NASDAQ$UPST

Upstart Holdings Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Upstart's Q3 2022 performance reflected a decrease in revenue and a net loss, impacted by macroeconomic challenges.

Upstart's Q3 2022 results revealed a 31% decrease in total revenue compared to Q3 2021, with a loss from operations of ($58.1) million. The company originated 188,519 loans totaling $1.9 billion, a 48% decrease year-over-year. Despite these challenges, Upstart repurchased 931 thousand shares for approximately $25 million.

  • Total revenue decreased by 31% to $157 million compared to the third quarter of 2021.
  • Bank partners originated 188,519 loans, totaling $1.9 billion, down 48% from the same quarter of the prior year.
  • GAAP net loss was ($56.2) million, a decrease from a net income of $29.1 million in the third quarter of 2021.
  • Upstart repurchased 931 thousand shares of UPST totaling approximately $25 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$157M

Previous: $228M-31.2%
EPS (adj)

-$0.24

Previous: $0.60-140.0%
Loans Originated

188.5K

Previous: 188.5K+0.0%
Conversion Rate

10.0%

Previous: 23.0%-56.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$7.09M

Previous: -$4.96M-43.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$63.3M

Previous: $24.2M-362.1%
Net Income

-$56.2M

Previous: $29.1M-293.1%
Operating Income

-$58.1M

Previous: $28.6M-303.1%
Gross Profit

$157M

Previous: $228M-31.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$684M

Previous: $1.17B-41.6%
Total Assets

$1.92B

Previous: $1.61B+19.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$36.7M

Previous: $20.3M+80.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Upstart · Revenue · Quarterly

$157M

Q3 2022-31.2%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Upstart · $179M total across 1 segment · Q3 2022

  • Servicing & Other Fees
    $179M-14.8%

Forward guidance

For the fourth quarter of 2022, Upstart expects revenue between $125 to $145 million, a contribution margin of approximately 54%, and a net loss of approximately ($87) million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+4.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+9.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+11.7%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

10 / 24 earnings

Positive

+91.7%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-59.9%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-8.1%-7.9%-4.6%
Q4 2025-15.0%-21.3%-32.3%
Q3 2025-9.7%-16.2%+1.1%
Q1 2025-9.6%+3.0%+5.7%
Q4 2024+31.8%+22.4%-27.9%
Q3 2024+50.1%+28.6%+42.9%
Q2 2024+39.8%+52.2%+50.0%
Q1 2024-10.3%-1.4%+4.3%
Q4 2023-25.4%-26.2%-34.5%
Q3 2023-27.0%-28.8%+15.6%
Q2 2023-34.5%-35.5%-38.8%
Q1 2023+41.8%+22.5%+144.8%
Q4 2022+34.2%+13.9%-1.8%
Q3 2022-8.4%+21.1%-7.9%
Q2 2022-3.9%+17.4%-10.0%
Q1 2022-59.9%-54.5%-48.3%
Q4 2019-13.7%-19.5%-10.1%
Q4 2021+41.5%+24.3%+11.4%
Q3 2020-5.0%-5.7%-34.7%
Q3 2021-23.3%-21.0%-46.3%
Q2 2020+12.8%+19.2%+51.8%
Q2 2021+24.8%+48.2%+111.1%
Q1 2021+4.1%+17.2%+66.0%
Q4 2020+91.7%+174.6%+74.3%
Q1 2020
Q3 2019

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