NYSE$VVV

Valvoline Inc. · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Valvoline's Q2 2024 financial results were released, showing growth in system-wide same-store sales and net store additions.

Valvoline Inc. reported a 7.7% increase in system-wide same-store sales and added 38 net new stores in the second quarter of fiscal year 2024. The company's sales from continuing operations grew by 13% to $389 million, and adjusted EBITDA increased by 21%.

  • System-wide same-store sales grew by 7.7%.
  • Net store additions totaled 38, bringing the total system-wide stores to 1,928.
  • Sales from continuing operations increased by 13% to $389 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations increased by 21% to $105.1 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$389M

Previous: $345M+12.8%
EPS

$0.32

Previous: $0.23+39.1%
Company-operated stores

919

Previous: 832+10.5%
Franchised stores

1.0K

Previous: 949+6.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$87.2M

Previous: -$79.4M-9.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$45.8M

Previous: $1.15B-104.0%
Net Income

$41.4M

Previous: $1.23B-96.6%
Operating Income

$76.4M

Previous: $61.2M+24.8%
Gross Profit

$146M

Previous: $127M+15.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$495M

Previous: $2.33B-78.8%
Total Assets

$2.76B

Previous: $4.28B-35.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.5M

Previous: $2.5M+0.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Valvoline · Revenue · Quarterly

$389M

Q2 2024+12.8%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Valvoline updated its fiscal year 2024 outlook, narrowing the range for key metrics, expecting strong year-over-year performance.

Tailwinds

  • System-wide SSS growth is expected to be between 6-8%.
  • Net revenues are projected to be $1.6-$1.65 billion.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is anticipated to be $430-$455 million.
  • Capital expenditures are expected to remain unchanged.
  • Adjusted EPS is projected to be $1.45-$1.65.

Headwinds

  • The company plans to report a material weakness related to the implementation of a new enterprise resource planning system.
  • The implementation impacted information technology general controls.
  • The company is unable to reconcile forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures to comparable GAAP measures without unreasonable efforts.
  • The company is currently unable to predict the type and extent of certain items that would impact GAAP measures in fiscal 2024.
  • There is an expectation of lapping a strong second half of fiscal year 2023.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

20 / 42 earnings

Positive

+12.3%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-21.2%

Q1 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+4.8%-4.1%+4.6%
Q1 2026+8.1%+11.1%+5.9%
Q4 2025-2.6%-3.3%-6.0%
Q2 2025-1.8%+0.9%+6.0%
Q1 2025+7.4%+8.8%-4.6%
Q4 2024-9.1%-8.9%-14.3%
Q3 2024-7.5%-9.3%-8.4%
Q2 2024-5.1%-5.4%-7.4%
Q1 2024+7.0%+10.4%+21.1%
Q4 2023+8.3%+14.6%+16.8%
Q3 2023-4.8%-5.4%-6.4%
Q2 2023+12.3%+12.0%+8.3%
Q1 2023-4.4%-3.1%-4.1%
Q4 2022-0.1%+1.2%-3.6%
Q3 2022-7.5%-5.9%-6.6%
Q2 2022-8.4%-1.2%+14.1%
Q1 2022+4.1%-1.4%-9.3%
Q4 2021-1.5%-2.0%-1.9%
Q3 2021-0.7%-2.9%-2.2%
Q2 2021+7.9%+9.1%+14.1%
Q1 2021-2.0%-0.2%+4.1%
Q4 2020+5.6%+8.8%+21.2%
Q3 2020+1.9%+5.9%+0.6%
Q2 2020+0.5%-0.3%+17.8%
Q1 2020+3.9%+8.0%-7.3%
Q4 2019+4.4%+7.2%+1.8%
Q3 2019+6.7%+7.1%+11.4%
Q2 2019-6.9%-2.7%-5.7%
Q1 2019-21.2%-18.0%-18.6%
Q4 2018-6.6%-1.4%+1.1%
Q3 2018-7.0%-4.6%-4.7%
Q2 2018+3.4%+6.4%+2.0%
Q1 2018-2.8%-0.8%+0.5%
Q4 2015-2.0%-1.4%-1.6%
Q4 2017-0.4%-3.0%+3.3%
Q3 2016+0.0%-0.8%-2.0%
Q3 2017+0.6%-1.5%-6.1%
Q2 2016+0.1%+0.7%-0.2%
Q2 2017-0.3%-2.5%-3.0%
Q1 2016+2.0%-0.2%-2.4%
Q1 2017+5.6%+3.3%+1.3%
Q4 2016-4.8%-9.1%-4.0%
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015

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