NYSE$BTU

Peabody Energy Corporation · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Peabody Energy reported strong operational and safety performance, completed share repurchases, and saw exceptional progress in Centurion development.

Peabody Energy reported a net income attributable to common stockholders of $101.3 million for Q3 2024. The company saw strong operational performance across all segments, completed $100 million in share repurchases, and continued to execute its strategy, including a comprehensive update on Centurion.

  • Reported third quarter Adjusted EBITDA of $224.8 million and generated operating cash flow of $359.9 million.
  • Centurion development rates continue to exceed expectations, with first customer shipment scheduled for the fourth quarter.
  • Powder River Basin volumes were better than expected at 22.1 million tons.
  • Completed $100 million of share repurchases.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.09B

Previous: $1.08B+0.8%
EPS

$0.74

Previous: $0.82-9.8%
Seaborne Thermal Revenue/Ton

$76.21

Previous: $71.38+6.8%
Seaborne Metallurgical Revenue/Ton

$144.60

Previous: $162.02-10.8%
PRB Revenue/Ton

$13.84

Previous: $13.79+0.4%
Other U.S. Thermal Revenue/Ton

$53.52

Previous: $53.89-0.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$91.5M

Previous: -$67.8M-35.0%
Free Cash Flow

$101M

Previous: $120M-15.5%
Net Income

$101M

Previous: $120M-15.5%
Operating Income

$120M

Previous: $159M-24.4%
Gross Profit

$242M

Previous: $275M-12.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$773M

Previous: $989M-21.8%
Total Assets

$5.87B

Previous: $5.72B+2.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.6M

Previous: $1.7M-5.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Peabody Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.09B

Q3 2024+0.8%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Peabody Energy · $1.08B total across 5 segments · Q3 2023

  • Powder River Basin
    $313M+7.7%
  • Seaborne Thermal
    $297M-15.8%
  • Seaborne Metallurgical
    $247M-20.5%
  • Other U.S. Thermal
    $228M-12.7%
  • Corporate and Other
    -$6.7M-105.3%

Forward guidance

Peabody provided its fourth quarter 2024 outlook, including volume and cost expectations for its Seaborne Thermal, Seaborne Metallurgical, and U.S. Thermal segments, as well as capital expenditure guidance.

Tailwinds

  • Seaborne Thermal volume is expected to be 4.1 million tons, including 2.5 million export tons.
  • Seaborne Metallurgical volume is anticipated to be 2.3 million tons and is expected to achieve 70 to 75 percent of the premium hard coking coal price index.
  • PRB volume is expected to be 21.2 million tons at an average price of $13.50 per ton and costs of approximately $11.50-$12.00 per ton.
  • Other U.S. Thermal volume is expected to be 3.9 million tons at an average price of $52.40 per ton and costs of approximately $44-$48 per ton.
  • Full year volume guidance increased by 200 thousand tons to 16-16.4 million tons due to higher production at Wilpinjong.

Headwinds

  • Twentymile is experiencing challenging geological conditions temporarily reducing production.
  • Full-year anticipated capital has been increased by $50 million to $425 million primarily due to accelerated development at Centurion and timing of spend at Wambo Open-Cut.
  • 0.8 million tons of Newcastle product and 1.3 million tons of high ash product are unpriced for Seaborne Thermal.
  • Other U.S. Thermal full year costs have been increased $2 per ton to $43-$47 per ton.
  • 0.4 million export tons for Seaborne Thermal are priced at approximately $120 per ton.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

14 / 36 earnings

Positive

+25.2%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-29.0%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.8%-11.0%+17.7%
Q4 2025-2.2%+2.7%-8.3%
Q3 2025-4.7%+8.9%+0.9%
Q1 2025+9.2%+5.6%-2.6%
Q4 2024-9.1%-3.8%-30.6%
Q3 2024+7.2%+10.2%-3.4%
Q2 2024-0.8%-3.7%+5.4%
Q1 2024+2.8%+2.3%+15.6%
Q4 2023-2.5%-4.4%+4.7%
Q3 2023+0.6%-4.4%-2.8%
Q2 2023-3.7%-0.7%-4.5%
Q1 2023+2.6%-0.3%-20.3%
Q4 2022+12.1%+7.3%-11.2%
Q3 2022+16.2%+27.5%+36.0%
Q2 2022-8.0%-14.7%+21.8%
Q1 2022-14.6%-18.8%-5.2%
Q4 2021+25.2%+26.6%+69.4%
Q3 2021-8.9%-11.8%-19.5%
Q2 2021+8.7%+5.8%+44.8%
Q1 2021-13.8%-3.3%+54.5%
Q4 2020-17.9%-14.3%-7.6%
Q3 2020-29.0%-10.3%+26.5%
Q2 2020-14.3%-10.5%-14.3%
Q1 2020+13.0%+8.0%+5.0%
Q4 2019+20.8%+12.1%-37.2%
Q3 2019-26.2%-36.3%-39.5%
Q2 2019-15.9%-18.4%-16.7%
Q1 2019-4.1%+1.5%-18.2%
Q4 2018-13.8%-17.3%-14.5%
Q3 2018+4.6%+1.7%-8.1%
Q2 2018-0.5%+1.1%-2.9%
Q1 2018-3.1%-3.0%+9.1%
Q4 2017-7.2%-4.4%-5.0%
Q3 2017+3.0%+1.9%+8.9%
Q2 2017+7.7%+0.6%+3.4%
Q1 2017-4.4%-0.4%-6.7%
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2007
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2009
Q1 2010
Q4 2008
Q4 2009
Q3 2009
Q3 2008
Q2 2008
Q2 2009

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