%-10.3%+26.5%
Q2 2020-14.3%-10.5%-14.3%
Q1 2020+13.0%+8.0%+5.0%
Q4 2019+20.8%+12.1%-37.2%
Q3 2019-26.2%-36.3%-39.5%
Q2 2019-15.9%-18.4%-16.7%
Q1 2019-4.1%+1.5%-18.2%
Q4 2018-13.8%-17.3%-14.5%
Q3 2018+4.6%+1.7%-8.1%
Q2 2018-0.5%+1.1%-2.9%
Q1 2018-3.1%-3.0%+9.1%
Q4 2017-7.2%-4.4%-5.0%
Q3 2017+3.0%+1.9%+8.9%
Q2 2017+7.7%+0.6%+3.4%
Q1 2017-4.4%-0.4%-6.7%
Q4 2016
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Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
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Q1 2015
Q4 2014
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Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
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Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2007
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2009
Q1 2010
Q4 2008
Q4 2009
Q3 2009
Q3 2008
Q2 2008
Q2 2009

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