NYSE$BTU

Peabody Energy Corporation · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Peabody Energy's Q4 2021 earnings were announced, revealing increased revenues and net income compared to the previous year, driven by strong market fundamentals and improved pricing realizations.

Peabody Energy reported a strong fourth quarter in 2021, marked by revenues of $1,264.6 million and a net income of $513.0 million. The company benefited from robust market conditions and strategic debt reduction.

  • Revenues increased by 72% compared to the prior year, reaching $1,264.6 million.
  • Net income attributable to common stockholders was $513.0 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA totaled $444.4 million, a 331% increase year-over-year.
  • The company generated $426.6 million in Free Cash Flow and retired an additional $200 million of senior secured debt.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.26B

Previous: $737M+71.5%
EPS (adj)

$3.90

Previous: -$1.25+412.0%
Seaborne Thermal Revenue/Ton

$65.71

Previous: $35.67+84.2%
Seaborne Metallurgical Revenue/Ton

$211.19

Previous: $83.94+151.6%
PRB Revenue/Ton

$10.99

Previous: $11.41-3.7%
Other U.S. Thermal Revenue/Ton

$42.23

Previous: $38.88+8.6%
Capital Expenditures

$183M

Previous: $191M-4.3%
Free Cash Flow

$427M

Previous: -$169M+352.4%
Net Income

$512M

Previous: -$128M+501.0%
Operating Income

$521M

Previous: -$108M+582.0%
Gross Profit

$555M

Previous: $99M+460.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$954M

Previous: $709M+34.6%
Total Assets

$4.95B

Previous: $4.67B+6.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.4M

Previous: $3.6M+22.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Peabody Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.26B

Q4 2021+71.5%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Peabody Energy · $1.26B total across 5 segments · Q4 2021

  • Seaborne Metallurgical
    $340M+176.4%
  • Seaborne Thermal
    $303M+63.1%
  • Powder River Basin
    $247M-2.7%
  • Other U.S. Thermal
    $193M+5.4%
  • Corporate and Other
    $182M+2240.0%

Forward guidance

Peabody anticipates increased U.S. thermal volumes and seaborne met volumes, alongside robust margins from strong prices, although higher royalties and fuel prices are expected to impact costs.

Tailwinds

  • U.S. thermal volumes are expected to be higher than prior year.
  • Essentially all base volumes are priced and committed.
  • Seaborne thermal volumes are expected to be consistent with prior year.
  • Robust margins from anticipated strong prices are expected to more than offset higher royalties and fuel prices for seaborne thermal operations.
  • Seaborne met volumes are expected to increase substantially.

Headwinds

  • Cost per ton are anticipated to increase compared to the prior year.
  • Higher royalties and fuel prices are expected.
  • Incremental costs to increase near term production.
  • Realized seaborne thermal export pricing varies based on sales timing and product quality as well as optimization strategies.
  • Peabody's total metallurgical sales are anticipated to price at a 15-20% discount to the premium hard-coking coal index price

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

14 / 36 earnings

Positive

+25.2%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-29.0%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.8%-11.0%+17.7%
Q4 2025-2.2%+2.7%-8.3%
Q3 2025-4.7%+8.9%+0.9%
Q1 2025+9.2%+5.6%-2.6%
Q4 2024-9.1%-3.8%-30.6%
Q3 2024+7.2%+10.2%-3.4%
Q2 2024-0.8%-3.7%+5.4%
Q1 2024+2.8%+2.3%+15.6%
Q4 2023-2.5%-4.4%+4.7%
Q3 2023+0.6%-4.4%-2.8%
Q2 2023-3.7%-0.7%-4.5%
Q1 2023+2.6%-0.3%-20.3%
Q4 2022+12.1%+7.3%-11.2%
Q3 2022+16.2%+27.5%+36.0%
Q2 2022-8.0%-14.7%+21.8%
Q1 2022-14.6%-18.8%-5.2%
Q4 2021+25.2%+26.6%+69.4%
Q3 2021-8.9%-11.8%-19.5%
Q2 2021+8.7%+5.8%+44.8%
Q1 2021-13.8%-3.3%+54.5%
Q4 2020-17.9%-14.3%-7.6%
Q3 2020-29.0%-10.3%+26.5%
Q2 2020-14.3%-10.5%-14.3%
Q1 2020+13.0%+8.0%+5.0%
Q4 2019+20.8%+12.1%-37.2%
Q3 2019-26.2%-36.3%-39.5%
Q2 2019-15.9%-18.4%-16.7%
Q1 2019-4.1%+1.5%-18.2%
Q4 2018-13.8%-17.3%-14.5%
Q3 2018+4.6%+1.7%-8.1%
Q2 2018-0.5%+1.1%-2.9%
Q1 2018-3.1%-3.0%+9.1%
Q4 2017-7.2%-4.4%-5.0%
Q3 2017+3.0%+1.9%+8.9%
Q2 2017+7.7%+0.6%+3.4%
Q1 2017-4.4%-0.4%-6.7%
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
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Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2007
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2009
Q1 2010
Q4 2008
Q4 2009
Q3 2009
Q3 2008
Q2 2008
Q2 2009

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