NASDAQ$CINF

Cincinnati Financial Corp · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Cincinnati Financial's Q4 2023 net income increased, driven by property casualty underwriting profit and investment gains.

Cincinnati Financial Corporation reported a strong fourth quarter with net income of $1.183 billion, or $7.50 per share, compared to $1.013 billion, or $6.41 per share, in Q4 2022. Non-GAAP operating income increased by 78% to $359 million, or $2.28 per share. The property casualty combined ratio improved to 87.5%. Book value per share rose to $77.06, and the full-year value creation ratio was 19.5%.

  • Net income for Q4 2023 was $1.183 billion, or $7.50 per share, compared to $1.013 billion, or $6.41 per share, in Q4 2022.
  • Non-GAAP operating income increased by 78% to $359 million, or $2.28 per share.
  • The property casualty combined ratio improved to 87.5% from 94.9% in Q4 2022.
  • Book value per share increased to $77.06, up $9.85 since year-end 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.36B

Previous: $2.09B+60.8%
EPS (adj)

$2.28

Previous: $1.27+79.5%
Combined Ratio

87.5%

Previous: 94.9%-7.8%
Book Value Per Share

$77.06

Previous: $67.01+15.0%
Net Written Premiums

$1.92B

Previous: $1.69B+13.3%
Property Casualty Underwriting Profit

$252M

Previous: $93M+171.0%
Capital Expenditures

$8M

Previous: $3M+166.7%
Net Income

$1.18B

Previous: $1.01B+16.8%
Operating Income

$359M

Previous: $202M+77.7%
Gross Profit

$3.36B

Previous: $3.12B+7.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Cincinnati Financial · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.36B

Q4 2023+60.8%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cincinnati Financial · $1.73B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Commercial Lines Insurance
    $1.06B+3.3%
  • Personal Lines Insurance
    $528M+22.2%
  • Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance
    $136M+7.9%

Forward guidance

The company is focused on maintaining appropriate pricing in a challenging market environment in 2024, leveraging strong agency relationships and claims service to attract and retain high-quality business.

Tailwinds

  • Pricing precision on accounts underwritten will be refined.
  • Strong agency relationships will be maintained.
  • Overwhelming claims service will be provided.
  • Efforts to attract and retain high-quality business will be supported.
  • Cincinnati Re and Cincinnati Global Underwriting Ltd.SM are expected to continue to perform as planned.

Headwinds

  • Navigating a challenging market environment in 2024.
  • Potential impact of technology innovations such as driverless cars on decreasing consumer demand for insurance products.
  • Competition in the insurance industry and changing customer preferences.
  • Consolidation of independent insurance agencies may alter competitive advantages.
  • Unforeseen departure of certain executive officers or other key employees.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 69 earnings

Positive

+10.9%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-14.0%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.2%-2.2%-4.0%
Q4 2025-3.3%-3.5%-2.6%
Q3 2025-3.8%-1.9%+6.9%
Q2 2025-2.0%-0.3%+1.8%
Q1 2025+2.9%+5.7%+10.4%
Q4 2024+2.8%+1.0%+4.7%
Q3 2024+1.7%+2.2%+12.7%
Q2 2024+3.3%+8.5%+10.6%
Q1 2024-7.5%-3.5%-1.9%
Q4 2023-4.2%-2.6%+4.9%
Q3 2023-0.8%+1.3%+4.4%
Q2 2023+5.8%+4.6%+0.6%
Q1 2023+4.6%+1.8%-3.4%
Q4 2022+10.9%+9.2%+13.7%
Q3 2022-3.2%-2.6%+8.3%
Q2 2022-14.0%-16.5%-11.3%
Q1 2022-9.1%-9.5%-4.9%
Q4 2021+7.2%+5.1%+10.7%
Q3 2021+2.5%-2.1%-4.7%
Q2 2021+1.4%+2.6%+7.2%
Q1 2021+2.8%+6.0%+12.2%
Q4 2020+4.8%+6.0%+23.4%
Q3 2020-4.6%-8.6%+1.5%
Q2 2020+0.2%-6.4%-5.7%
Q1 2020-8.6%-22.4%-21.8%
Q4 2019+6.4%+7.6%-7.4%
Q3 2019-2.0%-2.3%-7.2%
Q2 2019+1.0%-0.0%+6.0%
Q1 2019+7.6%+9.2%+14.6%
Q4 2018+2.1%+1.8%+2.3%
Q3 2018+7.2%+9.8%+10.4%
Q2 2018+4.4%+6.1%+7.3%
Q1 2018-4.7%-6.2%-6.0%
Q4 2017-3.1%+2.4%+6.1%
Q3 2017-6.2%-7.4%-4.3%
Q2 2017+5.3%+4.5%+0.6%
Q1 2017+1.7%-1.0%-2.7%
Q4 2016-0.3%+1.9%+5.0%
Q3 2016-1.4%-2.4%+5.5%
Q2 2016-0.1%-0.3%+2.6%
Q1 2016+2.7%
Q4 2015+3.9%
Q3 2015+2.7%
Q2 2015+2.3%
Q1 2015-2.4%
Q4 2014-0.4%
Q3 2014+0.9%
Q2 2014-2.7%
Q1 2014-2.8%
Q4 2013-4.3%
Q3 2013+0.1%
Q2 2013+0.9%
Q1 2013-1.7%
Q4 2012+2.0%
Q3 2012+2.9%
Q2 2012+2.6%
Q1 2012+1.2%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q4 2008-1.2%
Q3 2011+1.4%
Q2 2011-2.1%
Q1 2010-2.5%
Q1 2011+0.1%
Q4 2010+2.0%
Q3 2009-2.3%
Q3 2010-2.3%
Q4 2009-0.6%
Q2 2010-0.6%
Q2 2009-0.6%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro