NASDAQ$BLBD

Blue Bird Corporation · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record results with increased revenue and net income.

Blue Bird reported record second quarter results for fiscal year 2024, with a 15% increase in net sales to $346 million and a net income of $26 million, up $19 million from the previous year. Adjusted EBITDA reached a record $46 million, driven by improved operations and strong demand for alternative-powered buses. The company raised its full-year Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $155 million and its long-term Adjusted EBITDA margin outlook to 14%+

  • Net sales increased by 15% to $346 million.
  • GAAP net income increased by $19 million to $26 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was a record $46 million, up $25 million year-over-year.
  • Full year Adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $155 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$346M

Previous: $300M+15.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.89

Previous: $0.27+229.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.74M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$26M

Previous: $7.13M+265.0%
Net Income

$26M

Previous: $7.13M+265.0%
Operating Income

$36.1M

Previous: $12.4M+189.8%
Gross Profit

$63.6M

Previous: $35.6M+78.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$93.1M

Previous: $17.8M+423.8%
Total Assets

$456M

Previous: $364M+25.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.49M

Previous: $699K+256.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Blue Bird · Revenue · Quarterly

$346M

Q2 2024+15.4%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Blue Bird · $288M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Bus Sales
    $283M+16407779.5%
  • Parts Sales
    $4.6M

Forward guidance

Blue Bird increased its full year financial guidance for Adjusted EBITDA to $155 million, with a 12% margin. The company also raised its full-year guidance for Net Revenue to $1.275-1.325 Billion, Adj. EBITDA to $145-165 million (11.5% - 12.5% margin) and Adj. Free Cash Flow to $70-80 million. Additionally, they are raising their long-term profit outlook towards an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 14%+ on ~$2 billion in revenues.

Tailwinds

  • Full year Adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $155 million, with a 12% margin.
  • Net Revenue guidance increased to $1.275-1.325 Billion.
  • Adjusted EBITDA guidance increased to $145-165 million (11.5% - 12.5% margin).
  • Adjusted Free Cash Flow guidance increased to $70-80 million.
  • Long-term profit outlook raised towards an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 14%+ on ~$2 billion in revenues.

Headwinds

  • No specific negatives were mentioned in the provided context regarding forward guidance.
  • No specific negatives were mentioned in the provided context regarding forward guidance.
  • No specific negatives were mentioned in the provided context regarding forward guidance.
  • No specific negatives were mentioned in the provided context regarding forward guidance.
  • No specific negatives were mentioned in the provided context regarding forward guidance.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.5%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

27 / 49 earnings

Positive

+35.7%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-19.4%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+8.9%+6.4%+7.1%
Q1 2026+11.8%+14.2%+10.2%
Q4 2025-5.4%-4.8%-5.5%
Q2 2025+2.0%+7.1%+9.0%
Q1 2025+4.2%+3.2%-5.1%
Q4 2024-1.2%-1.3%-5.7%
Q3 2024+0.2%-2.0%-4.5%
Q2 2024+25.9%+31.4%+51.8%
Q1 2024-2.7%-0.5%+3.9%
Q4 2023+11.6%+15.3%+16.1%
Q3 2023-5.0%-0.2%+2.3%
Q2 2023+35.7%+13.4%+10.3%
Q1 2023+33.2%+51.4%+53.1%
Q4 2022-19.4%-19.8%+13.7%
Q3 2022-0.3%+8.9%-5.2%
Q2 2022-7.0%-9.2%-18.7%
Q1 2022+16.1%+12.4%+34.9%
Q4 2021-5.3%-8.4%-3.1%
Q3 2021-10.5%-9.3%-24.3%
Q2 2021-1.4%+1.2%-5.7%
Q1 2021-18.4%-20.2%+9.4%
Q4 2020+0.1%+7.5%+33.8%
Q3 2020-14.4%-14.9%-15.6%
Q2 2020+9.2%+15.1%+31.6%
Q1 2020-5.9%-6.7%-34.3%
Q4 2019+1.3%+3.7%+17.9%
Q3 2019+2.0%-9.1%-5.7%
Q2 2019+9.9%+8.5%+9.9%
Q1 2019-4.9%-10.1%-15.7%
Q4 2018-0.1%-6.1%+1.8%
Q3 2018+6.3%+1.2%+7.2%
Q2 2018-7.4%-12.7%-19.3%
Q1 2018+15.9%+17.9%+20.9%
Q4 2017-7.0%-6.2%-2.3%
Q3 2017+1.7%+1.1%+3.4%
Q2 2017-1.3%-1.1%-5.3%
Q1 2017+2.4%+2.7%+0.0%
Q4 2016+1.2%-3.5%-7.0%
Q3 2016-1.6%-1.1%-1.2%
Q2 2016+2.2%+11.1%+16.1%
Q1 2016-5.9%
Q4 2013+0.4%
Q4 2015+0.4%
Q3 2015-2.0%
Q2 2015+1.4%
Q3 2014+0.8%
Q1 2015+0.8%
Q4 2014+0.5%
Q2 2014-0.6%

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