NYSE$VVV
Valvoline Inc. · Q3 2020 earnings
Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Valvoline's third-quarter results reflected a sales decline of 16% to $516 million, but showed sequential improvement throughout the quarter, with a 10% growth in June. Net income decreased by 9% to $59 million, and EPS decreased by 6% to $0.32.
Valvoline's Q3 2020 results demonstrated resilience with a sales decline of 16% to $516 million, but a strong recovery in June with 10% growth. Net income decreased by 9% to $59 million, and EPS decreased by 6% to $0.32. The company benefited from easing COVID-19 restrictions and strong in-store execution.
- Sales declined 16% to $516 million, but improved sequentially, with 10% growth in June.
- Quick Lubes system-wide same-store sales decreased 8.0% for the quarter but grew 7.1% in June.
- Net income decreased 9% to $59 million, and EPS decreased 6% to $0.32.
- Cash flow from operations increased $37 million, and free cash flow increased $25 million from the prior year.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Valvoline · Revenue · Quarterly
$516M
Forward guidance
Valvoline anticipates same-store sales growth to be in the high-single digits for Q4 and expects FY20 adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $475 million to $485 million.
Tailwinds
- Strong recovery across segments during Q3.
- July results show same-store sales growth ahead of June levels.
- Anticipate same-store sales growth in the high-single digits for Q4.
- Expect 14th straight year of same store sales growth.
- FY20 adjusted EBITDA expected to be in the range of $475 million to $485 million.
Headwinds
- Uncertainty related to COVID-19 remains.
- Guidance could be impacted by future external events related to COVID-19.
- Additional state, regional, or country lockdown measures could impact results.
- Significant changes in driving trends could impact results.
- Unable to reconcile adjusted EBITDA to GAAP net income for fiscal 2020 without unreasonable efforts.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020
-0.3%
Avg return
Earnings day
+0.4%
Avg return
5 days after
+0.6%
Avg return
30 days after
48%
20 / 42 earnings
Positive
+12.3%
Q2 2023
Best reaction
-21.2%
Q1 2019
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | +4.8% | -4.1% | +4.6% | |
| Q1 2026 | +8.1% | +11.1% | +5.9% | |
| Q4 2025 | -2.6% | -3.3% | -6.0% | |
| Q2 2025 | -1.8% | +0.9% | +6.0% | |
| Q1 2025 | +7.4% | +8.8% | -4.6% | |
| Q4 2024 | -9.1% | -8.9% | -14.3% | |
| Q3 2024 | -7.5% | -9.3% | -8.4% | |
| Q2 2024 | -5.1% | -5.4% | -7.4% | |
| Q1 2024 | +7.0% | +10.4% | +21.1% | |
| Q4 2023 | +8.3% | +14.6% | +16.8% | |
| Q3 2023 | -4.8% | -5.4% | -6.4% | |
| Q2 2023 | +12.3% | +12.0% | +8.3% | |
| Q1 2023 | -4.4% | -3.1% | -4.1% | |
| Q4 2022 | -0.1% | +1.2% | -3.6% | |
| Q3 2022 | -7.5% | -5.9% | -6.6% | |
| Q2 2022 | -8.4% | -1.2% | +14.1% | |
| Q1 2022 | +4.1% | -1.4% | -9.3% | |
| Q4 2021 | -1.5% | -2.0% | -1.9% | |
| Q3 2021 | -0.7% | -2.9% | -2.2% | |
| Q2 2021 | +7.9% | +9.1% | +14.1% | |
| Q1 2021 | -2.0% | -0.2% | +4.1% | |
| Q4 2020 | +5.6% | +8.8% | +21.2% | |
| Q3 2020 | +1.9% | +5.9% | +0.6% | |
| Q2 2020 | +0.5% | -0.3% | +17.8% | |
| Q1 2020 | +3.9% | +8.0% | -7.3% | |
| Q4 2019 | +4.4% | +7.2% | +1.8% | |
| Q3 2019 | +6.7% | +7.1% | +11.4% | |
| Q2 2019 | -6.9% | -2.7% | -5.7% | |
| Q1 2019 | -21.2% | -18.0% | -18.6% | |
| Q4 2018 | -6.6% | -1.4% | +1.1% | |
| Q3 2018 | -7.0% | -4.6% | -4.7% | |
| Q2 2018 | +3.4% | +6.4% | +2.0% | |
| Q1 2018 | -2.8% | -0.8% | +0.5% | |
| Q4 2015 | -2.0% | -1.4% | -1.6% | |
| Q4 2017 | -0.4% | -3.0% | +3.3% | |
| Q3 2016 | +0.0% | -0.8% | -2.0% | |
| Q3 2017 | +0.6% | -1.5% | -6.1% | |
| Q2 2016 | +0.1% | +0.7% | -0.2% | |
| Q2 2017 | -0.3% | -2.5% | -3.0% | |
| Q1 2016 | +2.0% | -0.2% | -2.4% | |
| Q1 2017 | +5.6% | +3.3% | +1.3% | |
| Q4 2016 | -4.8% | -9.1% | -4.0% | |
| Q3 2015 | — | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | — | — | — |
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