NASDAQ$BLBD

Blue Bird Corporation · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Blue Bird reported record fourth quarter and full year results, beating 2023 guidance and raising 2024 guidance.

Blue Bird Corporation announced record fiscal 2023 fourth quarter and full year results, with a 17.6% increase in net sales for the quarter, driven by higher bus and parts sales. The company's transformation plan led to improved operations and profitability, with significant growth in zero-emission EV unit sales and an increased full year financial guidance for the next year.

  • Net sales increased by 17.6% to $303.0 million compared to the prior year period.
  • Net income was $18.6 million, a $41.7 million increase compared to the same period last year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by $57.0 million to $40.7 million compared to the fourth quarter last year.
  • The company booked 2,116 units in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023, compared to 2,016 units in the same period of fiscal 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$303M

Previous: $258M+17.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.66

Previous: -$0.66+200.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.13M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$33.7M

No prior period
Net Income

$18.6M

Previous: -$23.1M+180.5%
Operating Income

$29.2M

Previous: -$23.1M+226.5%
Gross Profit

$50M

Previous: -$4.4M+1236.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$79M

Previous: $10.5M+653.8%
Total Assets

$418M

Previous: $366M+14.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.94M

Previous: $537K+262.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Blue Bird · Revenue · Quarterly

$303M

Q4 2023+17.6%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Blue Bird · $288M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Bus Sales
    $283M+16407779.5%
  • Parts Sales
    $4.6M

Forward guidance

Blue Bird is raising its fiscal 2024 guidance to Net Revenue to $1.15-1.25 Billion, Adj. EBITDA of $105-125 million and Adj. Free Cash Flow of $50-60 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.5%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

27 / 49 earnings

Positive

+35.7%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-19.4%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+8.9%+6.4%+7.1%
Q1 2026+11.8%+14.2%+10.2%
Q4 2025-5.4%-4.8%-5.5%
Q2 2025+2.0%+7.1%+9.0%
Q1 2025+4.2%+3.2%-5.1%
Q4 2024-1.2%-1.3%-5.7%
Q3 2024+0.2%-2.0%-4.5%
Q2 2024+25.9%+31.4%+51.8%
Q1 2024-2.7%-0.5%+3.9%
Q4 2023+11.6%+15.3%+16.1%
Q3 2023-5.0%-0.2%+2.3%
Q2 2023+35.7%+13.4%+10.3%
Q1 2023+33.2%+51.4%+53.1%
Q4 2022-19.4%-19.8%+13.7%
Q3 2022-0.3%+8.9%-5.2%
Q2 2022-7.0%-9.2%-18.7%
Q1 2022+16.1%+12.4%+34.9%
Q4 2021-5.3%-8.4%-3.1%
Q3 2021-10.5%-9.3%-24.3%
Q2 2021-1.4%+1.2%-5.7%
Q1 2021-18.4%-20.2%+9.4%
Q4 2020+0.1%+7.5%+33.8%
Q3 2020-14.4%-14.9%-15.6%
Q2 2020+9.2%+15.1%+31.6%
Q1 2020-5.9%-6.7%-34.3%
Q4 2019+1.3%+3.7%+17.9%
Q3 2019+2.0%-9.1%-5.7%
Q2 2019+9.9%+8.5%+9.9%
Q1 2019-4.9%-10.1%-15.7%
Q4 2018-0.1%-6.1%+1.8%
Q3 2018+6.3%+1.2%+7.2%
Q2 2018-7.4%-12.7%-19.3%
Q1 2018+15.9%+17.9%+20.9%
Q4 2017-7.0%-6.2%-2.3%
Q3 2017+1.7%+1.1%+3.4%
Q2 2017-1.3%-1.1%-5.3%
Q1 2017+2.4%+2.7%+0.0%
Q4 2016+1.2%-3.5%-7.0%
Q3 2016-1.6%-1.1%-1.2%
Q2 2016+2.2%+11.1%+16.1%
Q1 2016-5.9%
Q4 2013+0.4%
Q4 2015+0.4%
Q3 2015-2.0%
Q2 2015+1.4%
Q3 2014+0.8%
Q1 2015+0.8%
Q4 2014+0.5%
Q2 2014-0.6%

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