NASDAQ$CINF

Cincinnati Financial Corp · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported net income of $1.470 billion, or $9.04 per share, and non-GAAP operating income of $320 million, or $1.97 per share for the fourth quarter of 2021.

Cincinnati Financial Corporation reported a strong fourth quarter and full year in 2021. Fourth-quarter net income was $1.470 billion, or $9.04 per share, compared to $1.049 billion, or $6.47 per share, in Q4 2020. Non-GAAP operating income increased by 22% to $320 million, or $1.97 per share. The company's book value per share reached a record high of $81.72, up 21.9% since year-end 2020.

  • Fourth-quarter 2021 net income was $1.470 billion, or $9.04 per share.
  • Full-year 2021 net income was $2.946 billion, or $18.10 per share.
  • Fourth-quarter 2021 non-GAAP operating income increased 22% to $320 million, or $1.97 per share.
  • Book value per share at December 31, 2021, was $81.72, up 21.9% since year-end 2020.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.87B

Previous: $2.69B-30.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.97

Previous: $1.61+22.4%
Combined Ratio

84.2%

Previous: 87.3%-3.6%
Book Value Per Share

$81.72

Previous: $67.04+21.9%
Net Written Premiums

$1.53B

Previous: $1.39B+10.0%
Property Casualty Underwriting Profit

$256M

Previous: $187M+36.9%
Capital Expenditures

$3M

Previous: $4M-25.0%
Free Cash Flow

$460M

Previous: $368M+25.0%
Net Income

$1.47B

Previous: $1.05B+40.1%
Operating Income

$320M

Previous: $262M+22.1%
Gross Profit

$3.32B

Previous: $2.69B+23.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.14B

Previous: $900M+26.6%
Total Assets

$31.4B

Previous: $27.5B+14.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$8M

Previous: $7M+14.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Cincinnati Financial · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.87B

Q4 2021-30.7%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cincinnati Financial · $1.58B total across 4 segments · Q4 2021

  • Commercial Lines Insurance
    $948M+8.0%
  • Personal Lines Insurance
    $397M+6.1%
  • Life Insurance
    $123M+73.2%
  • Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance
    $109M+23.9%

Forward guidance

Cincinnati Financial's management is focused on profitable growth through strategic initiatives, pricing precision, and strong agency relationships. They aim to maintain financial strength and deliver support to policyholders and agents with empathy and warmth, especially during catastrophes.

Tailwinds

  • Diversification and underwriting expertise are allowing the company to grow with confidence.
  • Full-year property casualty net written premiums exceeded $6 billion for the first time.
  • New and renewal business written through independent agencies grew year over year for each property casualty insurance segment.
  • Earned premiums for the life insurance segment rose 3%.
  • The company continues to execute on its long-term strategies and pay dividends to shareholders.

Headwinds

  • The communities served through the insurance business saw a high number of weather-related catastrophes near the end of 2021.
  • Net income continued its pattern of wide swings due to the effects of a robust equity market.
  • Universal life insurance earned premiums decreased 11% in 2021.
  • Mortality experience in 2021 was less favorable due largely to higher pandemic-related death claims.
  • Less than 1% decrease in fourth-quarter 2021 new business written premiums with full-year 2021 increasing 13%, reflecting a highly competitive market with fewer opportunities to write policies with annual premiums of $10,000 or more at pricing levels we believe are adequate and offsetting our additional marketing efforts.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 69 earnings

Positive

+10.9%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-14.0%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.2%-2.2%-4.0%
Q4 2025-3.3%-3.5%-2.6%
Q3 2025-3.8%-1.9%+6.9%
Q2 2025-2.0%-0.3%+1.8%
Q1 2025+2.9%+5.7%+10.4%
Q4 2024+2.8%+1.0%+4.7%
Q3 2024+1.7%+2.2%+12.7%
Q2 2024+3.3%+8.5%+10.6%
Q1 2024-7.5%-3.5%-1.9%
Q4 2023-4.2%-2.6%+4.9%
Q3 2023-0.8%+1.3%+4.4%
Q2 2023+5.8%+4.6%+0.6%
Q1 2023+4.6%+1.8%-3.4%
Q4 2022+10.9%+9.2%+13.7%
Q3 2022-3.2%-2.6%+8.3%
Q2 2022-14.0%-16.5%-11.3%
Q1 2022-9.1%-9.5%-4.9%
Q4 2021+7.2%+5.1%+10.7%
Q3 2021+2.5%-2.1%-4.7%
Q2 2021+1.4%+2.6%+7.2%
Q1 2021+2.8%+6.0%+12.2%
Q4 2020+4.8%+6.0%+23.4%
Q3 2020-4.6%-8.6%+1.5%
Q2 2020+0.2%-6.4%-5.7%
Q1 2020-8.6%-22.4%-21.8%
Q4 2019+6.4%+7.6%-7.4%
Q3 2019-2.0%-2.3%-7.2%
Q2 2019+1.0%-0.0%+6.0%
Q1 2019+7.6%+9.2%+14.6%
Q4 2018+2.1%+1.8%+2.3%
Q3 2018+7.2%+9.8%+10.4%
Q2 2018+4.4%+6.1%+7.3%
Q1 2018-4.7%-6.2%-6.0%
Q4 2017-3.1%+2.4%+6.1%
Q3 2017-6.2%-7.4%-4.3%
Q2 2017+5.3%+4.5%+0.6%
Q1 2017+1.7%-1.0%-2.7%
Q4 2016-0.3%+1.9%+5.0%
Q3 2016-1.4%-2.4%+5.5%
Q2 2016-0.1%-0.3%+2.6%
Q1 2016+2.7%
Q4 2015+3.9%
Q3 2015+2.7%
Q2 2015+2.3%
Q1 2015-2.4%
Q4 2014-0.4%
Q3 2014+0.9%
Q2 2014-2.7%
Q1 2014-2.8%
Q4 2013-4.3%
Q3 2013+0.1%
Q2 2013+0.9%
Q1 2013-1.7%
Q4 2012+2.0%
Q3 2012+2.9%
Q2 2012+2.6%
Q1 2012+1.2%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q4 2008-1.2%
Q3 2011+1.4%
Q2 2011-2.1%
Q1 2010-2.5%
Q1 2011+0.1%
Q4 2010+2.0%
Q3 2009-2.3%
Q3 2010-2.3%
Q4 2009-0.6%
Q2 2010-0.6%
Q2 2009-0.6%

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