NYSE$VVV

Valvoline Inc. · Q2 2022 earnings

Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong second-quarter results with sales growth and earnings per share increase.

Valvoline reported a strong second quarter with a 26% increase in sales to $886 million, driven by strong demand and pricing actions. Net income grew by 19% to $81 million, and earnings per diluted share increased by 22% to $0.45.

  • Net income increased 19% to $81 million, with EPS rising 22% to $0.45.
  • Adjusted EPS was flat at $0.48, while adjusted EBITDA improved 1% to $158 million.
  • Sales grew 26% to $886 million, fueled by robust demand and strategic pricing adjustments.
  • The company reaffirms full-year guidance for adjusted EBITDA of $675 to $700 million and adjusted EPS of $2.07 to $2.20.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$886M

Previous: $701M+26.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.48

Previous: $0.46+4.3%
Company-operated stores

757

No prior period
Franchised stores

904

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$67M

Previous: -$74M+9.5%
Free Cash Flow

$14M

Previous: -$6M+333.3%
Net Income

$81M

Previous: $68M+19.1%
Operating Income

$117M

Previous: $131M-10.7%
Gross Profit

$250M

Previous: $247M+1.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$118M

Previous: $247M-52.2%
Total Assets

$3.25B

Previous: $2.92B+11.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.8M

Previous: $3M+26.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Valvoline · Revenue · Quarterly

$886M

Q2 2022+26.4%vs Q2 2021
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The company is reaffirming its full-year profitability guidance despite a challenging supply chain and raw material environment.

Tailwinds

  • Share gains
  • Pricing actions
  • Superior execution
  • Quality of business
  • Strong pricing power

Headwinds

  • Challenging supply chain
  • Raw material environment
  • Unable to reconcile forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures to the comparable GAAP measures estimated for fiscal 2022 without unreasonable efforts
  • Currently unable to predict with a reasonable degree of certainty the type and extent of certain items that would be expected to impact these GAAP measures in fiscal 2022 but would not impact non-GAAP adjusted results.
  • Adjusted effective tax rate no change 24—25%

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022

Historical avgQ2 2022

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

20 / 42 earnings

Positive

+12.3%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-21.2%

Q1 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+4.8%-4.1%+4.6%
Q1 2026+8.1%+11.1%+5.9%
Q4 2025-2.6%-3.3%-6.0%
Q2 2025-1.8%+0.9%+6.0%
Q1 2025+7.4%+8.8%-4.6%
Q4 2024-9.1%-8.9%-14.3%
Q3 2024-7.5%-9.3%-8.4%
Q2 2024-5.1%-5.4%-7.4%
Q1 2024+7.0%+10.4%+21.1%
Q4 2023+8.3%+14.6%+16.8%
Q3 2023-4.8%-5.4%-6.4%
Q2 2023+12.3%+12.0%+8.3%
Q1 2023-4.4%-3.1%-4.1%
Q4 2022-0.1%+1.2%-3.6%
Q3 2022-7.5%-5.9%-6.6%
Q2 2022-8.4%-1.2%+14.1%
Q1 2022+4.1%-1.4%-9.3%
Q4 2021-1.5%-2.0%-1.9%
Q3 2021-0.7%-2.9%-2.2%
Q2 2021+7.9%+9.1%+14.1%
Q1 2021-2.0%-0.2%+4.1%
Q4 2020+5.6%+8.8%+21.2%
Q3 2020+1.9%+5.9%+0.6%
Q2 2020+0.5%-0.3%+17.8%
Q1 2020+3.9%+8.0%-7.3%
Q4 2019+4.4%+7.2%+1.8%
Q3 2019+6.7%+7.1%+11.4%
Q2 2019-6.9%-2.7%-5.7%
Q1 2019-21.2%-18.0%-18.6%
Q4 2018-6.6%-1.4%+1.1%
Q3 2018-7.0%-4.6%-4.7%
Q2 2018+3.4%+6.4%+2.0%
Q1 2018-2.8%-0.8%+0.5%
Q4 2015-2.0%-1.4%-1.6%
Q4 2017-0.4%-3.0%+3.3%
Q3 2016+0.0%-0.8%-2.0%
Q3 2017+0.6%-1.5%-6.1%
Q2 2016+0.1%+0.7%-0.2%
Q2 2017-0.3%-2.5%-3.0%
Q1 2016+2.0%-0.2%-2.4%
Q1 2017+5.6%+3.3%+1.3%
Q4 2016-4.8%-9.1%-4.0%
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015

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