NASDAQ$BLBD
Blue Bird Corporation · Q4 2021 earnings
Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Blue Bird experienced impacts from supply chain disruptions, but benefited from strong demand and a record firm order backlog.
Blue Bird reported Q4 2021 results with net sales of $192.2 million and a net loss of $(2.4) million. The company's performance was affected by supply chain disruptions, which led to delays in bookings. However, the company saw strong order backlog, particularly for electric buses.
- Net sales decreased to $192.2 million due to supply chain disruptions.
- Net loss was $(2.4) million, a decrease of $14.3 million compared to the same period last year.
- Adjusted EBITDA was $7.6 million, a decrease of $14.3 million compared to the fourth quarter last year.
- Firm order backlog of 4,200+ units, including 260+ electric bus units.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Blue Bird · Revenue · Quarterly
$192M
Revenue by segment
Blue Bird · $288M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023
- Bus Sales$283M+16407779.5%98.4%
- Parts Sales$4.6M—1.6%
Forward guidance
Blue Bird anticipates headwinds in FY2022 due to units pushed from FY2021 being ordered prior to price increases and supplier constraints on key components restricting build capacity in the first half of the year. The company projects net revenue of $750 million - $850 million, Adjusted EBITDA of $30 million - $50 million, and Adjusted Free Cash Flow of $35 million - $55 million.
Tailwinds
- The school-bus industry recovery is well underway.
- The company is focused on ramping production quickly and profitably as supply chain challenges ease.
- Manufacturing efficiency improvements and cost controls are being implemented.
- Vehicle prices have been increased by 11% to address commodity price increases.
- The company is increasing its focus and resources in the EV business.
Headwinds
- The majority of units pushed from FY2021 into FY2022 were ordered prior to price increases.
- Supplier constraints on key components significantly restrict first half build capacity.
- Supply chain disruptions are continuing.
- Units were pushed from FY2021 into FY2022.
- The company faces headwinds through the first half of the fiscal year.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021
+1.6%
Avg return
Earnings day
+2.2%
Avg return
5 days after
+4.5%
Avg return
30 days after
55%
27 / 49 earnings
Positive
+35.7%
Q2 2023
Best reaction
-19.4%
Q4 2022
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | +8.9% | +6.4% | +7.1% | |
| Q1 2026 | +11.8% | +14.2% | +10.2% | |
| Q4 2025 | -5.4% | -4.8% | -5.5% | |
| Q2 2025 | +2.0% | +7.1% | +9.0% | |
| Q1 2025 | +4.2% | +3.2% | -5.1% | |
| Q4 2024 | -1.2% | -1.3% | -5.7% | |
| Q3 2024 | +0.2% | -2.0% | -4.5% | |
| Q2 2024 | +25.9% | +31.4% | +51.8% | |
| Q1 2024 | -2.7% | -0.5% | +3.9% | |
| Q4 2023 | +11.6% | +15.3% | +16.1% | |
| Q3 2023 | -5.0% | -0.2% | +2.3% | |
| Q2 2023 | +35.7% | +13.4% | +10.3% | |
| Q1 2023 | +33.2% | +51.4% | +53.1% | |
| Q4 2022 | -19.4% | -19.8% | +13.7% | |
| Q3 2022 | -0.3% | +8.9% | -5.2% | |
| Q2 2022 | -7.0% | -9.2% | -18.7% | |
| Q1 2022 | +16.1% | +12.4% | +34.9% | |
| Q4 2021 | -5.3% | -8.4% | -3.1% | |
| Q3 2021 | -10.5% | -9.3% | -24.3% | |
| Q2 2021 | -1.4% | +1.2% | -5.7% | |
| Q1 2021 | -18.4% | -20.2% | +9.4% | |
| Q4 2020 | +0.1% | +7.5% | +33.8% | |
| Q3 2020 | -14.4% | -14.9% | -15.6% | |
| Q2 2020 | +9.2% | +15.1% | +31.6% | |
| Q1 2020 | -5.9% | -6.7% | -34.3% | |
| Q4 2019 | +1.3% | +3.7% | +17.9% | |
| Q3 2019 | +2.0% | -9.1% | -5.7% | |
| Q2 2019 | +9.9% | +8.5% | +9.9% | |
| Q1 2019 | -4.9% | -10.1% | -15.7% | |
| Q4 2018 | -0.1% | -6.1% | +1.8% | |
| Q3 2018 | +6.3% | +1.2% | +7.2% | |
| Q2 2018 | -7.4% | -12.7% | -19.3% | |
| Q1 2018 | +15.9% | +17.9% | +20.9% | |
| Q4 2017 | -7.0% | -6.2% | -2.3% | |
| Q3 2017 | +1.7% | +1.1% | +3.4% | |
| Q2 2017 | -1.3% | -1.1% | -5.3% | |
| Q1 2017 | +2.4% | +2.7% | +0.0% | |
| Q4 2016 | +1.2% | -3.5% | -7.0% | |
| Q3 2016 | -1.6% | -1.1% | -1.2% | |
| Q2 2016 | +2.2% | +11.1% | +16.1% | |
| Q1 2016 | -5.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +0.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +0.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -2.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +1.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -0.6% | — | — |
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