NASDAQ$UPST

Upstart Holdings Inc · Q2 2022 earnings

Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Upstart's results were disappointing due to a difficult macroeconomic environment, leading to funding constraints.

Upstart's Q2 2022 results revealed a total revenue of $228 million, marking an 18% increase from the previous year. However, the company faced a net loss of $29.9 million, a decrease from the $37.3 million net income in Q2 2021. The macroeconomic environment led to funding constraints, impacting the company's performance.

  • Total revenue was $228 million, up 18% year-over-year.
  • Bank partners originated 321,138 loans, totaling $3.3 billion, up 12% year-over-year.
  • GAAP net loss was $(29.9) million, down from $37.3 million in the second quarter of 2021.
  • Conversion on rate requests was 13%, down from 24% in the same quarter of the prior year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$228M

Previous: $194M+17.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.01

Previous: $0.62-98.4%
Loans Originated

321.1K

No prior period
Conversion Rate

13.0%

Previous: 24.0%-45.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$5.58M

Previous: -$2M-179.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$35.4M

Previous: $35.3M-200.5%
Net Income

-$29.9M

Previous: $37.3M-180.1%
Operating Income

-$32.1M

Previous: $36.3M-188.5%
Gross Profit

$228M

Previous: $194M+17.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$790M

Previous: $618M+28.0%
Total Assets

$1.92B

Previous: $905M+111.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$30.3M

Previous: $21.2M+43.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Upstart · Revenue · Quarterly

$228M

Q2 2022+17.6%vs Q2 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Upstart · $258M total across 1 segment · Q2 2022

  • Servicing & Other Fees
    $258M+37.9%

Forward guidance

For the third quarter of 2022, Upstart expects revenue of approximately $170 million, a contribution margin of approximately 59%, a net income of approximately ($42) million, an adjusted net income of approximately ($9) million, and an adjusted EBITDA of approximately $0.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022

Historical avgQ2 2022

+4.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+9.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+11.7%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

10 / 24 earnings

Positive

+91.7%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-59.9%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-8.1%-7.9%-4.6%
Q4 2025-15.0%-21.3%-32.3%
Q3 2025-9.7%-16.2%+1.1%
Q1 2025-9.6%+3.0%+5.7%
Q4 2024+31.8%+22.4%-27.9%
Q3 2024+50.1%+28.6%+42.9%
Q2 2024+39.8%+52.2%+50.0%
Q1 2024-10.3%-1.4%+4.3%
Q4 2023-25.4%-26.2%-34.5%
Q3 2023-27.0%-28.8%+15.6%
Q2 2023-34.5%-35.5%-38.8%
Q1 2023+41.8%+22.5%+144.8%
Q4 2022+34.2%+13.9%-1.8%
Q3 2022-8.4%+21.1%-7.9%
Q2 2022-3.9%+17.4%-10.0%
Q1 2022-59.9%-54.5%-48.3%
Q4 2019-13.7%-19.5%-10.1%
Q4 2021+41.5%+24.3%+11.4%
Q3 2020-5.0%-5.7%-34.7%
Q3 2021-23.3%-21.0%-46.3%
Q2 2020+12.8%+19.2%+51.8%
Q2 2021+24.8%+48.2%+111.1%
Q1 2021+4.1%+17.2%+66.0%
Q4 2020+91.7%+174.6%+74.3%
Q1 2020
Q3 2019

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