NASDAQ$BLBD

Blue Bird Corporation · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record first quarter revenues and EV sales, and raised guidance for the year.

Blue Bird Corporation reported strong first quarter results with record revenues and EV sales. Despite a GAAP net loss, the company is optimistic about returning to historical profitability during fiscal year 2023, raising its full year guidance for net revenue and adjusted EBITDA.

  • Net sales increased by 82.4% to $235.7 million compared to the prior year period.
  • The company has a robust backlog of over $675 million and 5,300 units.
  • Electric school bus bookings increased by 130%.
  • FY2023 guidance increased to adjusted EBITDA of approximately $43 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$236M

Previous: $129M+82.4%
EPS (adj)

-$0.30

Previous: -$0.07-328.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$11.3M

Previous: -$4.08M-176.7%
Net Income

-$11.3M

Previous: -$4.08M-176.7%
Operating Income

-$9.38M

Previous: -$2.04M-360.5%
Gross Profit

$7.46M

Previous: $16.2M-54.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$5.66M

Previous: $4.07M+39.2%
Total Assets

$352M

Previous: $364M-3.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$589K

Previous: $1.67M-64.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Blue Bird · Revenue · Quarterly

$236M

Q1 2023+82.4%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Blue Bird · $236M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Bus Sales
    $227M
  • Parts Sales
    $9.23M

Forward guidance

Blue Bird raised its full year fiscal 2023 guidance to Net Revenue of just over $1 Billion, Adj. EBITDA of $40-46 million and Adj. Free Cash Flow of $5-11 million. Additionally, the company reconfirmed its long-term outlook of profitable growth towards $2 billion in revenues and Adjusted EBITDA margins of 12%, or $250 million.

Tailwinds

  • Net Revenue of just over $1 Billion
  • Adj. EBITDA of $40-46 million
  • Adj. Free Cash Flow of $5-11 million
  • Profitable growth towards $2 billion in revenues
  • Adjusted EBITDA margins of 12%, or $250 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.5%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

27 / 49 earnings

Positive

+35.7%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-19.4%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+8.9%+6.4%+7.1%
Q1 2026+11.8%+14.2%+10.2%
Q4 2025-5.4%-4.8%-5.5%
Q2 2025+2.0%+7.1%+9.0%
Q1 2025+4.2%+3.2%-5.1%
Q4 2024-1.2%-1.3%-5.7%
Q3 2024+0.2%-2.0%-4.5%
Q2 2024+25.9%+31.4%+51.8%
Q1 2024-2.7%-0.5%+3.9%
Q4 2023+11.6%+15.3%+16.1%
Q3 2023-5.0%-0.2%+2.3%
Q2 2023+35.7%+13.4%+10.3%
Q1 2023+33.2%+51.4%+53.1%
Q4 2022-19.4%-19.8%+13.7%
Q3 2022-0.3%+8.9%-5.2%
Q2 2022-7.0%-9.2%-18.7%
Q1 2022+16.1%+12.4%+34.9%
Q4 2021-5.3%-8.4%-3.1%
Q3 2021-10.5%-9.3%-24.3%
Q2 2021-1.4%+1.2%-5.7%
Q1 2021-18.4%-20.2%+9.4%
Q4 2020+0.1%+7.5%+33.8%
Q3 2020-14.4%-14.9%-15.6%
Q2 2020+9.2%+15.1%+31.6%
Q1 2020-5.9%-6.7%-34.3%
Q4 2019+1.3%+3.7%+17.9%
Q3 2019+2.0%-9.1%-5.7%
Q2 2019+9.9%+8.5%+9.9%
Q1 2019-4.9%-10.1%-15.7%
Q4 2018-0.1%-6.1%+1.8%
Q3 2018+6.3%+1.2%+7.2%
Q2 2018-7.4%-12.7%-19.3%
Q1 2018+15.9%+17.9%+20.9%
Q4 2017-7.0%-6.2%-2.3%
Q3 2017+1.7%+1.1%+3.4%
Q2 2017-1.3%-1.1%-5.3%
Q1 2017+2.4%+2.7%+0.0%
Q4 2016+1.2%-3.5%-7.0%
Q3 2016-1.6%-1.1%-1.2%
Q2 2016+2.2%+11.1%+16.1%
Q1 2016-5.9%
Q4 2013+0.4%
Q4 2015+0.4%
Q3 2015-2.0%
Q2 2015+1.4%
Q3 2014+0.8%
Q1 2015+0.8%
Q4 2014+0.5%
Q2 2014-0.6%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro