NYSE$VVV

Valvoline Inc. · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Valvoline's first quarter results were reported, showing sales growth and strategic progress.

Valvoline reported a 16% increase in sales from continuing operations, reaching $332.8 million, and an 11.9% increase in system-wide same store sales. The company added a net total of 31 stores, with 23 being company-operated and 8 franchised, bringing the total system-wide store count to 1,746. The sale of the Global Products business is expected to close in early calendar year 2023, with plans to repurchase shares using $1.6 billion of the net cash proceeds.

  • Sales from continuing operations grew by 16% to $332.8 million.
  • System-wide same store sales increased by 11.9%.
  • Net store additions totaled 31, expanding the system-wide store count to 1,746.
  • Fiscal year 2023 guidance for continuing operations adjusted EBITDA is reaffirmed at $370 million - $390 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$333M

Previous: $858M-61.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.16

Previous: $0.48-66.7%
Company-operated stores

813

Previous: 738+10.2%
Franchised stores

933

Previous: 897+4.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$39.9M

Previous: -$35M-14.0%
Free Cash Flow

$42M

Previous: $52M-19.2%
Net Income

$81.9M

Previous: $87M-5.9%
Operating Income

$29.3M

Previous: $121M-75.8%
Gross Profit

$119M

Previous: $244M-51.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$21M

Previous: $152M-86.2%
Total Assets

$3.55B

Previous: $3.18B+11.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.9M

Previous: $3.2M-9.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Valvoline · Revenue · Quarterly

$333M

Q1 2023-61.2%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Valvoline anticipates accelerated earnings growth in the balance of fiscal 2023, expecting 14% to 18% top line growth and adjusted EBITDA of $370 million to $390 million. Focus will be on increasing same-store sales, expanding the store network with increased franchise growth, and developing new services.

Tailwinds

  • Anticipate accelerated earnings growth in the balance of fiscal 2023
  • Expects 14% to 18% top line growth
  • Expects to deliver adjusted EBITDA of $370 million to $390 million for fiscal 2023
  • Focus on increasing same-store sales
  • Focus on expanding store network, including an increased focus on accelerating franchise growth

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

20 / 42 earnings

Positive

+12.3%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-21.2%

Q1 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+4.8%-4.1%+4.6%
Q1 2026+8.1%+11.1%+5.9%
Q4 2025-2.6%-3.3%-6.0%
Q2 2025-1.8%+0.9%+6.0%
Q1 2025+7.4%+8.8%-4.6%
Q4 2024-9.1%-8.9%-14.3%
Q3 2024-7.5%-9.3%-8.4%
Q2 2024-5.1%-5.4%-7.4%
Q1 2024+7.0%+10.4%+21.1%
Q4 2023+8.3%+14.6%+16.8%
Q3 2023-4.8%-5.4%-6.4%
Q2 2023+12.3%+12.0%+8.3%
Q1 2023-4.4%-3.1%-4.1%
Q4 2022-0.1%+1.2%-3.6%
Q3 2022-7.5%-5.9%-6.6%
Q2 2022-8.4%-1.2%+14.1%
Q1 2022+4.1%-1.4%-9.3%
Q4 2021-1.5%-2.0%-1.9%
Q3 2021-0.7%-2.9%-2.2%
Q2 2021+7.9%+9.1%+14.1%
Q1 2021-2.0%-0.2%+4.1%
Q4 2020+5.6%+8.8%+21.2%
Q3 2020+1.9%+5.9%+0.6%
Q2 2020+0.5%-0.3%+17.8%
Q1 2020+3.9%+8.0%-7.3%
Q4 2019+4.4%+7.2%+1.8%
Q3 2019+6.7%+7.1%+11.4%
Q2 2019-6.9%-2.7%-5.7%
Q1 2019-21.2%-18.0%-18.6%
Q4 2018-6.6%-1.4%+1.1%
Q3 2018-7.0%-4.6%-4.7%
Q2 2018+3.4%+6.4%+2.0%
Q1 2018-2.8%-0.8%+0.5%
Q4 2015-2.0%-1.4%-1.6%
Q4 2017-0.4%-3.0%+3.3%
Q3 2016+0.0%-0.8%-2.0%
Q3 2017+0.6%-1.5%-6.1%
Q2 2016+0.1%+0.7%-0.2%
Q2 2017-0.3%-2.5%-3.0%
Q1 2016+2.0%-0.2%-2.4%
Q1 2017+5.6%+3.3%+1.3%
Q4 2016-4.8%-9.1%-4.0%
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015

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