NASDAQ$CINF
Cincinnati Financial Corp · Q1 2020 earnings
Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Cincinnati Financial experienced a net loss due to a decrease in the fair value of equity securities and a decrease in net investment gains.
Cincinnati Financial Corporation reported a net loss of $1.226 billion for the first quarter of 2020, compared to a net income of $695 million in the first quarter of 2019. Non-GAAP operating income decreased by 20% to $137 million, and book value per share decreased by 17.4% since year-end. The company's performance was impacted by a decrease in net investment gains and weather-related catastrophe losses.
- First-quarter 2020 net loss was $1.226 billion, or $7.56 per share.
- Non-GAAP operating income decreased by 20% to $137 million, or 84 cents per share.
- Book value per share at March 31, 2020, was $50.02, a decrease of 17.4% since year-end.
- The combined ratio for property casualty was 98.5%.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Cincinnati Financial · Revenue · Quarterly
-$99M
Revenue by segment
Cincinnati Financial · $1.38B total across 4 segments · Q1 2020
- Commercial Lines Insurance$864M—62.7%
- Personal Lines Insurance$360M—26.1%
- Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance$79M—5.7%
- Life Insurance$74M—5.4%
Forward guidance
Cincinnati Financial is focused on supporting stakeholders and managing risks during the COVID-19 pandemic, while also addressing claims from an active storm season and maintaining financial strength.
Tailwinds
- Robust business continuity plans allowed for a quick transition to remote work.
- Options for policyholder relief include stay-at-home credits and waived fees.
- A dividend of 60 cents per share was paid to shareholders.
- Pricing segmentation, product diversification, and geographic diversification are yielding benefits.
- The equity portfolio holds $2.5 billion in appreciated value before taxes.
Headwinds
- The COVID-19 pandemic is causing personal and professional suffering.
- The pandemic may lead to securities market disruption and decreased economic activity.
- There is a risk of legislation extending business interruption insurance without physical damage.
- Commercial property policies do not cover business interruption claims without direct physical damage.
- Some loss events, like global pandemics, are not insured due to their size and scope.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020
+0.0%
Avg return
Earnings day
-0.1%
Avg return
5 days after
+2.7%
Avg return
30 days after
51%
35 / 69 earnings
Positive
+10.9%
Q4 2022
Best reaction
-14.0%
Q2 2022
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -3.2% | -2.2% | -4.0% | |
| Q4 2025 | -3.3% | -3.5% | -2.6% | |
| Q3 2025 | -3.8% | -1.9% | +6.9% | |
| Q2 2025 | -2.0% | -0.3% | +1.8% | |
| Q1 2025 | +2.9% | +5.7% | +10.4% | |
| Q4 2024 | +2.8% | +1.0% | +4.7% | |
| Q3 2024 | +1.7% | +2.2% | +12.7% | |
| Q2 2024 | +3.3% | +8.5% | +10.6% | |
| Q1 2024 | -7.5% | -3.5% | -1.9% | |
| Q4 2023 | -4.2% | -2.6% | +4.9% | |
| Q3 2023 | -0.8% | +1.3% | +4.4% | |
| Q2 2023 | +5.8% | +4.6% | +0.6% | |
| Q1 2023 | +4.6% | +1.8% | -3.4% | |
| Q4 2022 | +10.9% | +9.2% | +13.7% | |
| Q3 2022 | -3.2% | -2.6% | +8.3% | |
| Q2 2022 | -14.0% | -16.5% | -11.3% | |
| Q1 2022 | -9.1% | -9.5% | -4.9% | |
| Q4 2021 | +7.2% | +5.1% | +10.7% | |
| Q3 2021 | +2.5% | -2.1% | -4.7% | |
| Q2 2021 | +1.4% | +2.6% | +7.2% | |
| Q1 2021 | +2.8% | +6.0% | +12.2% | |
| Q4 2020 | +4.8% | +6.0% | +23.4% | |
| Q3 2020 | -4.6% | -8.6% | +1.5% | |
| Q2 2020 | +0.2% | -6.4% | -5.7% | |
| Q1 2020 | -8.6% | -22.4% | -21.8% | |
| Q4 2019 | +6.4% | +7.6% | -7.4% | |
| Q3 2019 | -2.0% | -2.3% | -7.2% | |
| Q2 2019 | +1.0% | -0.0% | +6.0% | |
| Q1 2019 | +7.6% | +9.2% | +14.6% | |
| Q4 2018 | +2.1% | +1.8% | +2.3% | |
| Q3 2018 | +7.2% | +9.8% | +10.4% | |
| Q2 2018 | +4.4% | +6.1% | +7.3% | |
| Q1 2018 | -4.7% | -6.2% | -6.0% | |
| Q4 2017 | -3.1% | +2.4% | +6.1% | |
| Q3 2017 | -6.2% | -7.4% | -4.3% | |
| Q2 2017 | +5.3% | +4.5% | +0.6% | |
| Q1 2017 | +1.7% | -1.0% | -2.7% | |
| Q4 2016 | -0.3% | +1.9% | +5.0% | |
| Q3 2016 | -1.4% | -2.4% | +5.5% | |
| Q2 2016 | -0.1% | -0.3% | +2.6% | |
| Q1 2016 | +2.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +3.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +2.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +2.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -2.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +0.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -2.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -2.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -4.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +0.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +0.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -1.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +2.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +2.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +1.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -1.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | -1.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +1.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -2.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | -2.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | +0.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | -2.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -2.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | -0.6% | — | — |
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