NYSE$VVV

Valvoline Inc. · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Valvoline's first quarter results were reported with net income and EPS growth, driven by strong performance in Quick Lubes and International segments.

Valvoline reported strong first-quarter results with an 8% increase in sales to $653 million. Net income grew by 19% to $87 million, and EPS increased by 21% to $0.47. Adjusted EBITDA also saw a significant rise of 21% to $145 million.

  • Net income increased by 19% to $87 million, with EPS growing by 21% to $0.47.
  • Adjusted diluted EPS increased by 17% and adjusted EBITDA grew by 21%.
  • Sales increased by 8% to $653 million.
  • Quick Lubes system-wide same-store sales grew by 6.0%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$653M

Previous: $607M+7.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.41

Previous: $0.35+17.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$35M

Previous: -$28M-25.0%
Free Cash Flow

$52M

Previous: $45M+15.6%
Net Income

$87M

Previous: $73M+19.2%
Operating Income

$124M

Previous: $104M+19.2%
Gross Profit

$228M

Previous: $211M+8.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$527M

Previous: $162M+225.3%
Total Assets

$3.16B

Previous: $2.3B+37.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$3M

Previous: $4M-25.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Valvoline · Revenue · Quarterly

$653M

Q1 2021+7.6%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Valvoline reaffirmed its full-year guidance, including low-double digit growth in adjusted EBITDA. Strong performance in Quick Lubes and International is expected to offset any short-term margin pressure from higher raw material costs.

Tailwinds

  • The company expects low-double digit growth in adjusted EBITDA for the full year.
  • Strong performance in Quick Lubes is expected.
  • International segment is expected to perform strongly.
  • The company is focused on global growth.
  • Valvoline aims to continue delivering durable growth and superior customer experience.

Headwinds

  • COVID-19 remains a headwind to miles driven.
  • There may be short-term margin pressure from higher raw material costs.
  • Future external events related to COVID-19 could significantly impact guidance.
  • Additional state, regional, or country lockdown measures may occur.
  • Significant changes in driving trends could impact guidance.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

20 / 42 earnings

Positive

+12.3%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-21.2%

Q1 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+4.8%-4.1%+4.6%
Q1 2026+8.1%+11.1%+5.9%
Q4 2025-2.6%-3.3%-6.0%
Q2 2025-1.8%+0.9%+6.0%
Q1 2025+7.4%+8.8%-4.6%
Q4 2024-9.1%-8.9%-14.3%
Q3 2024-7.5%-9.3%-8.4%
Q2 2024-5.1%-5.4%-7.4%
Q1 2024+7.0%+10.4%+21.1%
Q4 2023+8.3%+14.6%+16.8%
Q3 2023-4.8%-5.4%-6.4%
Q2 2023+12.3%+12.0%+8.3%
Q1 2023-4.4%-3.1%-4.1%
Q4 2022-0.1%+1.2%-3.6%
Q3 2022-7.5%-5.9%-6.6%
Q2 2022-8.4%-1.2%+14.1%
Q1 2022+4.1%-1.4%-9.3%
Q4 2021-1.5%-2.0%-1.9%
Q3 2021-0.7%-2.9%-2.2%
Q2 2021+7.9%+9.1%+14.1%
Q1 2021-2.0%-0.2%+4.1%
Q4 2020+5.6%+8.8%+21.2%
Q3 2020+1.9%+5.9%+0.6%
Q2 2020+0.5%-0.3%+17.8%
Q1 2020+3.9%+8.0%-7.3%
Q4 2019+4.4%+7.2%+1.8%
Q3 2019+6.7%+7.1%+11.4%
Q2 2019-6.9%-2.7%-5.7%
Q1 2019-21.2%-18.0%-18.6%
Q4 2018-6.6%-1.4%+1.1%
Q3 2018-7.0%-4.6%-4.7%
Q2 2018+3.4%+6.4%+2.0%
Q1 2018-2.8%-0.8%+0.5%
Q4 2015-2.0%-1.4%-1.6%
Q4 2017-0.4%-3.0%+3.3%
Q3 2016+0.0%-0.8%-2.0%
Q3 2017+0.6%-1.5%-6.1%
Q2 2016+0.1%+0.7%-0.2%
Q2 2017-0.3%-2.5%-3.0%
Q1 2016+2.0%-0.2%-2.4%
Q1 2017+5.6%+3.3%+1.3%
Q4 2016-4.8%-9.1%-4.0%
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015

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