NYSE$BTU

Peabody Energy Corporation · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Peabody Energy reported strong Q3 2022 results, driven by solid performance across all business segments and benefiting from favorable coal prices.

Peabody Energy reported a net income of $375.1 million for Q3 2022, a significant improvement compared to the net loss of $44.2 million in the prior year quarter. The company generated strong operating cash flow and free cash flow, driven by solid performance across all business segments and favorable coal prices. Peabody has commenced redevelopment at North Goonyella.

  • Tons sold increased more than 4 million tons from the second quarter to 32.7 million tons.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $439 million, a 50 percent increase compared to the prior year quarter.
  • Free Cash Flow of $461 million, the best result in 18 quarters, ending quarter with nearly $1.4 billion of Cash and cash equivalents.
  • Commenced redevelopment at North Goonyella.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.34B

Previous: $679M+97.7%
EPS (adj)

$2.34

Previous: -$0.38+715.8%
Seaborne Thermal Revenue/Ton

$95.54

Previous: $58.53+63.2%
Seaborne Metallurgical Revenue/Ton

$179.77

Previous: $119.98+49.8%
PRB Revenue/Ton

$12.99

Previous: $10.88+19.4%
Other U.S. Thermal Revenue/Ton

$54.58

Previous: $40.99+33.2%
Free Cash Flow

$375M

Previous: -$44.2M+948.6%
Net Income

$375M

Previous: -$44.2M+948.6%
Operating Income

$421M

Previous: -$43.8M+1060.0%
Gross Profit

$504M

Previous: $29.6M+1603.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.35B

Previous: $587M+130.7%
Total Assets

$5.43B

Previous: $4.44B+22.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.2M

Previous: $1.7M-29.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Peabody Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.34B

Q3 2022+97.7%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Peabody Energy · $1.34B total across 5 segments · Q3 2022

  • Seaborne Thermal
    $353M+35.5%
  • Seaborne Metallurgical
    $311M+73.1%
  • Powder River Basin
    $291M+17.6%
  • Other U.S. Thermal
    $261M+41.6%
  • Corporate and Other
    $127M+165.7%

Forward guidance

Peabody provided the following outlook for Q4 2022:

Tailwinds

  • Seaborne Thermal costs are expected to improve to approximately $40 per ton.
  • PRB volume is expected to be approximately 23 million tons at an average price of $13.50 per ton and cost of $11.50 per ton.
  • Other U.S. Thermal volume is expected to be approximately 4.7 million tons at an average price of $49 per ton
  • Full year capital guidance has been increased to $210 million primarily due to North Goonyella redevelopment and deposits for longwall equipment at Shoal Creek.

Headwinds

  • Seaborne Thermal export volume is expected to be 2.4 million tons, less than previously thought primarily due to lower production from our 50 percent ownership of the Wambo Open-cut joint venture as a result of heavy rains in October.
  • Seaborne Metallurgical export volume is now expected to be 2.0 million tons as a result of lower Shoal Creek production and heavy rains at the CMJV in October.
  • Seaborne Metallurgical costs are expected to be approximately $125 per ton.
  • Other U.S. Thermal costs are pressured by poor rail performance and expected to be $40 per ton.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

14 / 36 earnings

Positive

+25.2%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-29.0%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.8%-11.0%+17.7%
Q4 2025-2.2%+2.7%-8.3%
Q3 2025-4.7%+8.9%+0.9%
Q1 2025+9.2%+5.6%-2.6%
Q4 2024-9.1%-3.8%-30.6%
Q3 2024+7.2%+10.2%-3.4%
Q2 2024-0.8%-3.7%+5.4%
Q1 2024+2.8%+2.3%+15.6%
Q4 2023-2.5%-4.4%+4.7%
Q3 2023+0.6%-4.4%-2.8%
Q2 2023-3.7%-0.7%-4.5%
Q1 2023+2.6%-0.3%-20.3%
Q4 2022+12.1%+7.3%-11.2%
Q3 2022+16.2%+27.5%+36.0%
Q2 2022-8.0%-14.7%+21.8%
Q1 2022-14.6%-18.8%-5.2%
Q4 2021+25.2%+26.6%+69.4%
Q3 2021-8.9%-11.8%-19.5%
Q2 2021+8.7%+5.8%+44.8%
Q1 2021-13.8%-3.3%+54.5%
Q4 2020-17.9%-14.3%-7.6%
Q3 2020-29.0%-10.3%+26.5%
Q2 2020-14.3%-10.5%-14.3%
Q1 2020+13.0%+8.0%+5.0%
Q4 2019+20.8%+12.1%-37.2%
Q3 2019-26.2%-36.3%-39.5%
Q2 2019-15.9%-18.4%-16.7%
Q1 2019-4.1%+1.5%-18.2%
Q4 2018-13.8%-17.3%-14.5%
Q3 2018+4.6%+1.7%-8.1%
Q2 2018-0.5%+1.1%-2.9%
Q1 2018-3.1%-3.0%+9.1%
Q4 2017-7.2%-4.4%-5.0%
Q3 2017+3.0%+1.9%+8.9%
Q2 2017+7.7%+0.6%+3.4%
Q1 2017-4.4%-0.4%-6.7%
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2007
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2009
Q1 2010
Q4 2008
Q4 2009
Q3 2009
Q3 2008
Q2 2008
Q2 2009

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