NASDAQ$BLBD
Blue Bird Corporation · Q3 2024 earnings
Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Reported record results and raised 2024 guidance and long-term outlook.
Blue Bird reported record third-quarter results for fiscal year 2024, with net sales of $333.4 million, up 13% year-over-year, and GAAP net income of $28.7 million, up $19.4 million year-over-year. The company also raised its full-year financial guidance for Adjusted EBITDA to $175 million and long-term Adjusted EBITDA margin outlook to 15%.
- Net sales increased by 13% to $333.4 million compared to the prior year.
- GAAP net income increased by $19.4 million to $28.7 million compared to the prior year.
- Adjusted EBITDA reached a record $48.2 million with a 14.5% margin.
- The company delivered over 200 electric-powered buses, nearly 40% more than last year.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Blue Bird · Revenue · Quarterly
$333M
Revenue by segment
Blue Bird · $288M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023
- Bus Sales$283M+16407779.5%98.4%
- Parts Sales$4.6M—1.6%
Forward guidance
Blue Bird increased its full-year financial guidance for Adjusted EBITDA to $175 million, with a 13% margin, and raised its long-term profit outlook towards an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 15% on ~$2 billion in revenues.
Tailwinds
- Full-year guidance for Net Revenue raised to $1.30-1.33 Billion.
- Full-year guidance for Adjusted EBITDA raised to $170-180 million (13.1% - 13.5% margin).
- Full-year guidance for Adjusted Free Cash Flow raised to $80-90 million.
- Long-term profit outlook raised towards an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 15% on ~$2 billion in revenues.
- Strong market demand with over 5,200 units in order backlog.
Headwinds
- Supply chain constraints have limited the company's ability to produce and deliver buses due to shortages of critical components.
- Increased inventory costs due to higher raw materials costs and supply chain disruptions.
- Ongoing inflationary pressures impacting manufacturing costs.
- Potential economic conditions (including tariffs) could affect fuel costs, commodity costs, industry size, and financial conditions of dealers and suppliers.
- Volatility in the tax base and other funding sources that support the purchase of buses by end customers.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024
+1.6%
Avg return
Earnings day
+2.2%
Avg return
5 days after
+4.5%
Avg return
30 days after
55%
27 / 49 earnings
Positive
+35.7%
Q2 2023
Best reaction
-19.4%
Q4 2022
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | +8.9% | +6.4% | +7.1% | |
| Q1 2026 | +11.8% | +14.2% | +10.2% | |
| Q4 2025 | -5.4% | -4.8% | -5.5% | |
| Q2 2025 | +2.0% | +7.1% | +9.0% | |
| Q1 2025 | +4.2% | +3.2% | -5.1% | |
| Q4 2024 | -1.2% | -1.3% | -5.7% | |
| Q3 2024 | +0.2% | -2.0% | -4.5% | |
| Q2 2024 | +25.9% | +31.4% | +51.8% | |
| Q1 2024 | -2.7% | -0.5% | +3.9% | |
| Q4 2023 | +11.6% | +15.3% | +16.1% | |
| Q3 2023 | -5.0% | -0.2% | +2.3% | |
| Q2 2023 | +35.7% | +13.4% | +10.3% | |
| Q1 2023 | +33.2% | +51.4% | +53.1% | |
| Q4 2022 | -19.4% | -19.8% | +13.7% | |
| Q3 2022 | -0.3% | +8.9% | -5.2% | |
| Q2 2022 | -7.0% | -9.2% | -18.7% | |
| Q1 2022 | +16.1% | +12.4% | +34.9% | |
| Q4 2021 | -5.3% | -8.4% | -3.1% | |
| Q3 2021 | -10.5% | -9.3% | -24.3% | |
| Q2 2021 | -1.4% | +1.2% | -5.7% | |
| Q1 2021 | -18.4% | -20.2% | +9.4% | |
| Q4 2020 | +0.1% | +7.5% | +33.8% | |
| Q3 2020 | -14.4% | -14.9% | -15.6% | |
| Q2 2020 | +9.2% | +15.1% | +31.6% | |
| Q1 2020 | -5.9% | -6.7% | -34.3% | |
| Q4 2019 | +1.3% | +3.7% | +17.9% | |
| Q3 2019 | +2.0% | -9.1% | -5.7% | |
| Q2 2019 | +9.9% | +8.5% | +9.9% | |
| Q1 2019 | -4.9% | -10.1% | -15.7% | |
| Q4 2018 | -0.1% | -6.1% | +1.8% | |
| Q3 2018 | +6.3% | +1.2% | +7.2% | |
| Q2 2018 | -7.4% | -12.7% | -19.3% | |
| Q1 2018 | +15.9% | +17.9% | +20.9% | |
| Q4 2017 | -7.0% | -6.2% | -2.3% | |
| Q3 2017 | +1.7% | +1.1% | +3.4% | |
| Q2 2017 | -1.3% | -1.1% | -5.3% | |
| Q1 2017 | +2.4% | +2.7% | +0.0% | |
| Q4 2016 | +1.2% | -3.5% | -7.0% | |
| Q3 2016 | -1.6% | -1.1% | -1.2% | |
| Q2 2016 | +2.2% | +11.1% | +16.1% | |
| Q1 2016 | -5.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +0.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +0.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -2.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +1.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -0.6% | — | — |
Discussion
Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.
Join the conversation
Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.
Sign in with eToro