NASDAQ$CINF

Cincinnati Financial Corp · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Cincinnati Financial experienced a net loss due to a decrease in the fair value of equity securities, while non-GAAP operating income increased.

Cincinnati Financial reported a net loss of $273 million, or $1.70 per share, compared to a net income of $620 million, or $3.82 per share, in the first quarter of 2021. This was primarily due to a $540 million after-tax reduction in the fair value of equity securities. However, non-GAAP operating income increased by 14% to $253 million, or $1.58 per share.

  • Net loss of $273 million, or $1.70 per share, compared to net income of $620 million, or $3.82 per share, in Q1 2021.
  • Non-GAAP operating income increased by 14% to $253 million, or $1.58 per share.
  • Property casualty combined ratio improved to 89.9% from 91.2% in Q1 2021.
  • Net written premiums grew by 12%, driven by price increases and premium growth initiatives.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.22B

Previous: $2.23B-45.4%
EPS (adj)

$1.58

Previous: $1.37+15.3%
Combined Ratio

89.9%

Previous: 91.2%-1.4%
Book Value Per Share

$75.43

Previous: $69.16+9.1%
Net Written Premiums

$1.9B

Previous: $1.69B+12.2%
Property Casualty Underwriting Profit

$165M

Previous: $133M+24.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$4M

Previous: -$5M+20.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$277M

Previous: $615M-145.0%
Net Income

-$273M

Previous: $620M-144.0%
Operating Income

-$139M

Previous: $943M-114.7%
Gross Profit

-$135M

Previous: $947M-114.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$987M

Previous: $947M+4.2%
Total Assets

$30.3B

Previous: $28.3B+6.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$11M

Previous: $9M+22.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Cincinnati Financial · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.22B

Q1 2022-45.4%vs Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cincinnati Financial · $1.48B total across 3 segments · Q1 2022

  • Commercial Lines Insurance
    $963M+8.6%
  • Personal Lines Insurance
    $403M+6.9%
  • Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance
    $113M+27.0%

Forward guidance

The company focuses on long-term investment strategy and believes that insurance business continues to provide cash that it invests in high-quality bonds and dividend-paying stocks. The company is poised to further benefit from these purchases when the markets rebound.

Tailwinds

  • Continued focus on pricing precision.
  • Steady approach to insurance reserves.
  • Excellent relationships with agencies.
  • Efforts to diversify product portfolio.
  • Long-term perspective with investment philosophy.

Headwinds

  • Accounting rules create volatility in net income.
  • Downward pressure in equity and bond markets.
  • Decline in book value.
  • Market volatility
  • Unpredictability of litigation

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

+0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 69 earnings

Positive

+10.9%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-14.0%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.2%-2.2%-4.0%
Q4 2025-3.3%-3.5%-2.6%
Q3 2025-3.8%-1.9%+6.9%
Q2 2025-2.0%-0.3%+1.8%
Q1 2025+2.9%+5.7%+10.4%
Q4 2024+2.8%+1.0%+4.7%
Q3 2024+1.7%+2.2%+12.7%
Q2 2024+3.3%+8.5%+10.6%
Q1 2024-7.5%-3.5%-1.9%
Q4 2023-4.2%-2.6%+4.9%
Q3 2023-0.8%+1.3%+4.4%
Q2 2023+5.8%+4.6%+0.6%
Q1 2023+4.6%+1.8%-3.4%
Q4 2022+10.9%+9.2%+13.7%
Q3 2022-3.2%-2.6%+8.3%
Q2 2022-14.0%-16.5%-11.3%
Q1 2022-9.1%-9.5%-4.9%
Q4 2021+7.2%+5.1%+10.7%
Q3 2021+2.5%-2.1%-4.7%
Q2 2021+1.4%+2.6%+7.2%
Q1 2021+2.8%+6.0%+12.2%
Q4 2020+4.8%+6.0%+23.4%
Q3 2020-4.6%-8.6%+1.5%
Q2 2020+0.2%-6.4%-5.7%
Q1 2020-8.6%-22.4%-21.8%
Q4 2019+6.4%+7.6%-7.4%
Q3 2019-2.0%-2.3%-7.2%
Q2 2019+1.0%-0.0%+6.0%
Q1 2019+7.6%+9.2%+14.6%
Q4 2018+2.1%+1.8%+2.3%
Q3 2018+7.2%+9.8%+10.4%
Q2 2018+4.4%+6.1%+7.3%
Q1 2018-4.7%-6.2%-6.0%
Q4 2017-3.1%+2.4%+6.1%
Q3 2017-6.2%-7.4%-4.3%
Q2 2017+5.3%+4.5%+0.6%
Q1 2017+1.7%-1.0%-2.7%
Q4 2016-0.3%+1.9%+5.0%
Q3 2016-1.4%-2.4%+5.5%
Q2 2016-0.1%-0.3%+2.6%
Q1 2016+2.7%
Q4 2015+3.9%
Q3 2015+2.7%
Q2 2015+2.3%
Q1 2015-2.4%
Q4 2014-0.4%
Q3 2014+0.9%
Q2 2014-2.7%
Q1 2014-2.8%
Q4 2013-4.3%
Q3 2013+0.1%
Q2 2013+0.9%
Q1 2013-1.7%
Q4 2012+2.0%
Q3 2012+2.9%
Q2 2012+2.6%
Q1 2012+1.2%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q4 2008-1.2%
Q3 2011+1.4%
Q2 2011-2.1%
Q1 2010-2.5%
Q1 2011+0.1%
Q4 2010+2.0%
Q3 2009-2.3%
Q3 2010-2.3%
Q4 2009-0.6%
Q2 2010-0.6%
Q2 2009-0.6%

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