NYSE$BTU

Peabody Energy Corporation · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Peabody Energy reported strong financial results for Q1 2023, driven by increased Adjusted EBITDA and operating cash flow, and initiated a robust shareholder return program.

Peabody Energy reported a net income of $268.5 million for Q1 2023, a significant increase compared to the net loss of $119.5 million in Q1 2022. The company's Adjusted EBITDA reached $390.6 million, up nearly 20% from the previous year. Peabody also generated $386 million in operating cash flow and initiated a $1.0 billion share repurchase authorization.

  • Initiated a $1.0 billion share repurchase authorization.
  • Adjusted EBITDA reached $391 million and Operating Cash Flow landed at $386 million.
  • Seaborne Thermal export volumes exceeded expectations by 17%, reaching 2.1 million tons.
  • Completed pre-funding of all long-term mine closure and reclamation obligations.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.36B

Previous: $691M+97.3%
EPS (adj)

$1.68

Previous: -$0.87+293.1%
Seaborne Thermal Revenue/Ton

$96.82

Previous: $66.86+44.8%
Seaborne Metallurgical Revenue/Ton

$220.60

Previous: $258.43-14.6%
PRB Revenue/Ton

$13.89

Previous: $12.18+14.0%
Other U.S. Thermal Revenue/Ton

$54.73

Previous: $48.46+12.9%
Free Cash Flow

$269M

Previous: -$120M+324.7%
Net Income

$269M

Previous: -$120M+324.7%
Operating Income

$405M

Previous: -$70.6M+672.9%
Gross Profit

$517M

Previous: -$7.6M+6907.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$892M

Previous: $823M+8.4%
Total Assets

$5.8B

Previous: $4.94B+17.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.7M

Previous: $2M-15.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Peabody Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.36B

Q1 2023+97.3%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Peabody Energy · $1.36B total across 5 segments · Q1 2023

  • Seaborne Thermal
    $347M+37.9%
  • Powder River Basin
    $305M+21.5%
  • Seaborne Metallurgical
    $288M-10.2%
  • Other U.S. Thermal
    $249M+22.8%
  • Corporate and Other
    $174M+152.0%

Forward guidance

Peabody Energy provided the following outlook for the second quarter of 2023:

Tailwinds

  • Seaborne Thermal volumes are expected to be 4.0 million tons, including 2.6 million export tons.
  • 1.0 million Seaborne Thermal export tons are priced at $243 per ton.
  • Seaborne Metallurgical volumes are expected to be 1.7 million tons.
  • 0.5 million Seaborne Metallurgical tons are priced at $244 per ton.
  • PRB average price of $13.70 per ton and cost of approximately $12.00 per ton.

Headwinds

  • Seaborne Thermal costs are expected to be $50-$55 per ton.
  • Remaining unpriced Seaborne Metallurgical volumes are expected to achieve 75 to 80 percent of the premium hard coking coal price index.
  • PRB volume is expected to be approximately 21 million tons
  • Other U.S. Thermal volume is expected to be approximately 4.3 million tons
  • Other U.S. Thermal volume average price of $52.50 per ton and cost of approximately $41 per ton.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

14 / 36 earnings

Positive

+25.2%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-29.0%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.8%-11.0%+17.7%
Q4 2025-2.2%+2.7%-8.3%
Q3 2025-4.7%+8.9%+0.9%
Q1 2025+9.2%+5.6%-2.6%
Q4 2024-9.1%-3.8%-30.6%
Q3 2024+7.2%+10.2%-3.4%
Q2 2024-0.8%-3.7%+5.4%
Q1 2024+2.8%+2.3%+15.6%
Q4 2023-2.5%-4.4%+4.7%
Q3 2023+0.6%-4.4%-2.8%
Q2 2023-3.7%-0.7%-4.5%
Q1 2023+2.6%-0.3%-20.3%
Q4 2022+12.1%+7.3%-11.2%
Q3 2022+16.2%+27.5%+36.0%
Q2 2022-8.0%-14.7%+21.8%
Q1 2022-14.6%-18.8%-5.2%
Q4 2021+25.2%+26.6%+69.4%
Q3 2021-8.9%-11.8%-19.5%
Q2 2021+8.7%+5.8%+44.8%
Q1 2021-13.8%-3.3%+54.5%
Q4 2020-17.9%-14.3%-7.6%
Q3 2020-29.0%-10.3%+26.5%
Q2 2020-14.3%-10.5%-14.3%
Q1 2020+13.0%+8.0%+5.0%
Q4 2019+20.8%+12.1%-37.2%
Q3 2019-26.2%-36.3%-39.5%
Q2 2019-15.9%-18.4%-16.7%
Q1 2019-4.1%+1.5%-18.2%
Q4 2018-13.8%-17.3%-14.5%
Q3 2018+4.6%+1.7%-8.1%
Q2 2018-0.5%+1.1%-2.9%
Q1 2018-3.1%-3.0%+9.1%
Q4 2017-7.2%-4.4%-5.0%
Q3 2017+3.0%+1.9%+8.9%
Q2 2017+7.7%+0.6%+3.4%
Q1 2017-4.4%-0.4%-6.7%
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2007
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2009
Q1 2010
Q4 2008
Q4 2009
Q3 2009
Q3 2008
Q2 2008
Q2 2009

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